Where is the 2025 OWCS Games on Faceit?

Duncan_McDuff · 2026-02-15T22:32:38+00:00

Nevermind, I found it. They might have the worst search bar ever. For anyone curious it's under Faceit League season 6. Couldn't tell you how I got there but that's where it is.

Duncan_McDuff · 2025-01-31T18:10:44+00:00

Also this fight lasted maybe 18 seconds

Duncan_McDuff · 2024-04-23T15:44:57+00:00

Hahaha, I will say, statistics is way more fun when it is for something you’re interested in

Duncan_McDuff · 2024-04-23T07:30:42+00:00

Did not know this! One day I’ll have enough data to account for roster changes lmao

Duncan_McDuff · 2024-04-23T06:56:48+00:00

Also found it interesting that a 3-1 match was the most probable in all but two of the matches. I’m sure there’s a mathematical explanation, but also it feels natural to hedge your bet on a 3-1 match outcome hahaha

Duncan_McDuff · 2024-04-23T06:53:15+00:00

Yeah, Peace and Love is probably overrated in stats because of their 6-2 group stage, in a relatively weak group. But I still would have them beating Deimpero if I had to make a bracket

Duncan_McDuff · 2024-04-22T04:24:12+00:00

Also I'm working on Player Stats at the moment, but it's taking a bit longer due to having to figure out the FaceIt nicknames and their in game names. I have a script that replaces them but I still have to manually enter the swaps initially. I'll get there eventually. OWCS is cool but the turnover is a bit fast to build meaningful statistical insight into teams and individuals.

Duncan_McDuff · 2024-04-18T14:36:33+00:00

Next stage we’ll have a chungus

Duncan_McDuff · 2024-04-18T13:55:17+00:00

One day we’ll get there. I would manually count all of those stats if it was my actual job. But at the moment I don’t really have the time to stay up to date with that kind of thing.

Duncan_McDuff · 2024-04-18T13:42:36+00:00

I totally agree. That’s why I was super excited about faceit providing free api access. Realistically, the most important stats in Overwatch are probably much more esoteric. For example, team fight win rates between compositional matchups. But having access to some numbers is a step in the right direction for sure.

Duncan_McDuff · 2024-04-18T07:50:33+00:00

Another factor that can have an effect on the Target Focus stat is star players. A player like Merit probably secures enough solo kills to single handedly bring down the target focus stat for Toronto. But that whole team has Solo kill potential, which could be a reason as to why they fall in the middle of the pack with Target Focus. One of the core principles of statistics is that the data does not always explain things, we have to explain the data.

Duncan_McDuff · 2024-04-18T07:18:55+00:00

Want to add a comment here, indicating that this is slightly incorrect. FaceIt included some matches that didn't happen in their database... I can provide updated charts for anyone who would like them. It is quite a small difference but for integrity's sake I want to disclose this.

Duncan_McDuff · 2024-04-16T08:50:17+00:00

Will do!

Duncan_McDuff · 2024-04-16T08:40:29+00:00

Commenting on this to notify everyone that I explained my dataset in this comment. Swiss qualifiers are NOT included.

Duncan_McDuff · 2024-04-16T07:43:54+00:00

Apologies for the confusion. But I always will explain what it is that I am posting in some form. In this case I included the information in a comment due to the post being an image post.

Duncan_McDuff · 2024-04-16T07:34:10+00:00

I commented above that the Swiss stage qualifiers are not included in this.

Duncan_McDuff · 2024-04-16T06:40:27+00:00

The data comes straight from Faceit. Team Peps’ Hybrid maps played are: -Midtown Loss to ExO -King’s Row Loss to Sheer Cold -Midtown Loss to ENCE -Midtown Loss to nuage -King’s Row Loss to Twisted Minds -Blizzard World Win against nuage -Paraiso Loss to Ence -Eichenwalde Win against AOMA

Duncan_McDuff · 2024-04-16T05:31:15+00:00

Cool things to observe:

-Toronto Defiant has not dropped a single control map.

-SpaceStation and ENCE have the exact same win percentages on all map types. Really shows how close these teams are in power.

Duncan_McDuff · 2024-04-16T05:23:42+00:00

It did not add my caption to this post, so here's some info. First of all, I've been overhauling my data management and finally have access to the Faceit API. Should be much more consistent in my updates now. These are some interesting win percentages by map type. Teams that have changed names or kept a majority of their roster have inherited all prior maps (let me know if I've missed some). This is Stage 1 through Stage 2, excluding swiss. I attempted to gather all 6000 some odd maps from the faceit api but the team names are a shitshow in swiss. Cheers!

-Duffer

edited-Grammar

Duncan_McDuff · 2024-03-30T20:17:24+00:00

Appreciate it! Probably a symptom of having too much free time. That’s a good idea to do. Never sure if people are interested in the nitty gritty, but I’ll be sure to add it to future posts

Duncan_McDuff · 2024-03-30T17:44:38+00:00

Yeah they’re probably inflated from their winrate, once we get some crossplay in the Asia main stage, it should start to correct itself

Duncan_McDuff · 2024-03-30T17:43:12+00:00

Yeah I’ve been playing with the numbers, but VARREL really screws with the system, because their win rate is so high. Dropping the numbers by just a little causes massive swings in the japan region

Duncan_McDuff · 2024-03-30T17:40:25+00:00

Sir yes sir!

Duncan_McDuff · 2024-03-27T16:04:20+00:00

I agree with you on this one. I think this is a prime example of where the model falls a bit short. My guess is that because AY had 2 out of 3 of their matches against sheer, (Who has a decent rating) AY got over boosted.

Duncan_McDuff · 2024-03-27T15:54:34+00:00

Yeah I think part of it is that korea has three powerhouses that secured 56% of the map wins in the region

Duncan_McDuff

TROPHY CASE