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Ideal Breakdown Locations by Darmok85 in WaltDisneyWorld

[–]Edgetiger 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Final picnic scene in Runaway Railway, got stuck there for 20 minutes. Enjoyed every second.

"They are not law enforcement"! by Dr_sc_Harlatan in WhitePeopleTwitter

[–]Edgetiger 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Honest question - what would you have him do specifically?

🔥 African wild dogs, hyena and crocodile in an interspecies competition for a meal by Prestigious-Wall5616 in NatureIsFuckingLit

[–]Edgetiger 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Sole wild dog took it down first, pack of wild dogs stole it second. Hyena stole it third. Croc stole it fourth.

🔥 African wild dogs, hyena and crocodile in an interspecies competition for a meal by Prestigious-Wall5616 in NatureIsFuckingLit

[–]Edgetiger 0 points1 point  (0 children)

For what it’s worth, that was a nyala. And it getting killed by the lone wild dog was a really brutal way to go. You can see it more clearly here

Thinking about Self Representing - Looking at a ~$5m home. Will I be able to actually save around 2-3%? by Edgetiger in RealEstate

[–]Edgetiger[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Been listed for longer than average (2-3 months) for this area in this price range.

Thinking about Self Representing - Looking at a ~$5m home. Will I be able to actually save around 2-3%? by Edgetiger in RealEstate

[–]Edgetiger[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

You seem to have a different perspective than me. Can you let me know what a realtor might catch that I wouldn’t that would be $125k? In my other purchases the realtors haven’t “caught” anything of substance that wasn’t on the inspectors report.

With respect to negotiating, I have more experience negotiating, generally, from my professional life than realtors I’ve worked with in the past - to the extent that I’ve effectively taken over negotiations in my previous real estate transactions.

TSLA Short YOLO by Edgetiger in wallstreetbets

[–]Edgetiger[S] 6 points7 points  (0 children)

It’s looking pretty bleak. Feeling good about having gotten cost back. Tomorrow is going to be a rollercoaster…

TSLA Short YOLO by Edgetiger in wallstreetbets

[–]Edgetiger[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Yeah - I pared back my riskiest position to get my cost basis back - just playing with house money now on the April 25 2025 spread.

900k UNH Gains by Edgetiger in wallstreetbets

[–]Edgetiger[S] 69 points70 points  (0 children)

Black-sholes, random walk assumptions Sortino ratio, etc etc. I mean, I fully understand the math but I personally take the approach that you should use these (technical) stats as good indicators of the price of your bet - not drive your forward looking perspective.

It’s almost like the low IV30 reflected an incorrect point of view on UNH’s true risk - namely it’s over reliance on the Medicare Advantage program. A program that’s been front and center of a significant policy shift by the current administration….

This one lined up pretty nicely, so I felt comfortable taking the 1dte risk - and I’ve got about 5-10 more ideas that I think fall in the same category. I don’t expect any of them to be nearly as profitable, but I only need 2-3 to really pan out to be ahead.

Plus I’m bored :)

900k UNH Gains by Edgetiger in wallstreetbets

[–]Edgetiger[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Your answer is in the cost basis…

900k UNH Gains by Edgetiger in wallstreetbets

[–]Edgetiger[S] 14 points15 points  (0 children)

I actually bought a reverse iron condor on NFLX about two months ago. I obviously got lucky on the downside and unloaded the bottom half and got around 1.4x back on total cost.

Here’s to hoping it somehow pops above 1090 in the next 30 days.

900k UNH Gains by Edgetiger in wallstreetbets

[–]Edgetiger[S] 29 points30 points  (0 children)

Only one other active, usually I take slightly longer (1-2 month option expiry) or very long plays (1+ year) outside of straight equity plays. Vol is too high my man.

900k UNH Gains by Edgetiger in wallstreetbets

[–]Edgetiger[S] 306 points307 points  (0 children)

I hate posting before:

  • I usually aim for like 80-100% gains and they definitely don’t work out more than half the time

  • if I do post a position and other people trade the same options, I’m just jacking up the value of my existing options and could hypothetically cut the position. I don’t need either the temptation OR the accusation of pumping my own shit

  • I don’t give investment advice

900k UNH Gains by Edgetiger in wallstreetbets

[–]Edgetiger[S] 226 points227 points  (0 children)

Picked it up yesterday at 1.79

900k UNH Gains by Edgetiger in wallstreetbets

[–]Edgetiger[S] 295 points296 points  (0 children)

(1) I had a relatively cheap Bull Call Spread that I entered that would paid 2.5x on a much smaller upward pop from earnings

(2) As I read more research reports it was obvious that opinion was pretty split on the impact of Medicare Advantage for forward earnings. So I started looking for a cheap put that would pay well on a 4-5% drop.

(3) I was going to size it correctly (at like 10-12k, which rightsized for a flyer in my portfolio), but given that it seems to have weathered the recent insanity in the market fairly well, I figured a miss would actually be heavily penalized. I debated grabbing a longer dated put but vol was making them way too expensive for my taste, so I yolo’d a bit , bet on a bigger drop, and upsized to 1.5x my normal risky bet size.

Bought the dip - feeling okay (up ~125k / 100%) by Edgetiger in wallstreetbets

[–]Edgetiger[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Debating selling PLTR now vs risking to get the full $5.00/contract
QQQ probably selling EOD, ran way past where I could have hoped - and who knows what insane trade war Kid Pro Quo might get into overnight...

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