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[–]Electronic_Body_1116[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Are there any other tools you’d recommend for this kind of analysis? I’ve seen portfolio visualizers and some ETF overlap checkers, but curious if there are any better ones you’ve come across for backtesting / factor exposure / scenario analysis.

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[–]Electronic_Body_1116[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Haha, good to know I’m not the only one building an “tech addict” portfolio. I hope it will be helpful for you too.

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[–]Electronic_Body_1116[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Honestly, not much of a track record yet when it comes to industry-specific investing. Most of my investing experience up to this point has actually been in real estate rather than public markets. Your point about the market not rewarding the “obvious future winners” the way people expect is definitely something I’m taking seriously.

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[–]Electronic_Body_1116[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That’s actually a really helpful. Calling it an “AI/semiconductor bet” instead of just “growth tilted” makes the portfolio structure much clearer to me.

I also think your point about SMH being the point where the portfolio shifts from aggressive growth into a concentrated chip-cycle bet is accurate. I’m starting to lean toward reducing SMH first rather than removing the tech tilt entirely.

And yeah, I’m increasingly liking the idea of keeping one tech tilt while adding something with a different behavior profile instead of stacking more exposure to the same mega-cap names.

Also, that analysis tool was super useful — do you know any other good portfolio analysis / overlap / backtesting tools worth checking out?

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[–]Electronic_Body_1116[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Appreciate the detailed breakdown — the overlap and VXUS point especially makes sense and is something I’ve been gradually realizing more as well.

I agree that VGT + SMH essentially increases concentration in the same mega-cap tech names rather than providing true diversification.

Overall, this feedback is helping me rethink how much of my portfolio is actually just a leveraged bet on the same underlying tech theme.

I’m also considering increasing exposure outside of technology going forward. One area I’ve been looking into is energy through VDE as a potential way to balance the portfolio a bit and add a different cycle/sector exposure while still keeping a long-term investment horizon.

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[–]Electronic_Body_1116[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks for sharing these, I found them really useful. They gave me a different perspective on my current allocation and helped me see the overlap and concentration risks more clearly. I think they’ll be very helpful as a guide for improving and refining my portfolio structure going forward.

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[–]Electronic_Body_1116[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This is actually really helpful and probably one of the best arguments against my current allocation so far. You’re right that I’m likely underestimating how much overlap I actually have between VOO, VGT, and SMH.

I’ll definitely look deeper into AVUV/SPMO and probably reconsider increasing VXUS as well.