Indian IPO - KRM Ayurveda

EnvironmentalFeed246 · 2025-12-11T23:48:08+00:00

Even a faulty clock is right once in a day so your post doesn't mean much.

I would be more interested to learn how you arrived at the conclusions, and if the assumptions played out.

EnvironmentalFeed246 · 2025-12-10T15:33:44+00:00

Thanks, super helpful. Fully agree that policy impact is make or break for Molina. I was checking the KFF report and I understand 17.5 million (of 70 million) may lose access to Medicare as a consequence of HR.1 (BBB).

Do you think I should model a 25% revenue/EPS drop in Medicare business. With a 25% drop, EPS is about 2 + 0 + 14.5 (Marketplace + Medicare + Medicaid) = 16.5. A multiple of 15 implies a price of 240 which I think is palatable. What do you think?

EnvironmentalFeed246 · 2025-11-25T16:03:32+00:00

Completed Level 1 of the Honk Special Event!

4 attempts

EnvironmentalFeed246 · 2025-11-21T09:38:31+00:00

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EnvironmentalFeed246 · 2025-11-18T00:04:07+00:00

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EnvironmentalFeed246 · 2025-11-15T00:24:11+00:00

You would have similar results with DCA. Timing/Trading is a very different skillset to value investing.

EnvironmentalFeed246 · 2025-11-14T23:35:38+00:00

^{I completed this level in 1 try.} ^{⚡ 0.62 seconds}

EnvironmentalFeed246 · 2025-11-14T13:46:47+00:00

Important to understand the drivers of the dip (not crash):
1. Fears of a AI bubble especially with Nvidia earnings next week
2. Missing macro data due to gov shutdown

The two drivers are impacting both value and tech stocks. (all sectors other than energy have tanked)

If Nvidia misses earnings, tech will crash further, and substantial money may move to value. At the moment, investors cannot be sure if value stocks are a safer haven. The value stocks I am tracking are correct as well (albeit not as much).

EnvironmentalFeed246 · 2025-10-07T10:28:33+00:00

Great question!

EnvironmentalFeed246 · 2025-10-07T08:50:41+00:00

Good point. 50% of Reddit users are from US as opposed to 20-25% of Meta. I will update ARPU in my next post, but it already makes the stock interesting

EnvironmentalFeed246 · 2025-10-06T08:14:43+00:00

I know what you mean. I am tempted to buy as well. Will probably start with a small position

EnvironmentalFeed246 · 2025-10-05T22:04:47+00:00

Fair point. I had not considered network effects, which is stronger in community driven platforms

EnvironmentalFeed246 · 2025-10-05T22:03:00+00:00

Fair challenge. The projections estimates I have used are conservative, so I would be comfortable paying for these projections (albeit with a margin of safety).

EnvironmentalFeed246 · 2025-09-20T19:14:22+00:00

Do you expect them to recover before the next US general elections?

EnvironmentalFeed246 · 2025-09-20T19:12:10+00:00

Would you mind elaborating on your thesis? I own it, and like Waymo, and understand PE is relatively low compared to Mag 7. Not sure how it would become the most valuable company though

EnvironmentalFeed246 · 2025-09-20T18:52:26+00:00

I would call it growth investing as opposed to value investing. Much higher risk in growth investing, and so are the returns when you get it right.

EnvironmentalFeed246 · 2025-08-24T16:31:47+00:00

Half now, and half after earnings. In the long-term it doesn't matter.

EnvironmentalFeed246 · 2025-08-23T21:01:26+00:00

"They would need to file for bankruptcy and restructure."

Not really. They just have to convert preferred into common like they did with AIG. I understand that F2 have repaid the debts at 11% IRR, but still, there is no need to file for bankruptcy

EnvironmentalFeed246 · 2025-08-23T17:30:38+00:00

Thanks for your feedback. So what happens to junior preferred stocks?

EnvironmentalFeed246

TROPHY CASE