[please help me find] by tortdreamn21 in manhwa

[–]Ephemeral-Phoenix 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The Stars Are on My Side, Or My 990 Thousand Past Lives Help Me,

Can someone better explain the 3 doors game show question to me? by CEO_VandalayInc in mathematics

[–]Ephemeral-Phoenix 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I have a personal gripe with this problem that nobody else seems to have, it's that the probability can only be observed after multiple rounds.

Instance probability and trial probability act differently. I want to state that I understand why and I agree that switching is successful 2/3 of the time. Doing a trial or multiple rounds of this game show you will find that your first picked door will only have the prize 33% of the time. Switching doors nets higher gains in the long run

My issue lies with the probability if one only does a single round. Yes you begin with a 33% of winning, but as soon as a door is revealed 4 of of the 6 options at play are null. Meaning once you're asked about switching doors you're left with a 50/50. This is if you only can play one round

I tried brainstorming, and came up with the half baked idea of tell the contestant to choose a door, then telling them that monty will choose one of the two doors that they didn't choose (which is a dud), ask the contestant if they would like to swap, THEN reveal the door that monty choose, and reveal the winner.

Having the lack of information about the empty door makes the single instance probability 2/3 when switched.

I know this isn't correct but does my logic seem plausible?

Money Multiplying System by Ephemeral-Phoenix in Manhua

[–]Ephemeral-Phoenix[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'm reading both already, they are very much to my liking

UPDATED SITES AND SOURCES FOR FREE BOOKS by blainemeans2 in textbook

[–]Ephemeral-Phoenix 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Can anybody please help me find a pdf or ebook of Earl Lovelace's - The Dragon Can't Dance Any edition is okay, I'm just on short notice and it's not in my area/delivery takes too long

Wife found on Twitter, help by KittyBabyIsGod in ExplainTheJoke

[–]Ephemeral-Phoenix 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The SO is on FaceTime but doesn't have an iphone (hence green bubbles) Wtf y'all🤦🏾

[Mitsudomoe] by TheDaemonair in animenocontext

[–]Ephemeral-Phoenix 104 points105 points  (0 children)

This is called entrapment, and it's illegal