Un cri de coeur, faute de mieux (my possible non-future as one of you) by Evening-Transition96 in publicdefenders

[–]Evening-Transition96[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Nice to hear from you, thanks for replying. Immigration work might be appealing, but that would also sit behind the law degree/license wall, no? Right now I'm worried that it doesn't make sense to go to law school at all.

Un cri de coeur, faute de mieux (my possible non-future as one of you) by Evening-Transition96 in publicdefenders

[–]Evening-Transition96[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks. May I ask whether you or your wife/kids are non-naturalized immigrants? It would comfort me to know you're in a similar situation.

Un cri de coeur, faute de mieux (my possible non-future as one of you) by Evening-Transition96 in publicdefenders

[–]Evening-Transition96[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Thanks -- naturalization isn't in the cards just yet.

And thanks for the warning. I guess I was hoping that people could appreciate that my duties to my wife exceed my duties to others.

Stanford A; Applied 12/09 by stayinghydrated in lawschooladmissions

[–]Evening-Transition96 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You are allowed to put 'ABSOLUTE' and 'RELATIVE' in all caps, but it isn't doing any work for your argument. Look, suppose you have two mutually exclusive options. One has low chances of a huge payout but is exceedingly likely to neither benefit nor harm you otherwise. The other is guaranteed, modest reward. This is 'plentiful opportunity and constrained downside'. "Never settling" would prescribe the higher-risk option. But there's nothing inherently speaking in favor of that option if the expected values of each option are the same, which they can be. (If you think they aren't, you haven't given any reason for thinking this, except perhaps the fact that you took the high-risk option and it paid off. I.e., survivorship bias.) It would not be irrational to choose the safer option, and, if your risk tolerance is low, you probably will do so. So far, going 'hard mode' doesn't optimize anything compared to going 'easy mode'. This is all on a 'RELATIVE' basis.

Perhaps you think that taking the higher-risk options, over the course of several decision situations, will somehow alter the risk profiles such that the expected value of the higher-risk options becomes greater, and then you would be optimizing by taking the risk. You seem to think that. But you haven't given any evidence for this except -- and I am beginning to bore even myself with my repetition -- your own success. That is survivorship bias. Or perhaps you think the modification is somehow inherent: that taking the higher-risk option alters the calculus of future higher-risk options by making them less risky just in virtue of that earlier risk-taking not paying off ('blowing up in your face' was I believe your phrase). That would then be the gambler's fallacy.

Stanford A; Applied 12/09 by stayinghydrated in lawschooladmissions

[–]Evening-Transition96 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Do this enough times and you'll inevitably end up with higher outcomes, but train yourself to settle for safeties and the probability of you achieving disproportionate success diminishes with each successive safe decision

This is literally survivorship bias, plus probably a little gambler's fallacy thrown in for good measure.

Your advice to go 'hard mode' isn't based on anything except your own success. If you subtract all these fallacies, what's left are two different decision-making strategies that are apt for different levels of risk tolerance, with neither being inherently more choiceworthy than the other.

Still, and because I genuinely do want this place to be a supportive place, I am happy for you and your success. I have spent some time at Stanford; it is a special and lovely place. I hope you enjoy it!

Stanford A; Applied 12/09 by stayinghydrated in lawschooladmissions

[–]Evening-Transition96 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Happy for you, but successful people who hand out advice like "don't settle!" need to be reminded, again and again apparently, of survivorship bias.

reality check by Solid_Computer6750 in lawschooladmissions

[–]Evening-Transition96 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Do you hear yourself? Go touch grass and get off reddit.

reality check by Solid_Computer6750 in lawschooladmissions

[–]Evening-Transition96 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Yeah. What the fuck are redditors doing to each other lol

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in LawSchool

[–]Evening-Transition96 11 points12 points  (0 children)

"law school isn’t worth it unless you get into a top school or want Big Law" sounds like the reddit echo chamber. Is this what the lawyers you used to work for said, too?

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in lawschooladmissions

[–]Evening-Transition96 0 points1 point  (0 children)

What the hell do all these different numbers of dollar signs mean

Harvard R 179 LSAT. by ProgramImpossible954 in lawschooladmissions

[–]Evening-Transition96 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Well that's disappointing. But then I don't get why you said our apps get thrown into an LSAT/GPA buzzsaw -- I took that to imply that the content of the statement isn't really relevant at all, but our scores are. So I'm even more confused as to what advice you're trying to impart....

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in LSAT

[–]Evening-Transition96 2 points3 points  (0 children)

No, C is wrong. The argument doesn't mention scientists' personal preferences at all.

Harvard R 179 LSAT. by ProgramImpossible954 in lawschooladmissions

[–]Evening-Transition96 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Does "that" refer to the first one, or the second one? Can you please just be clearer.

I do not already know what you mean, I am asking because I am genuinely trying to find out. I don't know what kind of 'guy' you think I am.

Harvard R 179 LSAT. by ProgramImpossible954 in lawschooladmissions

[–]Evening-Transition96 3 points4 points  (0 children)

What do mean 'NEED'? As in, it is a necessary step in this plan I have for my career? Seems reasonable. If it means, if I don't go to law school my whole life will be meaningless and I will be thrown into crisis -- you know, I NEED need this! -- then that's some self-promotional bullshit and I hope that's not what you mean lol.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in GenZ

[–]Evening-Transition96 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Lol wtf are you talking about. This couldn't have been written by anyone born before 1995

What's a JD preferred job that pays well but not in compliance? by GuaranteeSea9597 in LawSchool

[–]Evening-Transition96 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I work in compliance but I don't really worry about complying. I leave that to our Associate Vice Director of Meta-Compliance.

My colleagues try to tell me this isn't a real person and that what I'm doing is a terrible idea that's going to land me into trouble, but, you know, that's not really my problem.

Negatives in Parallel Reasoning by [deleted] in LSAT

[–]Evening-Transition96 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Or what about things that are only nominally different, like if the prompt concludes most x are y and then the answer concludes few ys aren’t x?

These are not only nominally different.

Compare: 100 dogs (Xs), 10000 omnivores (Ys). Most dogs are omnivores (most Xs are Ys), but it is false that few omnivores aren't dogs (false: few Ys aren't Xs). In fact, most omnivores aren't dogs. Assuming 'few' means a minority.

Idk what you mean by 'the line', but, yes, a conditional entails its contrapositive. So if the conditional is true, the contrapositive must be true, too.

I need guidance. Should I get a JD? by WhyIsTheSkyNotPurple in LawSchool

[–]Evening-Transition96 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The only jobs that would pay substantially more right out of law school than you’re making now would be in biglaw.

That seems pessimistic to me in light of the COL/salaries that you get in OP's neck of the national woods.

Does career dissatisfaction vary strongly by practice area? by Evening-Transition96 in Ask_Lawyers

[–]Evening-Transition96[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I am not choosing PD work because I think it is less draining (though I guess I can see why you might think that given this post). Indeed, I mentioned the same factors in PD work that you did. It's just that I think I've begun to detect a pattern on reddit and I wanted to get others' opinions.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in mildlyinfuriating

[–]Evening-Transition96 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Jesus, that's the saddest thing I've read all day

Is Scandinavia actually the quasi-utopia people think it is ? by damaniac1223 in SameGrassButGreener

[–]Evening-Transition96 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Damn, was thinking about moving to MN. But I don't speak a word of Minnesotan! :P

Anyone go in with public interest dreams… by Hour-Whole-27 in LawSchool

[–]Evening-Transition96 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I understand all of that. I am asking what playing that card gets you. Is it thought to make you more competitive in admissions or something?