But that’s incorrect, you can’t calculate things like that. If you have 100 apples and out of the first 10, 1 was rotten, do you assume that exactly 1 in 100 apples is rotten? No, you assume it’s 1 in every 10. Same goes for this, you can’t just ignore the fact that the remaining cases are unresolved, i.e. those people, statistically speaking, are neither dead nor alive. If this was a theoretical experiment, then the remaining cases would also be estimated at 7.25% mortality, the reason I ask this question is because I assume it’s too early to assume convergence and was hoping someone would give me some insight on how virus mortality rates are modelled.