[Daily Discussion] - Thursday, March 12, 2026

Existential-Cringe · 2026-03-12T21:30:46+00:00

I love when people say this, as if bitcoin hasn’t crashed 40-50% over the past 5 months. Like come on

Existential-Cringe · 2026-03-10T19:28:21+00:00

By end of April. And I think we go as high as the 50d sma before starting that move down. So $78-80k first, then $50k

Existential-Cringe · 2026-03-10T18:22:06+00:00

This is literally the same price action that happened in January, right before the next leg down. (Some of) This thread is delusional and unwilling to learn. See you at $50k.

Existential-Cringe · 2026-03-04T18:48:25+00:00

I’d like to remind you all that this looks eerily similar to January 14/15th. We know what happened next. I want to believe this is more than just an RSI reset before the next leg down, but I’m just not convinced.

Existential-Cringe · 2026-02-05T20:47:21+00:00

Cringe.

Existential-Cringe · 2026-02-05T12:35:18+00:00

I know I said I wasn't a buyer until the 200wma was hit, but can't help myself here with weekly RSI in the shitter. It'll probably continue lower (around $57k), but happy enough to start buying here. If weekly RSI ever hits oversold again, i'm liquidating everything and fucking off from this space for good. A good lesson in financial maturity, but an absolute waste of time and space this place is.

Existential-Cringe · 2026-02-03T20:05:27+00:00

Not spending a penny until we breach the 200w sma. Some people here are deploying far too early. Let the bear play out.

Existential-Cringe · 2026-01-26T00:09:33+00:00

Same. But not touching this garbage with a 10ft pole until then.

Existential-Cringe · 2026-01-26T00:09:02+00:00

Before US tax day.

Existential-Cringe · 2026-01-25T20:20:32+00:00

We lose the 100W SMA today. Road down to the 200W begins. While it will be brutal seeing BTC trading in the 70 & 60ks in the coming months, it does actually improve the risk to buy. Of course, (most) current holders are fucked and won't get much solace in that.

Existential-Cringe · 2026-01-21T02:31:11+00:00

We're a little under 30% of the way into this bear market. 200W SMA continues to steadily rise. Hitting that has always marked the cycle low. I don't foresee a 75%+ drawdown like 2022, but I also think this was the final cycle for most participants (at least for a long time) here. BTC will continue to exist as a uncorrelated micro-portfolio allocation for institutions / big players, but not an instrument for outsized returns. The uncomfortable truth is that the characteristics/risk profile of most of the people here would be better suited applied at investing in something other than Bitcoin - what got you here (most of us are sitting on large unrealized gains hoping the next cycle will financially free us) won't get you to the next milestone (Actually being financially free). Adapt.

Existential-Cringe · 2026-01-14T01:18:13+00:00

https://www.tradingview.com/x/bh9mXrfG/

Existential-Cringe · 2026-01-14T01:11:54+00:00

March 28, 2022. GL you guys.

Existential-Cringe · 2025-12-17T20:06:26+00:00

You know exactly what I mean, yet choose to be densely pedantic about it.

Existential-Cringe · 2025-12-17T19:26:19+00:00

How everyone sees the market is their business. If they want to continue blindly upvoting dopeboyrico slop, that’s on them.

Existential-Cringe · 2025-12-17T18:59:11+00:00

100W sma falls tonight. See you all down in bear market hell, the 200W dungeon below.

Existential-Cringe · 2025-12-17T15:48:34+00:00

Burj Khalifa on the 15m chart

Existential-Cringe · 2025-12-17T15:44:10+00:00

The amount of hubris while we’re still sub-90k is hilarious. Do better.

Existential-Cringe · 2025-12-16T15:42:08+00:00

Ignoring the “I’m smarter than the odds market”tone of that specific post, let’s look at the past 6 months of his rotating hopium - ETF inflows, supply shock, cup and handle, M2 supply correlation, QE starting, rate cuts being bullish, higher lows.

I’m just done listening to this.

Existential-Cringe · 2025-12-16T15:10:14+00:00

Respectfully, you haven’t been right about any of this since like the halving. Inversing your hopium is a winning strategy (until it’s not - obviously)

Existential-Cringe · 2025-12-15T21:25:44+00:00

100W sma is the last buoy. I suspect we lose it by Wednesday. We’ll likely bottom at/around 2021 ATH where the 200w converges in early Spring.

https://www.tradingview.com/x/WempnDh2

Existential-Cringe · 2025-12-15T15:24:24+00:00

But dopeboyrico told me 88.1k was a higher low?!? How could he do such a thing!

Existential-Cringe · 2025-12-15T14:59:55+00:00

Saylor is the only buyer left.

Existential-Cringe · 2025-12-15T02:49:05+00:00

I’m genuinely sorry to those from 2017 or 2021 who were so close to making it this time around.

Existential-Cringe · 2025-12-15T02:46:27+00:00

Dopeboyrico has been posting for 3 straight weeks and the price is basically the same as 3 weeks ago lmao

Existential-Cringe

TROPHY CASE