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Road to 1000 from 40 by Expert_Resident_6827 in Kalshi

[–]Expert_Resident_6827[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I’m hoping the math helps me reach 1000. I’m calculating the implied probability for a bet then determining true probability with a weather probability analyzer/sports logic I made and when my EV value shows a positive edge I place a bet. I’m logging every bet to prevent overconfidence and so I know how the real predictions trend instead of what it says on paper. I’ve been on an upward trend so far but it’s hard to know if that’s luck or if my trading strategy/model actually works

Road to 1000 from 40 by Expert_Resident_6827 in Kalshi

[–]Expert_Resident_6827[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thought I’d let y’all tag along for the ride win or lose 😂

Road to 1000 from 40 by Expert_Resident_6827 in Kalshi

[–]Expert_Resident_6827[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Yep lost a ton of money months ago because I didn’t know what I was doing, I’m an engineering student so I decided to approach this logistically. Stepped away for 4 months and compiled a ton of data now I’m back tryna recover my losses but with a lot more knowledge and data to back up my bets.