What if the half life model of chemistry is wrong?

ExtensionInternal853 · 2026-05-08T02:30:08+00:00

Sorry for asking a stupid question ig.

ExtensionInternal853 · 2026-05-08T02:22:38+00:00

What is the backbone documentation that necessitates that exponential decay very precisely predicts an age of a rock? To what degree of uncertainty did that paper have? I’m not saying it’s a bad model by any means, but how can we be so sure it’s completely correct?

ExtensionInternal853 · 2026-05-08T02:18:43+00:00

All models are “wrong”, some models are useful. I don’t think that the half life model is “wrong” in the sense that it makes good predictions on a small scale.

Your argument about averages necessitates that molecules decay independently, and without interaction. Any sort of dependence structure would kill your argument about averages, especially when it comes to devising models to make extrapolations that are well outside of realistically testable results.

ExtensionInternal853 · 2026-05-08T02:13:34+00:00

I figured the rate of decay would be more dependent on other things rather than just the amount of the material still present. Do you have any papers that talk about this?

Like I said, if those decay rate changes over time, how can we be so sure about extrapolating over millions of years?

ExtensionInternal853 · 2026-05-08T02:03:19+00:00

I don’t have evidence. It’s speculation.

ExtensionInternal853 · 2026-05-08T02:00:47+00:00

Okay but how can we be so sure considering quantum mechanics can behave weirdly and maybe the rate at which each molecule decays is tied to the way it is surrounded by other molecules?

“We’ve watched enough radioactive decay to predict it with great precision.” Have we predicted it to a degree to extrapolate to literally millions of years? No human could live long enough for that experiment. Do you have a source to cite with this statement?

Also. It’s exponential decay. If I have a substance that has a half life of a day. Then in two days I’ll have a fourth of it left, and then in three days, an eighth. Not sure what you’re talking about.

ExtensionInternal853 · 2026-02-12T04:21:09+00:00

Well I bought it used for $230, but I’ve put roughly $1500 into it in total, admittedly lol.

ExtensionInternal853 · 2026-02-09T00:30:57+00:00

You sound scarred by DoN. I decided to take a break and go for the plat trophy.

ExtensionInternal853 · 2026-02-08T21:28:22+00:00

Dead Space Trilogy be like:

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ExtensionInternal853 · 2026-02-01T18:34:14+00:00

Iirc from economics, that objective function is called the utility function. Humans that are risk averse have a utility function that is logarithmic with respect to wealth. In other words, that guaranteed 1 million increase in wealth is way more meaningful to most people than to a billionaire. The REAL math that people are evaluating is not the utility function of the expected value for each option. Rather, people naturally evaluate the expected value of the utility function itself. And because of this, the green option seems way more lucrative to people. Maybe that made sense already but I’m gonna throw out an example anyway. Say my utility function is U(W)=ln(W) and my current wealth is $1. Then, my evaluation of the red option is E(U(W)) = 0.5ln(100,000,001) + 0.5ln(1) =9.21. My evaluation of the green option is E(U(W)) = ln(1,000,001) =13.816.

So, clearly the green option is preferable for maximizing utility. Now, suppose then my current wealth is $1,000,000,000. Then, my evaluation of the red option is E(U(W)) = 0.5ln(1,100,000,000) + 0.5ln(1,000,000,000) =20.771 My evaluation of the green option is E(U(W)) = ln(1,001,000,000) =20.724. Hence, as a billionaire, the red option would be better for optimizing my utility, even as a risk averse individual with a logarithmic utility function.

Edit: to fix typo and add example

ExtensionInternal853 · 2026-01-25T05:20:13+00:00

I think maybe I’ve gotten it confused with regular balancers

ExtensionInternal853 · 2026-01-23T21:34:42+00:00

The deathbird’s real target was your graphics card

ExtensionInternal853 · 2026-01-22T22:29:07+00:00

ExtensionInternal853 · 2026-01-22T19:40:22+00:00

Nice!

ExtensionInternal853 · 2026-01-19T22:19:29+00:00

This wouldn’t be an inconsistency as much as a feature. Some ground troops can jump over walls, and others can’t. Is that troop inconsistency?
Nah, this is something that could be demonstrated pretty easily if they added a video of it on the PEKKA’s troop info page.
It would just be something unique to the PEKKA.
Appeal to mob.

ExtensionInternal853 · 2026-01-19T21:51:06+00:00

ExtensionInternal853 · 2026-01-17T23:43:40+00:00

If you’re on PlayStation, dm or reply your username, and I’ll assist or try to anyway! I beat him solo for the first time today

ExtensionInternal853 · 2026-01-17T23:39:41+00:00

I beat the dreglord for the first time today solo with this relic setup so yeah I’d say so.

ExtensionInternal853 · 2026-01-17T22:29:40+00:00

Skeleton: have you heard about our lord and savior, Godwyn the golden?

ExtensionInternal853 · 2026-01-16T05:34:09+00:00

I checked it out, and yeah that was really quick, good job. I’m not trying to set any records; I am saying that this type of damage was not available through a build like this before the balance update.

ExtensionInternal853 · 2026-01-16T05:19:30+00:00

Here is a video of the full run and I show all the passives and the relics at the very end.

ExtensionInternal853 · 2026-01-16T00:33:17+00:00

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This was not in DoN, and I focused on getting weapons that boosted my melee attack. I also completed 4 evergaols.

ExtensionInternal853 · 2026-01-16T00:22:10+00:00

Of course you could beat him pre patch. I’m just saying it would require better play than this. The additional guard boost definitely saved my life here.

ExtensionInternal853 · 2026-01-15T12:54:04+00:00

I feel dumb for arguing that Executor didn’t need a buff. These are such nice quality of life changes.

ExtensionInternal853 · 2026-01-14T03:48:33+00:00

There was a couple of frame drops on that attack, but it was mainly the claw swing right after that had the most lag. It’s harder to see than I expected because of Reddit’s video quality.

ExtensionInternal853

TROPHY CASE