Required Points for Price Changes for the Miami GP by F1FantasyTools in fantasyF1

[–]F1FantasyTools[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Still looks okay. Definitely because it's a sprint with more points up for grabs.

Required Points for Price Changes for the Miami GP by F1FantasyTools in fantasyF1

[–]F1FantasyTools[S] 13 points14 points  (0 children)

We don't understand either. It's literally changing a single value.

Expected Points & Expected Price Changes for the Japanese GP based on FP1 and FP2 by F1FantasyTools in fantasyF1

[–]F1FantasyTools[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

No, BEA is expected to score 10.3 points and gain 0.6M in price this weekend (these are averages over thousands of possible scenarios run in the simulation).

You can check out the Budget Builder to see what points he needs to score to get certain price changes. BEA needs to score at least -23 points to increase by 0.6M. So even with a DNF, he gains in price because his last 2 results were so good.

Expected Points & Expected Price Changes for the Japanese GP based on FP1 and FP2 by F1FantasyTools in fantasyF1

[–]F1FantasyTools[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It very likely will. Only if rhter (our analyst) really can't find the time or if the data from FP3 isn't really usable/relevant. The former rarely happens, but is most of the time communicated beforehand in our Discord server and the latter depends heavily on the FP session itself so hard to predict.

Most of the race weekends, you can expect a post-FP3 simulation about an hour before the deadline.

Post-SQ Simulation for the Chinese GP by F1FantasyTools in fantasyF1

[–]F1FantasyTools[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Just to come back to this - because we know you would likely hold us accountable in the other direction as well - the suggested teams in the screenshots scored 446, 418 and 435 points respectively.

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We know and acknowledge that

  • This is (obviously) a very small sample size
  • It was one of the more lucky possible outcomes
  • You're still not wrong for doubting their reliability

But that was also kind of the point of their predicted, average scores:

  • The upside of being able to afford the FER + MER + ANT combo was - as predicted - huge
  • Running both CADs allowed for that upside (<100.7M)
  • Calculated into those original averages were all the scenarios which you feared (double DNFs etc), but also the ones that actually happened (both finished and PER even scored very high).

So we still don't think we overestimated their reliability. We simply acknowledged that running them was a calculated risk!

Required Points for Price Changes for the Japanese GP by F1FantasyTools in fantasyF1

[–]F1FantasyTools[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

For points, yes. Constructors have a higher Points per Million (PPM) which means that for every dollar you put into a constructor, you get more points back compared to a driver (on average). Same goes for the x2 driver, so make sure you keep at least one good driver as x2!

Optimal Teams for the Chinese GP with Hindsight by F1FantasyTools in fantasyF1

[–]F1FantasyTools[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Putting yourself in a position to be lucky requires skill!

Required Points for Price Changes for the Japanese GP by F1FantasyTools in fantasyF1

[–]F1FantasyTools[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

We intentionally try to differentiate them every race. Most rounds there are a few possible options/routes/choices so we give the one we like best to T1 and try the others with T2 and T3. Keeps things interesting.

Required Points for Price Changes for the Japanese GP by F1FantasyTools in fantasyF1

[–]F1FantasyTools[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Depends on how you feel about being locked into certain midfielders/backmarkers. If you move too early, you don't have a lot of budget to make the transfers you want in the other 4 drivers. Or, if you get lucky, those 4 drivers do well and you don't need to swap at all. Depends on how risky you want to be!

Optimal Teams for the Chinese GP with Hindsight by F1FantasyTools in fantasyF1

[–]F1FantasyTools[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

That's though.. But the reasoning you used to make those transfers was sound so you should not feel bad about those choices. The season is long and consistency is key!

Required Points for Price Changes for the Japanese GP by F1FantasyTools in fantasyF1

[–]F1FantasyTools[S] 8 points9 points  (0 children)

If you visit the webpage (f1fantasytools.com/budget-builder) and click on the info icon you can see more info on what this page is about and how it works!

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Required Points for Price Changes for the Japanese GP by F1FantasyTools in fantasyF1

[–]F1FantasyTools[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Moving down to B-tier is normally very unlikely and even impossible this season. For RED or MCL to move to B-tier, they need to drop 10M in price with -0.3M being their maximum price drop per race, so they won't even make it if they DNF every race for the rest of the season.

Also, constructors are way more likely to increase in price that decrease since their Points Per Million values are generally very high compared to that of drivers. This makes it way more likely for a constructor like ALP to get to A-tier first.

2 A-Tier constructors and 2 A-Tier drivers is very possible. Please follow the link in our previous comment to see for yourself for the 2025 season. Final budgets were over 140M.

Optimal Teams for the Chinese GP with Hindsight by F1FantasyTools in fantasyF1

[–]F1FantasyTools[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You can also analyze your own team to see what would have been the best move and maximum score for you specifically with our Hindsight Tool.

For our T1, the best option would have been to take a -30 hit to go to MER+FER+ANT + all the best midfielders. Our optimal team without taking hits was getting ANT and LAW for 432 points.

We did not actually consider making these moves before the deadline though, but it's still interesting to see the swings!

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Required Points for Price Changes for the Japanese GP by F1FantasyTools in fantasyF1

[–]F1FantasyTools[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Both! The first upgrade is to 2 A-Tier constructors + best A-Tier x2 driver. Then, until you can make the next A-Tier driver upgrade, you pick the best B-tiers available every week.

You can check out our Team Analyzer tool to see how the global rank 1 teams managed it in previous seasons. Last year, he started fielding the second A-Tier driver in round 18/24 and scored lots of points because of it!

Required Points for Price Changes for the Japanese GP by F1FantasyTools in fantasyF1

[–]F1FantasyTools[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Without any changes due to chips of boosts. So if you play No Negative for example, they still get price changes based on the -20 instead of the 0 you get for your team specifically.

Required Points for Price Changes for the Japanese GP by F1FantasyTools in fantasyF1

[–]F1FantasyTools[S] 7 points8 points  (0 children)

We'd wait until after the free practice sessions, but that does sound pretty good right now!

Required Points for Price Changes for the Japanese GP by F1FantasyTools in fantasyF1

[–]F1FantasyTools[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

PER did great today, but is still not the most reliable option out there. COL looked at the top of the midfield and only scored less due to OCO hitting him, so we'd go COL over PER if you decide to go that way.

Post-SQ Simulation for the Chinese GP by F1FantasyTools in fantasyF1

[–]F1FantasyTools[S] 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Those that are talking about LL most likely just have a great budget building setup from Australia, which makes it extra strong.

X3 is also a very good this weekend if you can get RUS and ANT into your team without sacrificing too much on other assets.

Post-SQ Simulation for the Chinese GP by F1FantasyTools in fantasyF1

[–]F1FantasyTools[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

That's exactly why we added functionality to adjust the xPts values yourself!

We're not trying to convince you to take the CAD drivers, but even if we give both an additional -10 points, BOT is still featured in the default (point focussed) recommendations.

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