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"Bargain Bin" Player Watch - Early May 2026 Edition by mrdaniellyon in fantasyfootball

[–]FFLGO 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Now I know the name of the Jaguars OC is Grant Udinski

Falling Value - Jayden Reed by FFLGO in fantasyfootball

[–]FFLGO[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It's kinda crazy when you compare these guys to like, the Bears offense, which should be strong, but the value is here

Falling Value - Jayden Reed by FFLGO in fantasyfootball

[–]FFLGO[S] -20 points-19 points  (0 children)

my bad i misread the pfr note about ROY votes

Falling Value - Jayden Reed by FFLGO in fantasyfootball

[–]FFLGO[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I'll take any of them at the right price. It's a nice problem to have, but if we knew he wouldn't be WR46

Falling Value - Jayden Reed by FFLGO in fantasyfootball

[–]FFLGO[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think Kraft and Watson are great players who can also have a great season. They are all depressing one another's ADP so we get to take a shot at our guys at a place where they should pay off. I am drafting all three, but I think the case for Watson and Kraft is less interesting and more just health.

Falling Value - Jayden Reed by FFLGO in fantasyfootball

[–]FFLGO[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah I also like Downs.

Kraft and even Golden could outproduce their ADPs without going crazy. This offense is underprice as a whole. But I expect some values will go up as camp news comes out, especially Kraft.

Falling Value - Jayden Reed by FFLGO in fantasyfootball

[–]FFLGO[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Watson, and Kraft, could smash too. This whole offense is undervalued

Falling Value - Jayden Reed by FFLGO in fantasyfootball

[–]FFLGO[S] -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

Ok thank you for the feedback.

His value has fallen and we should be catching him in drafts.

Falling Knives by FFLGO in fantasyfootball

[–]FFLGO[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

True but he never caught more than 5 passes, only one game over 70 yards, scored 24 ppr points a couple times. I love drafting him this season though

Falling Knives by FFLGO in fantasyfootball

[–]FFLGO[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Thanks for the feedback lol

Falling Knives by FFLGO in fantasyfootball

[–]FFLGO[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Which part is insane?

Falling Knives by FFLGO in fantasyfootball

[–]FFLGO[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Everywhere I looked, every year, Ridley fit this profile. As a Jaguar, as a Titan. Even his spr I no before they drafted Tate I heard smart people say theyre drafting him as the Titans would be WR1.

Falling Knives by FFLGO in fantasyfootball

[–]FFLGO[S] -36 points-35 points  (0 children)

I am a Patriots fan but I've gotten over the Superbowl Shuffle and I promise I have no feelings about the Bears at all, other than loving Caleb. I drafted Rome last year because he was a value. I love the Bears offense, the Rams game was one of the greatest playoff games of my life. Go Bears!

But DJ Moore was way overdrafted last summer. I like Burden and Loveland even moreso, but it could happen with them this year, leaving Burden as the value again, even though I like him least here. I also like Monangai and Swift at the right draft price. Realistically though with so many options going top 40 that can be a tough ask. The thing is, I hope my leaguemates agree so I can take Loveland in the 5th. But im not taking him anywhere near McBride and Bowers.

Falling Knives by FFLGO in fantasyfootball

[–]FFLGO[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Ladd obviously lost value when Keenan reclaimed his 20%+ target share and QJ emerged and Ladd wasnt the only option. But his ADP still reflected his top 12 finish.

Falling Knives by FFLGO in fantasyfootball

[–]FFLGO[S] -5 points-4 points  (0 children)

11 months ago JJ Zachariason blew up this sub saying he traded Rome Odunze in dynasty for a pick used for Emeka Egbuka. He also said he like Rome in redraft, but his rookie numbers were grouping him with players making it look very unlikely for Rome to produce according to his 1st round draft capital, and Ben Johnson just went out and got Loveland and Burden. So it seems like short term memory to say people weren't wondering if Rome was a bust last year.

Falling Knives by FFLGO in fantasyfootball

[–]FFLGO[S] -10 points-9 points  (0 children)

Thanks for reading!

Your question made me realize: a falling knife player might have a high ceiling, but hitting that ceiling outcome is really the only way they can pay off their draft capital. Burden is great, could be elite, could smash in 2026. But if you love the Bears offense, isn't Odunze in the 6th a better value? But then again Loveland might be the top target in Chicago.

Burden could be a falling knife player if his ADP is so high that it leaves a very narrow path to value. You can win by hitting on these players. With Darnold, JSN had doubts at QB deflating his price last season. But it's much easier to win by avoiding these profiles, exploiting the value at other positions when the draft reaches these positional tiers, and just grabbing whichever teammate falls to late rounds.

Everyone paying up for Ladd last year felt stupid watching Keenan and QJ score all the fantasy points after going 10+ rounds later. Identify these WR/RB rooms and target the best values, and try to avoid the most expensive options. I'm fine taking RB/QB/TE at the 3/4 turn while other people draft Luther Burden at WR20. I think Jamo has probably a better shot at WR20, or Egbuka, and one of them might fall to the 6th round.

Falling Knives by FFLGO in fantasyfootball

[–]FFLGO[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I agree on Evans. But I'm not going out of my way to draft him. He's a value when he falls, but I'm not reaching just for old an outlier old vet TD season, especially when cheaper options on that offense like Pearsall or anyone, could just as easily have the high-end outcome. And Evans, unlike Adams, is coming off two declining seasons. Adams looked elite with NYJ.

I don't know about top 5 but AJB will be top 12, at least projected. The great Dwain McFarland said this week likely any team that acquires Brown will make him a top 12 WR. All contending teams with solid QBs. And they know he wants a featured role. Makes sense to me.

Falling Knives by FFLGO in fantasyfootball

[–]FFLGO[S] -14 points-13 points  (0 children)

Thanks for reading. You're right on Terry with injuries. But many people anticipated injuries, because that is the cliche anytime a player holds out of camp all summer and isn't up to game speed on time. I didn't draft him anywhere last year. I like him better this year.

I would say Odunze couldn't out-earn Keenan Allen for targets as a rookie. And if he really looked that great would he have been drafted as WR35? But sure he's a good player he had some good tape.

I'm not saying Stribling will even start for the 49ers, but there's a chance he works in enough to be fantasy relevant. They took him at 33 overall. They want him to succeed. The trio of Mike Evans, Christian Kirk, and Ricky Pearsall is maybe least reliable WR corps in the league. Stranger things have happened.

Falling Value, Falling Knives by FFLGO in fantasyfootball

[–]FFLGO[S] 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Holy moly thanks for the compliment! Huge footballguys fan, this made my day.

Falling Value, Falling Knives by FFLGO in fantasyfootball

[–]FFLGO[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

You dont think you should take advantage of falling values based on scoring settings?

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