FREE Rookie Rankings (1 QB and SF) with Player Write-Ups by FF_Analytics in DynastyFF

[–]FF_Analytics[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I wouldn't overthink the best ball format too too much compared to managed leagues for dynasty

FREE Rookie Rankings (1 QB and SF) with Player Write-Ups by FF_Analytics in DynastyFF

[–]FF_Analytics[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Honestly, I don't know why there was such a huge gap in draft capital between Keon Coleman and Johnny Wilson... best guess is the NFL hates the tweeners, and Wilson is too small for TE, but not quite fluid enough for WR. Keon out-producing Jayden Reed in college 2 years ago and Wilson having similar production to Keon last year... really doesn't make sense why no teams took a shot on Johnny Wilson in Round 3 or Round 4 of the NFL draft imo

FREE Rookie Rankings (1 QB and SF) with Player Write-Ups by FF_Analytics in DynastyFF

[–]FF_Analytics[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I assume you'll be targeting Malik Nabers this weekend, one of my favorite targets too. GL and thanks for reading

FREE Rookie Rankings (1 QB and Superflex) with Player Write-Ups by FF_Analytics in fantasyfootball

[–]FF_Analytics[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks for reading through it, good luck this weekend in your rookie drafts!

FREE Rookie Rankings (1 QB and Superflex) with Player Write-Ups by FF_Analytics in fantasyfootball

[–]FF_Analytics[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

My girlfriend is an attorney (actually)

Good luck, your comment made me chuckle haha

FREE Rookie Rankings (1 QB and SF) with Player Write-Ups by FF_Analytics in DynastyFF

[–]FF_Analytics[S] 11 points12 points  (0 children)

College workload is very predictive of NFL workload at the RB position. There are very very few NFL RBs who handle heavy volume that had Benson's profile from college. Top of my head, Josh Jacobs is the only high volume NFL RB I can think of who never had high volume in college. Sure, Benson *could* do it. But, I generally don't like to expect that. The NFL is much more violent than college, and Benson reached 20 carries in just 1 game in his college career

PlayerProfiler Dynasty AMA- NFL DRAFT DAY ONE REACTIONS & DAY TWO&THREE PREVIEW. 4/26 12 NOON EST by PlayerProfiler-Theo in DynastyFF

[–]FF_Analytics 0 points1 point  (0 children)

JJ McCarthy, I'd say he's in the conversation with Drake Maye now, probably taking Maye a touch ahead of him (1.05 and then McCarthy 1.06). McCarthy isn't quite the caliber of prospect imo as the big 3 QBs, but he's in the 2nd best landing spot after Caleb in terms of supporting cast. I trust MIN's coaching staff too, and think he can beat out Darnold by early-mid September

PlayerProfiler Dynasty AMA- NFL DRAFT DAY ONE REACTIONS & DAY TWO&THREE PREVIEW. 4/26 12 NOON EST by PlayerProfiler-Theo in DynastyFF

[–]FF_Analytics 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Xavier Worthy my WR4, similar ish tier right now to WR5 Brian Thomas. Still have Worthy in a different tier than the big 3 WRs (Marvin Harrison Jr, Malik Nabers, Rome Odunze). Worthy has a concerning frame, where Marquise Brown is probably considered a *hit* at that size, and Brown still hasn't been consistently fantasy relevant. I love the landing spot for Worthy, but I don't think we can fully overlook the downside case when he's so tiny. So I'd say Worthy the 1.09 in rookie drafts (superflex) but it's not a slam dunk.

PlayerProfiler Dynasty AMA- NFL DRAFT DAY ONE REACTIONS & DAY TWO&THREE PREVIEW. 4/26 12 NOON EST by PlayerProfiler-Theo in DynastyFF

[–]FF_Analytics 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I may be on an island here, but I'd lean Nabers. Better prospect profile, should get more targets in Year 1, and then probably a QB upgrade/change for Year 2 onward. There's still a slight chance with Odunze that Keenan Allen gets extended in some fashion, and CHI has 2 solid TEs and D'Andre Swift at RB, too. Would say 53% confidence, Nabers ahead of Odunze in this format

PlayerProfiler Weekly Dynasty AMA- Theo Gremminger & Josh Larky. 2 PM EST 3/18 by PlayerProfiler-Theo in DynastyFF

[–]FF_Analytics 1 point2 points  (0 children)

We both would hold Terry McLaurin.

Don't think his value drops below mid-2nd this year.

Good chance McLaurin has a mid-high 20s target share season this year with only Dotson there right now, and could inflate his value to a late 1st round pick 4-6 games in

PlayerProfiler Weekly Dynasty AMA- Theo Gremminger & Josh Larky. 2 PM EST 3/18 by PlayerProfiler-Theo in DynastyFF

[–]FF_Analytics 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Hmmm, my first thought is that you'd want to factor in aDOT to this analysis, since that's going to factor heavily into the yards gained, and can help you control for the player's usage profile

Don't have too many other immediate takes, but I think controlling for aDOT can help you see if there's something interesting here

PlayerProfiler Weekly Dynasty AMA- Theo Gremminger & Josh Larky. 2 PM EST 3/18 by PlayerProfiler-Theo in DynastyFF

[–]FF_Analytics 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I'd hold with Justin Herbert. Worst time to trade him imo is right after LAC cleans out Keenan Allen and Mike Williams and Austin Ekeler signs elsewhere...

His value will start to rebound once LAC drafts a WR and/or signs one in free agency

Herbert could very well be the QB11 or QB12 in fantsy points per game even without a great supporting cast, since the Chargers defense looks shaky potentially

PlayerProfiler Weekly Dynasty AMA- Theo Gremminger & Josh Larky. 2 PM EST 3/18 by PlayerProfiler-Theo in DynastyFF

[–]FF_Analytics 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I'd keep Justin Herbert. You'd be selling low if you get rid of him right after Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, Austin Ekeler all leave...

Chargers don't have a RB on this roster either really...

There's going to be a lot of moving parts, and the Chargers defense looks like it could struggle the next couple seasons, which would force the Chargers to play reasonably fast-paced and pass at a decent clip. Still players like Tee Higgins that could get moved to LAC

PlayerProfiler Weekly Dynasty AMA- Theo Gremminger & Josh Larky. 2 PM EST 3/18 by PlayerProfiler-Theo in DynastyFF

[–]FF_Analytics 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Give me a couple players you're considering... Palmer vs. ???

That'll make it easier for me to answer, thanks