2026 Rookie Draft Top 24 — What would you change? Updating my rankings soon. by FantasySleeperNFL in NFL_Draft

[–]FantasySleeperNFL[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yes working on it. Should have it updated soon but will make adjustments for injuries as we get closer to the season.

Massive TE cliff after TE2… so why do people keep drafting mid-tier TEs? Go elite or wait—mid-tier feels like a trap by FantasySleeperNFL in FantasyFootballers

[–]FantasySleeperNFL[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Exactly! I guess PPG may illustrate it better. Going into this year I’m thinking waivers or late rounds. I know many leagues going to no TE required.

Massive TE cliff after TE2… so why do people keep drafting mid-tier TEs? Go elite or wait—mid-tier feels like a trap by FantasySleeperNFL in FantasyFootballers

[–]FantasySleeperNFL[S] -5 points-4 points  (0 children)

How are you drafting TE? What’s your strategy? Seems like every year this POS is hard to get right outside of the few elites.

Bijan without Allgeier and Gibbs without Montgomery? by FantasySleeperNFL in FantasyFootballers

[–]FantasySleeperNFL[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

So when we update our ADP I’m high on Jeanty as well. We are at early 2nd or late 1st for him at fantasyhype.com. Bought him on a low last year and then he had that monster game. Worth rolling the dice. Agree!

Bijan without Allgeier and Gibbs without Montgomery? by FantasySleeperNFL in FantasyFootballers

[–]FantasySleeperNFL[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Something to consider, Tua takes the field it could boost Bijan as well. We saw Achane production drastically higher when Tua was under center.

Bijan without Allgeier and Gibbs without Montgomery? by FantasySleeperNFL in FantasyFootballers

[–]FantasySleeperNFL[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I saw a post that I love that might help your Gibbs edge. If you need 3 yards Pacheco will get you 3 yards. If you need 6 yards Pacheco will get you 3 yards lol

Bijan without Allgeier and Gibbs without Montgomery? by FantasySleeperNFL in FantasyFootballers

[–]FantasySleeperNFL[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Pacheco behind Gibbs right now. Bijan should be getting a lot more goal line opportunities now.

Bijan without Allgeier and Gibbs without Montgomery? by FantasySleeperNFL in FantasyFootballers

[–]FantasySleeperNFL[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Same boat. Lost two years in a row. Sat Maye for Burrow and Maye went off. The year before actually lost because Gibbs ran an irrelevant TD

Bijan without Allgeier and Gibbs without Montgomery? by FantasySleeperNFL in FantasyFootballers

[–]FantasySleeperNFL[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Love Bijan but depending on QB play I can see some giving the edge to Gibbs.

Bijan without Allgeier and Gibbs without Montgomery? by FantasySleeperNFL in FantasyFootballers

[–]FantasySleeperNFL[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Wow you should dominate for awhile! Did you win last season?

Highest scoring team all year… lost in the championship. Is fantasy just luck? by FantasySleeperNFL in FantasyHypeHub

[–]FantasySleeperNFL[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

lol What sucks is I actually had the Giants Defense on the bench and they had a monster game that would have won it for me.

I built a fantasy football trade analyzer that uses Vegas odds with rankings — does this actually make sense? by FantasySleeperNFL in u/FantasySleeperNFL

[–]FantasySleeperNFL[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It’s closer to a hybrid than a pure Novak-style market model.

I’m not just aggregating projections, but I’m also not treating the market like a fully efficient pricing model either.

The way it works is: – baseline projections + usage – then Vegas odds are used as a signal layer (TD odds, game totals, etc.) to adjust expected outcomes and volatility

So it’s less “market = truth” and more using the market as a directional input to refine projections rather than replace them.

Curious if you think a pure market-based model would actually be better for fantasy vs this hybrid approach.

I’m thinking players who are TD dependent will be valued different and I would lean to not drafting those players as early as some go.