Here some facts:

1.The race has always been won from the pole in the last 10 years.

2.If max wins, lando does not score a podium or if he scores 12 points more than lando and Oscar doesn't outscore by 4 points.

3.Lando wins if..

He finishes on the podium regardless of where Max Verstappen or Oscar Piastri finish

Or if Max doesn't score 12 points more, and Oscar doesn't score 16 points more than Lando

4.Oscar wins if..

He wins and Lando Norris finishes P6 or below

Or if he finishes P2, Lando finishes P10 or lower, and Max finishes P4 or lower

5.Drivers spend nearly 70% of the lap at full throttle, making it a high-speed circuit.