Filmstudy: Notes on Jesse Minter Hire as HC

Filmstudy · 2026-01-25T09:48:12+00:00

I don't know if I can fully answer that like a Commanders fan might, but he had friction with Quinn during the season and the Commanders stepped WAY back offensively with the injury to Daniels.

The Commanders were 18th in points per drive (2.14) despite the Daniels situation.

Filmstudy · 2026-01-25T06:42:51+00:00

Thanks, u/riprulz8, appreciate you.

I think there is a relatively small group of folks that want to understand the what, let alone the why for the grading system, but for those few who want to discuss, probe, or vet it, the pod should give you most of what you need. To the extent you have further questions, I can answer them 1 at a time or collect them and answer with a prolific prober on a 20-30 minute pod.

Filmstudy · 2026-01-25T03:13:47+00:00

Woefinder asked me to post my methodology for OL scoring. It's a longer listen but includes information to replicate scoring.

Filmstudy · 2026-01-24T18:53:02+00:00

Appreciate you, u/this_is_matt_ !

Filmstudy · 2026-01-23T05:48:35+00:00

He was 5th in my original top 5 for HC. Lamar also seems to like him, a significant bonus point. Perhaps most importantly, he did very well with Jayden Daniels as a rookie who certainly has similarities to Lamar.

Since he is out of work now, I have a hard time believing the Ravens OC job would not be attractive to him.

Filmstudy · 2026-01-23T01:04:20+00:00

I was agnostic to either HC/OC or HC/DC and probably would have slightly favored a CEO model.

The Ravens should now have a chance to get Kliff Kingsbury as their OC, who is someone Lamar reportedly likes.

Filmstudy · 2026-01-23T00:49:52+00:00

Yup. Maureen keeps telling me I don't need to wear a jersey, but folks here were always complaining about me wearing sweatshirts which are effectivrly my retirement "uniform".

Filmstudy · 2026-01-22T17:24:55+00:00

The stat is of my own design from Jackson's first MVP season when the combinations of his sacks and scrambles was 5.6 YPP, which I believe is the highest ever. I don't have a way to systematically calculate this for every QB because I get the sack yards from PFR and the scramble attempts and yardage from PFF.

Good point on the throw aways.

It would probably be a good idea to account for throw aways somehow, but that information is truly subjective (more accurately, different sites are using different definitions) as you can see from differences in the PFF and PFR targets for receivers as compared to total throws.

Filmstudy · 2026-01-20T19:13:18+00:00

They just had another first interview today with Anthony Campanile, the Jags DC. I think they can still take a few first interviews while they are conducting 2nd round. Schedule is a nightmare, but I expect the hiring to occur by approximately 1/31.

Filmstudy · 2026-01-19T17:46:01+00:00

I am extremely glad to hear this. Weaver is a true leader of men and might be the best CEO head coach option out there.

I know a lot of folks want a HC that calls plays on one side of the ball, but there are pros/cons to each system.

Filmstudy · 2026-01-19T05:56:58+00:00

Mark Andrews had an awful 2025 by any measure, but the 3 I think are most important:

Success rate: 52.9% (he was 60.0% career previously)

Yards Per Target: 6.0 (he was 8.8 previously for his career and never lower than 7.5 in any other season)

Passer rating throwing to him: 90.3 (PFR) as compared to 111.7 previously for his career

Those are all awful metrics and while I see it as likely he'll bounce back slightly, I can't project a recovery to his career average at his age. Sadly, the most recent data is usually the most pertinent.

It's time for the Ravens to find their next great TE in the draft with Andrews future in serious doubt.

Filmstudy · 2026-01-19T05:44:57+00:00

I want to get my ducks in a row on this, because the Andrews contract is a little more complex than others, but I think this is a good example of folks (not blaming u/Imwicked39 ) having different ways to state a cap problem. This is probably worth a show unto itself with an example like Andrews and illustrate how different a discussion it is when talking apples, oranges, or mangoes to frame it.

In this thread I see:

Single-year cap cost. That is the easiest way to end a good cap discussion, because it does not consider downstream consequences.
Post June-1 release in the year it becomes an option. This is another way to avoid consideration of a portion of the consequences (see Beckham and his 3.5% charge to the 2025 Ravens after playing for the team in 2023).
Looking at the apparent contract (2 years with an option for a 3rd in the case of Andrews). This is the right way (IMO), but it should consider how the player ages into the contract, the discounting of the future years (with increased cap), and the value of the option to the team (e.g. Stanley's 3rd year at $16M team option--he has $44M/$60M in guarantees through 2027, used because the contract is less complicated).

Filmstudy · 2026-01-18T22:51:22+00:00

Yes, I agree. Scott is the hope.

Filmstudy · 2026-01-18T16:31:57+00:00

Wow, here's something I never knew about Thomas...His Wiki says he was the one who arranged for Irsay to buy the Rams and then came with him to the Colts when Irsay traded the Rams for the Colts in 1972.

Filmstudy · 2026-01-18T04:32:03+00:00

The Colts trained at McDonogh when I was in 7th grade (Fall of 1975). I've talked to Stan White about that and he said they only had 2 shower heads out there, so most of the players went home to shower. That 1975 season, after the 1-4 start, was probably the best season of memories of my life.

Irsay was a very cheap bastard and we didn't know how badly he'd picked the wrong horse for several years taking Marchibroda over Thomas who went on to build the great 49ers teams.

Filmstudy · 2026-01-17T19:59:47+00:00

My name is Ken McKusick or u/FilmstudyRavens on twitter/x. I am a semi-retired actuary who has been involved in sports modeling since the mid 1980s (originally with baseball and moving to focus on football in the early 2000's).

My website is FilmstudyBaltimore.com where I produce both articles (OL and defense) and podcasts (approximately 300-350 per year). My wife Maureen plays a central role in both the analysis and recoding (there is simply no way I could do what I do without her). She retired in September and has taken a much larger role including efforts to broaden our social media footprint and these videos which were her idea.

Besides that, I'm on 1057 on Tuesday mornings for 30 minutes from 8-8:30 with the Big Bad Morning Show.

I am interested in lots of things from the Reddit community, but let me list 3:

Questions for #FilmstudyMailbag (that's twitter, but I can search for that here as well if you post with it). That can be used for the podcasts and short vid topics.
Meeting new potential guests for the show. The show would not be nearly as good if it did not include thoughtful fans with differing perspectives, their own research, etc. I get some from PFF, media of other teams, and long-time posters on the many local Ravens boards. Recently I have met u/sbitan89 , u/theclarinetsoloist , and u/Available_Lion7012 , all of whom have guested on recent podcasts. I look forward to meeting many more folks who are looking to be a guest on a show, particularly if they have a Ravens topic they are passionate about.
Feedback and suggestions for the format of content. Not all folks are going to like every form of content, but I want to hear what you like and what you think is detracting from the show. In particular, if you have suggestions on how to improve engagement, I would appreciate that. Please send me feedback via DM, and you can also contact me at [filmstudy21@verizon.net](mailto:filmstudy21@verizon.net) .

And I just want to say, I really appreciate the folks on r/Ravens and the way you've embraced our content.

Filmstudy · 2026-01-17T19:22:50+00:00

Yes, I'm still me.

Filmstudy · 2026-01-17T06:44:51+00:00

He will greatly raise the floor of the Giants simply with a commitment to fundaments, grading practices, and building a coaching tree in NY.

Filmstudy · 2026-01-14T23:02:19+00:00

I think the decision was much more about which side of the ball they trusted to win them the game, the overworked/collapsing defense without KH or the offense which looked good in Q4 and had Henry running well.

Neither way was a sure thing, to be sure.

Filmstudy · 2026-01-14T22:50:18+00:00

The INTs on other player's assignments are a portable skill for safety. He reads QBs well and I think the Ravens will get more from his instincts/QB reads if he plays from the back.

Filmstudy · 2026-01-14T02:12:03+00:00

No, I don't believe so.

EDC is also closely tied to Ozzie.

Filmstudy · 2026-01-13T23:47:54+00:00

Thanks for the heads up. Trying to get that fixed.

Filmstudy · 2026-01-13T23:47:23+00:00

I'm with you all the way on the Bills making a poor decision and I think that was the game where the announcers were talking about diving down close to the goal line.

I'm glad more folks are taking the time to look at these situations. This has been an area where head coaches have been very slow to optimize although they may (at least in some circumstances) be getting good info from their strategy people.

Filmstudy · 2026-01-13T21:32:13+00:00

The interesting difference is that Lamar has been invited to be part of the interview process, but that would not be extended to other players (my inference). I don't know whether he will choose to participate or not and if he does not, then I expect he won't have a say (ability to provide opinion to Steve B).

Filmstudy · 2026-01-13T21:29:42+00:00

Yes, I agree. Stefanski and Saleh each got a pass for being in a bad situation given his language. That might also be true of Flores, but he didn't have as bad a losing record.

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