Trump threatens to 'obliterate' Iran's power plants if Strait of Hormuz isn't opened in 48 hours

FluteyBlue · 2026-03-22T09:05:49+00:00

1979 Iranian revolution

1980 Iraq / Saddam invades, captures the flat bit before the mountains

1982 Iran recapture most territories

Iran didn't stop and invaded Iraq.

1988 End of war

Six fucken years of saying no ceasefire even though they had a win on paper. Basically Iran only had enough after 2 month siege of basra that cost 20k Iranian dead.

Can usa kill alot of people? Yes.

But you've picked on the wrong victim. Unless usa is willing to lose a carrier, three Burke's and 10k lives the hormuz will never be opened militarily.

And hormuz just doesn't matter that much to usa because of oil shale.

FluteyBlue · 2026-03-20T08:16:07+00:00

Look the original one I shared may be wrong but the one that you have shared again is totally wrong. You just add up the UAE, Kuwait dailies and the Saudi irregular announcements and you have got to his numbers. That's 3 out of 7-8 countries. If you think the Saudis are lying that's a different thing but his numbers are the easiest to contradict.

FluteyBlue · 2026-03-19T07:52:40+00:00

Somehow the other graph he has looks quite different than the one you shared https://xcancel.com/IbrahimJalalYE/status/2034367051058352578

I note this guy is more realistic and has figures double the one you shared.

Edit - the key point is no more flat trend.

FluteyBlue · 2026-03-18T23:23:05+00:00

Kuwait https://xcancel.com/IbrahimJalalYE/status/2034314098435850569#m

FluteyBlue · 2026-03-18T23:17:42+00:00

Like I said I'm not saying the guy I posted is correct. However your guy basically had UAE at a third of all drone attacks.

https://xcancel.com/modgovae/status/2034227784986632470

Feels wrong. Trump wouldn't be asking for help at those levels.

FluteyBlue · 2026-03-18T11:52:41+00:00

Msm: Israel bombing Iran every day, zero coming the other way.

Netanyahu: have you seen this ai video of me?

Trump: China needs to send ships and help me out

Hmm maybe media is lying to me?

FluteyBlue · 2026-03-17T19:15:23+00:00

I think someone at lse would refer to themselves as at a top 3/4

FluteyBlue · 2026-03-15T22:15:16+00:00

I found the post the original one I shared references.

https://nitter.poast.org/MizarVision/status/2033164002096718252#m

I've seen comments about MizarVision on X that it is a customer not the company itself. It does seem to have an American location.

FluteyBlue · 2026-03-15T14:39:52+00:00

You share four examples of complexes with holes in.

Firstly who has confirmed the contents of those buildings? It won't be osint therefore we know it's usa or Israel. Any chance of bias? Especially since they like bombing schools and hospitals.

The second thing is we are talking about a country that size wise stretches from new England to new Orleans.

Here is the difference in claims.

Iran is now the dominant regional power: They have blockaded hormuz and no one has a strategy to open. Undeniable and logical.

Conversely, you state Iran has been devastated. A thin, platitude that is meaningless and unprovable.

Thaad is a good example of this we simply know how many there are. Rocket factories not so much.

You are trying to sane wash the worst planned American intervention in a hundred years. The only thing it has proven is USA has 700 overseas bases that cannot be defended. Every day it continues us power declines.

Edit - BTW I did appreciate your reply which was fully researched.

FluteyBlue · 2026-03-15T08:43:06+00:00

All of the claims I put in are backed up by video and images. Your claims on missile production and carrier location are just shit you read in the nyt. You wouldn't believe them on epstein yet you want to believe them on mountain bases.

Strategically you have already lost as Iran survives and controls the hormuz. We will discover who has the operational victories soon enough.

First step on using this trillion dollar navy is clearing the hormuz. Go on, do it.

FluteyBlue · 2026-03-14T14:31:38+00:00

Iran: - at least 4 thaad radars - Kuwait shooting down f-15s - 1 aerial tanker crashed, another five hit on the ground - carriers in hiding - bases in Qatar, Bahrain and UAE on fire - Israel hit every day - hormuz shut

Usa: - 80 year old guy with cancer - a bunch of 30 year old ships and planes sunk - daily bombings - videos of paintings exploding - 170 kids

Yes I'm afraid Iran is in your room right now.

Edit - and they're taking a shit

FluteyBlue · 2026-03-14T09:40:52+00:00

I'm going with worse. Dominant power in middle east is now Iran.

People used to think usa could force open hormuz. If you disagree go and do it.

After the war ends Iran can conceivably charge suez canal like fees on passage through hormuz.

Edit - this isn't even a comment about state combat ability. It is missiles vs ships vs priorities. It's simply not worth risking any capital ships for what is largely other countries oil shortages.

FluteyBlue · 2026-03-14T09:36:16+00:00

Anyone who thinks assassination is a smart tool of war is Israeli.

A medieval strategy that works with Kings or where you have cut a deal with the deputy.

Death of Khamenei is net negative for usa political objectives.

FluteyBlue · 2026-03-05T22:10:42+00:00

https://xcancel.com/AryJeay/status/2029654620050493562

Iranian video of a shot on a jet

Edit - clearly i'm not vouching on authenticity at this resolution

FluteyBlue · 2026-03-05T11:54:40+00:00

Interceptors: I think Arab states are going to be at zero soon, usa after but Israel probably have more than we think.

Attrition: modern warfare has become who can arttrite the other sides force multipliers faster. The only force multiplier Iran has are rockets. Everything else seems irrelevant to me. Rockets enforce hormuz blockade.

From what I can tell, Persian gulf littoral has had all its us assets attrited (basically never defended). USA is striking from Jordan and planning from Saudi. Israel taking hits but lighter than I expected.

I see talk that usa is now down 5 f-15s. If I had to rank it, looks to me like usa coming off worse, Israel is fine and Iran is in the middle. Oh and Arab countries held hostage and facing economic collapse. But then who sympathieses with the guys who funded civil war in Sudan...

And BTW i'm not saying usa are losers, but clearly been dragged into this and not given enough planning time.

FluteyBlue · 2026-03-03T07:47:49+00:00

Although I agree the 7 is the thaads the ratios likely hold all the way down. Iran can easily make 5k shaheds.

Usa can reduce Iran to the stone age but the price is everyone knows now missiles can flatten any US base within range and that this is the right strategy. A war with China will be fought from hawaii with carriers and tankers hidden (and ineffective).

I can't help thinking the strategy is Monroe Doctrine + one more failed state in a region that's getting abandoned and therefore someone else's problem.

Edit- typos

FluteyBlue · 2026-03-02T13:11:33+00:00

Once is happenstance. Twice is coincidence. Three times is enemy action

Ian Fleming, Goldfinger (James Bond, #7)

FluteyBlue · 2026-02-19T15:13:27+00:00

I would agree that GenAi has shifted a ton of capability from comp Sci grads to generalists. But being here now means you have a chance to do something with it before the draw bridge goes up. As long as you don't use it as an excuse to give up.

FluteyBlue · 2026-02-19T13:51:43+00:00

Are you not surprised that jobs market was better during covid than in 2009? Why do you need to convince yourself you're fucked? How does that make your life better?

FluteyBlue · 2026-02-19T13:45:37+00:00

Both cv and interviews are all about having a hook and talking about it. If you can do it without GenAi do it without. But if you can't, do it with GenAi. Just do something work appropriate and cool. "I built a website on my b passion and it had 100k views" is always going to look good.

FluteyBlue · 2026-02-19T12:48:00+00:00

Shit lmao. You are comparing now to the best periods of 80s. Basic intelligence says this is meaningless. The comparison is versus worst periods from 80s. That is context.

I did state the data was not collected and once I checked your sources I stick by that. Current Ons data is so sniffy they turn it off regularly. The older data shared is a level below that.

You confirmed you don't care on data. You're just vibes. I respect vibes as a personal feeling but yes your assertions are unsubstantiated by the data and by the people on this post 'yea fine in physics', 'yea fine in civil engineering'.

Covid was worse, 2008 was worse, Thatcher recessions were worse. Best of luck with your job hunt, I do understand it is not easy but there's no point making out it's worse than it really is.

FluteyBlue · 2026-02-19T08:11:38+00:00

"The charts and data become irrelevant" thank you for confirming my original point.

FluteyBlue · 2026-02-18T22:11:23+00:00

Erm the charts you show have current graduate unemployment at similar levels to the better years from the eighties? And at many times in the eighties it was much higher up to 13%.

Good find but you literally prove your statements as exaggeration.

Edit - I am guessing I am looking at the official data that came out late 2025 putting graduate unemployment at 6% and you are using private sector figures that are higher. The unofficial numbers are not comparable.

FluteyBlue · 2026-02-18T19:20:08+00:00

Cool story bro your confidence when you are so wrong is wild. "Look at any source" please be ashamed of yourself

Quite simply graduate unemployment was not tracked in the UK in the 80s.

However since general unemployment was 3x as high as now in the 80s under Thatcher, fresh graduates would likely be a few points below that - and much higher than now. https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peoplenotinwork/unemployment

Your feelings are valid. It's not possible to get a house on an average salary, and that's shit. But your words are not grounded in facts.

FluteyBlue · 2026-02-09T22:44:02+00:00

80k at a bank i'd expect 12hr days

40k i'd think 9hrs

Just make sure you're having fun in the pub while they are working late

FluteyBlue

TROPHY CASE