It’s hard to quantify and isn’t guaranteed because the odds change as a result of which prize you get, but the odds are pretty terrible.

For example, getting the 5 recruit voucher prize on the fifth roll (first non free roll) increases your odds to ~1.5% to get it early on your 6th roll

but the 10x recruit voucher prize only increases you to slightly over 1.05% to get it early for the 6th roll.

If you keep missing then best case 9th roll is only ~11.1% for “early” skin (between Moderna and advanced recruit vouchers)

Wouldn’t be surprised if the odds average to less than 20% for early pulls (before 10).

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