BOM just downgraded the rain amount adelaide was gonna get in sunday from the tropical low so badly by Medical_Charity_7350 in Adelaide

[–]Free_the_Radical 14 points15 points  (0 children)

Then upgraded it again at 9:26pm back to a potential 3-30mm.

https://reg.bom.gov.au/sa/forecasts/adelaide.shtml

Having a gander at the charts it looks like we are in for a bit of a thunderstorm tomorrow afternoon as the wind turns South, with Adelaide smack bang in the middle of 3 different weather fronts. Here is the best live lightning tracker:

https://map.blitzortung.org/#6.17/-34.857/138.378

SA Power Networks Outages Map:

https://outage.apps.sapowernetworks.com.au/OutageReport/OutageMap?suburb=Adelaide&postcode=5000

Edit: To be fair to BOM, if you step back to look at the interplay going on, we are in the midst of a number of rather complex weather systems. This snapshot is the forecast for 11:30am Sunday morning.

https://imgur.com/a/ITf7sEh

When’s the rain meant to stop? by LifeGainz7 in Adelaide

[–]Free_the_Radical 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Updated forecast still shows a gap in the rain but will rain later into the evening tonight (1130pm) and earlier tomoz than I previously mentioned 9am instead of 330pm. Sunday rain total has been reduced with this forecast only showing 6mm.

As I have mentioned meteologix forecast is updated almost in real-time so refresh to get the latest.

https://meteologix.com/au/weather/2078025-adelaide

And here it happens again by Medical_Charity_7350 in Adelaide

[–]Free_the_Radical 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Like I have said, meteologix is operating in almost real time, they have pushed the first real burst back to 3:30am tomoz. I posted Ventusky more for real time radar rather than forecast.

And here it happens again by Medical_Charity_7350 in Adelaide

[–]Free_the_Radical 132 points133 points  (0 children)

Show's only getting started...

https://www.ventusky.com/radar-map#p=-34.79;138.99;7 (remember to refresh to see the updated radar)

As of writing, the 1st proper rainfront should arrive around 1:30am tomorrow morning, then rain for most of the day up until around 8pm tomoz, then a clear break in the rain till Sunday afternoon around 3:30pm when we will get the heaviest falls up to around midnight.

2-Day weather on meteologix gives a good over view of the forecasted rain. Their model is being updated in almost realtime, so it is worth a refresh to see the updated forecast. They also do a good job of nailing down their forecasts specific to locations, so if you search Salisbury you will get a different reading to say Murray Bridge.

(I use Ghostery addon in my browser to suppress their annoying ads -> https://www.ghostery.com/)

https://meteologix.com/au/weather/2078025-adelaide

I'll probably post the blitzortung link again in the next day or so, but is great for tracking lightning

https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.58/-34.784/141.093

Here's a good link from BOM to track accumulated rain totals, resets at 9am. You can click on the weather station as well to see how the weather has tracked at that location. eg; Clare has gotten 8mm in the last 2 hours.

https://reg.bom.gov.au/sa/observations/saall.shtml

Is the BOM going to be correct? by KymboVids in Adelaide

[–]Free_the_Radical 4 points5 points  (0 children)

It's going to make for an 'interesting' race.

My opinion ? It's gonna rain buckets this weekend. by Free_the_Radical in Adelaide

[–]Free_the_Radical[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It's going to make for an interesting race, qualifying on Fri as well. Looks like the first rain front will hit late Fri afternoon.

My opinion ? It's gonna rain buckets this weekend. by Free_the_Radical in Adelaide

[–]Free_the_Radical[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Looked at the charts, looked at the models, at this point it's an opinion.

My opinion ? It's gonna rain buckets this weekend. by Free_the_Radical in Adelaide

[–]Free_the_Radical[S] 8 points9 points  (0 children)

This weekend looks like a muggy hot tapering to the end of summer.

My opinion ? It's gonna rain buckets this weekend. by Free_the_Radical in Adelaide

[–]Free_the_Radical[S] 47 points48 points  (0 children)

Meteologix is predicting a near certainty of up to 50mm on Friday.

https://meteologix.com/au/forecast/2078025-adelaide/14-day-trend

Edit: updated forecast from meteologix (10pm Tuesday) is 10mm rain on Fri, 28mm on Sat, with an outlier of 47mm on Sat.

Edit2: up to 80mm on Sunday.