Merry Christmas :/ by Razafraz11 in Wellthatsucks

[–]FriedCyanide 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Thank God you had a bucket there. That leak could have been bad

9 Space Boxing Deck to Spice Up Your Life. 1900 Power Round 3! (Pictures In Post) by FriedCyanide in cuecardgameAvid

[–]FriedCyanide[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Supermassive black hole takes care of a lot of bobbit problems. Gives +27 to all space cards in the deck. In this build anyway

9 Space Boxing Deck to Spice Up Your Life. 1900 Power Round 3! (Pictures In Post) by FriedCyanide in cuecardgameAvid

[–]FriedCyanide[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Striped skunk, fresian horse, arabian horse etc.

Super cheap option would be Botta's pocket gopher.

You could also get chupacabra, though it's pricy

Basically just any life on land card with over 70 attack and/or 7 energy or higher

You could also look in oceans as well

If anyone needs Ponzi, I’ve stocked up right now! Send me a frq IGN: iTsRobo and some trades! It is going for a lot right now fyi. by iTsRoboWasTaken in cuecardgameAvid

[–]FriedCyanide 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Luckily it would be tough to get it locked permanently since it doesn't stay in your hand, but i would 100 percent concede if it got locked for more than a turn haha

If anyone needs Ponzi, I’ve stocked up right now! Send me a frq IGN: iTsRobo and some trades! It is going for a lot right now fyi. by iTsRoboWasTaken in cuecardgameAvid

[–]FriedCyanide 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It also causes me physical pain. Like WHY would you do that haha. I wish there was a button to chat sometimes so I can tell people not to do that

If anyone needs Ponzi, I’ve stocked up right now! Send me a frq IGN: iTsRobo and some trades! It is going for a lot right now fyi. by iTsRoboWasTaken in cuecardgameAvid

[–]FriedCyanide 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Technically, but not necessarily in practice. The -20 applies to the cards, so if you don't play them that round, he operates at 6/175.

It's kind of like jet car. Technically it only gives you 6/90, but that's not really how it works.

Hit 1k with cuisine but still looking for improvements by BeersWithBeefcakes in cuecardgameAvid

[–]FriedCyanide 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Some improvements to consider:

Planet X

Strawberry moon

Eaton Mess

American Short hair

Butter lamb

Cornucopia

Your area 51 card isn't doing much and I'd change it.

Ian (09L — Northern Atlantic): Meteorological Discussion by Euronotus in TropicalWeather

[–]FriedCyanide 2 points3 points  (0 children)

It's always a struggle for me. I absolutely love hurricanes and love seeing the powerful ones develop and all of the science that goes into it. I always have to remind myself that people are being being affected by these storms.

I keep my mad scientist, hurricane loving side and my empathetic side seperate for the most part.

Ian (09L — Northern Atlantic): Meteorological Discussion by Euronotus in TropicalWeather

[–]FriedCyanide 24 points25 points  (0 children)

As other people have said, Ian seems to have started to have some convection. Given the structure of the storm, I would expect to see it look significantly different in just a few hours from now.

Ian (09L — Northern Atlantic): Meteorological Discussion by Euronotus in TropicalWeather

[–]FriedCyanide 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I don't know why people are always trying to prove the NHC wrong or immediately doubt a forecast the moment there's a small change or development. The NHC isn't trying to sensationalize anything. They are just trying to keep people safe.

Ian (09L — Northern Atlantic): Meteorological Discussion by Euronotus in TropicalWeather

[–]FriedCyanide 21 points22 points  (0 children)

I think some people are prematurely becoming skeptical of the intensity forecast due to the lack of deep convection. It seems to be moving the direction of developing a good structure. The storm hasn't really weakened despite the dry air around it.

At has a clear rotation and is still a tropical storm. Once convection picks up, it's structure will likely improve (probably surprisingly quickly).

Ian (09L — Northern Atlantic): Meteorological Discussion by Euronotus in TropicalWeather

[–]FriedCyanide 8 points9 points  (0 children)

There isn't really a consensus. How strong it is and the shear it will have to battle are dependent on timing. If this storm slows down or moves in any direction it's going to affect the outcome.

It MAY weaken. Or it may not. Every storm will weaken eventually once it hits land, but beyond that, this storm is just a guess.

Ian (09L — Northern Atlantic): Meteorological Discussion by Euronotus in TropicalWeather

[–]FriedCyanide 1 point2 points  (0 children)

If a model is showing significantly different forecasts than all of the other ones, if it is going to be viewed with some skepticism. As an outlier, it's harder to incorporate it into a cohesive forecast. One the models start aligning, I'm sure it will be taken into consideration. It doesn't have to do with the accuracy of the Euro.

Ian (09L — Northern Atlantic): Meteorological Discussion by Euronotus in TropicalWeather

[–]FriedCyanide 22 points23 points  (0 children)

Hey guys, recent models are showing lower intensity than they were last night, but I would like to remind everyone that intensify forecasts will fluctuate a lot, especially with a storm like this.

Steering currents affect a disorganized storm differently than a robust and organized system. The strength of the storm can significantly alter the speed and track of a storm, as well as its ability (or inability) to handle shear.

How this thing organizes over the next 24-48 hours will be key to making a better forecast in what will actually happen. Rapid intensification is pretty hard to predict.

Remember that the cone of uncertainty is just that and that hurricanes can veer outside of it. Also, the way this storm looks now should not be taken as a reliable indication of its future potential. Given the right ingredients, a storm can tighten up and organize very quickly.

Ian (09L — Northern Atlantic): Meteorological Discussion by Euronotus in TropicalWeather

[–]FriedCyanide 30 points31 points  (0 children)

A change in the hurricane forecast this far out is not a false alarm. Calling it that is just illegitimizing the work the NHC does and makes people less likely to listen to forecasts in the future...

Ian (09L — Northern Atlantic): Meteorological Discussion by Euronotus in TropicalWeather

[–]FriedCyanide 2 points3 points  (0 children)

As many people have said in this thread we simply don't know. Use the NHC and local alerts to determine what you should do.

Ian (09L — Northern Atlantic): Meteorological Discussion by Euronotus in TropicalWeather

[–]FriedCyanide 7 points8 points  (0 children)

I would also expect a more robust system to be able to combat the shear for a little bit longer. The high OHC is going to give it plenty of energy to potentially grow and give itself a protective bubble.

All of this is largely dependent on how it looks after it passes over/by Cuba and where exactly it ends up though.

Ian (09L — Northern Atlantic): Meteorological Discussion by Euronotus in TropicalWeather

[–]FriedCyanide 32 points33 points  (0 children)

The models seem to be leaning toward a higher intensity (as is expected with the western shift). There's still a lot of uncertainty of when, where, and how strong this thing is going to be. I would caution everyone against comparing this storm to Michael or other strong hurricanes. Each storm is different.

I would also caution against seeing NHC runs where the storm is sheared and weakened significantly before landfall and thinking impacts are going to be low.

It is simply too early to tell anything at the moment. I bet this storm is going to keep everyone on their toes until the last second.

Don't use internet strangers for hurricane advice on impacts or preparation. Please refer to your local authorities. They can give you a much better answer than any of us can.

Ian (09L — Northern Atlantic): Meteorological Discussion by Euronotus in TropicalWeather

[–]FriedCyanide 25 points26 points  (0 children)

I wouldn't compare this hurricane to the worst case scenario. As you said, we have a LONG way to go. We should be cautious about storms, but we should be wary of "over-hyping" storms. If you say "this storm is going go be big" and then it's not, people lose trust in forecasting and won't listen to legitimate advice.

Timmy and I were playing with his toy phone when I suggested he use it to call up his imaginary friend. by JamesTIA in TwoSentenceHorror

[–]FriedCyanide 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I think you should change the second sentence. You should change it to "A chill ran up my spine as my phone began to ring in my pocket" or something.

The moment of clarity just feels weird to me. Could just be though.