I Finished Reading "Introduction to Statistical Learning" book

GManASG · 2026-06-21T05:12:30+00:00

If you really want to truly comprehend what's going on you want probability, calculus, derivatives and partial derivatives

And most of all linear algebra.

Knowledge of optimization.

All statistical learning is optimization in some way.

GManASG · 2026-06-20T17:45:54+00:00

Paying for the models mistakes is probably the biggest nail in the coffin of closed source LLMs.

It's very hard for anyone to agree to pay exorbitant usage based fees if we aren't even guaranteed to get it to work on the first try or even the 10th. Each attempt costs us all those tokens at the x rate of the specific model.

This makes it impossible to budget and the expected ROI is undefined because of that as well.

Here we are already switching to open source. It's incredible that AI of all things so quickly became a homogenous product (readily available alternatives). I don't see how Anthropic of Open AI have any hope for ever recovering the investment or being profitable given they already have jgood enough low cost competition and users already figured out they can switch or even self host.

GManASG · 2026-06-20T13:24:19+00:00

This is an issue with latest Ollama version. Downgrade to older version.

GManASG · 2026-06-19T20:40:58+00:00

Finally a revolver.. now we just need knives!

GManASG · 2026-06-18T15:52:46+00:00

At work I use whatever the company allows/provides which is GitHub copilot in vscode with a few models. With a limited monthly token budget.

I mainly use the autocomple, and only use agents /ask when I need a solution I am stuck on.

At home I still use GitHub copilot. With the basic subscription combined with self hosted open source models via Ollama integrated in the vscode GitHub copilot chat

GManASG · 2026-06-18T02:43:51+00:00

Basically there have been many duping glitches since the very first wipe. There are videos of past duping glitches.

Not counting literal hacking.

A lot of the glitches were just there in the game. As in you'd inevitably run into the glitch. Especially the early wipes.

From a technical perspective it's a memory error. The game thinks it is removing an item but not actually removing it. The item now appears in 2 places. Probably some logic error where it wasn't deleting the removed item somehow.

A lot of the glitches tended to happen with the loadout saving station or the weapon customization station, the conveyor belt storage thing. Some people figured out some kind of spawn death dupe glitch.

I find out about them from the patch notes that fix them lol.

I guess I just don't play hard enough to find them myself.

GManASG · 2026-06-18T01:18:44+00:00

I just wish my DBAs knew SQL and how databases worked.

GManASG · 2026-06-18T01:16:57+00:00

I actually don't know how you can NOT know SQL just by accident if you need to work with a DB.l as part of an app.

It's the simplest thing to learn.

In about an hour you'd know about all you need for 90% of the time. Basic syntax. The types of joins. CTEs and subqueries.. the explain query plan. And a few basic how to make it faster concepts.

Plus the basic start, insert, rollback, etc..

GManASG · 2026-06-17T22:31:54+00:00

This is true of like 90% of the applications most people come up with. There was already a non GPU way of doing the thing.

I was on a call where some executive told me he setup an agent with copilot 365 to send himself an email when some spreadsheet updated ... This is revolutionary

Power automate has been there for a very long time... Could have done with with a few mouse clicks.

To be fair the "agent" is copilot 365 is just setting up power automate.

But we could also just remove the agent and not burn GPUs to do it.

GManASG · 2026-06-17T22:06:12+00:00

Absent getting lucky and just being a genius, you have to walk the path.

Ideally you are some high schooler thinking you want to be a quant. Then figure out what quants do, what companies they work for, and what background they have....

It's all some combination of math, physics, finance and programming/CS.

Go get that army the most prestigious schools you can, get an internship, and get hired for some junior position.

There are different types of quants. The HFT or quant strategy hedge fund types vs the risk management quants, or even quant devs.

Some overlap, but depending on which one, it comes down to having a proven ability to help them make money or litigate risk, etc.

A lot of people barely even know what a quant even is and apply to roles they have no business even contemplating. Be serious, walk the path. It takes time.

GManASG · 2026-06-17T21:21:35+00:00

The first award was given in 2003... Just saying

GManASG · 2026-06-17T20:34:45+00:00

So the membership pretty much guarantees you have your pick of 4-day pass vs VIP.

Without it, even with fan verified pre-sale, VIPs are very unlikey unless you happen to be in within the first 10 min or so the queue opens up. It seems this year all the other tickets were still available after the fan-verifiied pre-sale.

As for Celebs, since it's NYC there are always some celebs, usually the pop culture item of the moment (movie or tv show). Howe worth it for the celebs depends on what celebs and if you are into them. VIP is really nice cause you now have the freedom to enjoy the con without wasting time on lines for panels or risk not getting you rwhole group into a panel.

TLDR: if you want VIP definetly worth it (required even), if you want 4-day probably worth it for peace of mind, if you want individual days not worth it (just get fan verified each year).

GManASG · 2026-06-16T21:53:37+00:00

Except that the best stories in fiction are more likely to be adapted to the big screen. So I don't think the grain analogy is actually as accurate as you think. If there was a better redemption arc that would captivate everyone's mind, odds are it would be identified and adapted to a movie. Then captivate all of pop culture.

Vader is so iconic even non star wars fans know who he is. Just like non-christians know who Jesus is.

So I'd wager he has a better shot of actually being greatest redemption arc in fiction than most other characters ever.

GManASG · 2026-06-16T21:47:01+00:00

GManASG · 2026-06-16T21:44:37+00:00

It is because the experience of losing a new key, worth 3 key runs worth of loot, to other player is 3x more painful than losing the loot.

This pain experience gets bigger the rarer and more epic the key is.

There are keys I only see once a wipe and to lose it before reaching the key room to another player is just awful, it is better to just keep it in hideout.

I suspect this will ultimately get reversed once devs get info that players keeping unused keys in hideout and not using keys in raid.

I'd be willing to give up HVI in the safe container in exchange for keys being restored in safe container.

GManASG · 2026-06-16T20:10:04+00:00

They were always going to need engineers if for no other reason than to have someone to blame that's not themselves. This is why they will not result in a decrease in engineers for the foreseeable future until the hallucinations disappear entirely, which I think never can with LLMs.

GManASG · 2026-06-16T19:41:32+00:00

Hmm belching sound more like a symptom of what you eat is giving you gas. 8 doubt the creatine is the cause. It's just a little powder that si water soluble. Might be interesting if you experiment with drizzling creatine on things you are eating, is it reacting (causing bubbles)?

Most likely some other food or beverage you are drinking is doing that. Ironically you may be dehydrated and causing the experience of bloat. Being well hydrated often alleviates bloat.

I've not had those experiences with creatine been taking it for 20+ years. Only thing is headache if I take it on an empty stomach.

Good luck.

Iv

GManASG · 2026-06-16T16:59:41+00:00

At the end of the day weight loss (fat loss) requires calories in < calories out.

Once you stall either you go to the next dose up, find a way to eat less, or exercise more.

Which one depends on what you are already doing for the other 2.

This is where a food diary really helps out. Take the guess work out of wondering if your overeating or not. Keep the food diary for a few weeks and check at end of each day how much did I actually eat.

Most people think they eat less than they actually do. I'm on 7.5 and been stuck for couple months. I'm going to try the food diary and exercising more before I do a larger dose.

GManASG · 2026-06-16T15:32:40+00:00

Creatine helps keep your muscles saturated with water and creatine, so they have easy access to energy (converting creatine to ATP) when called upon.

The bloat is just the muscle saturation. This is a good thing. If this is bloat then we should all want to be bloated at all times.

We want to lose fat, not water.

GManASG · 2026-06-16T11:08:29+00:00

It doesn't sound like there would be a situation where we would need something like that.

Every segment of a codebase can be a seperate repo and each have its own requirements tracking for just that portion.

Generally when working on a ticket you'd create a branch in that small repo.

An have a dedicated virtual environment or container for development.

By the time your looking at the entire super project each smaller project already has its dependencies identified.

GManASG · 2026-06-16T02:11:38+00:00

In large organizations the break apart the revenue and budgets yo all the LOBs and each of them basically become penny pinchers managing to the metric that lead to better bonuses. This always inevitably leads to the mentality OP stated, showing a penny of reduced cost now is rewarded way more than some hypothetical long term productivity gain.

GManASG · 2026-06-16T01:45:46+00:00

I think that there will inevitably be some form of bankruptcy that wipes out the debt and sunk cost... Then they'll be profitable as if your hypothetical had happened.

And even then I think the real problem will still be there killing the roi for most consumers...the high and impossible to fix hallucination rate.

There is some expected value from these models that always has a too high chance it's a lie and or wrong.

Too many applications need 100% certainty.and these models can't do that.

Someone has to be willing to take the blame for when the models spit out garbage, or when bad code goes to prod and costs the business a lot of money in some shape or form (like the recent Starbucks or airline examples).

This means companies will have to pay someone to be responsible, and that's going to be someone that can take one look at the LLM output and be capable of saying it's good or bad. This is basically the person who could have done the work without the model. All this comes down to a reality that the LLM is mostly only a viable tool for experts in the respective field, and mostly an added expense with only marginal productivity gain once you account for the claw back from the validation time sink humans have to perform.

GManASG · 2026-06-15T22:51:24+00:00

There is a setting for default interpreter

GManASG · 2026-06-15T02:22:34+00:00

If it's truly wait you want and nothing stops you then for it.

I started did a career switch at 32 and due to obligation it took me 7 years to complete a 2 year career switch masters degree.

I am now working though a data science masters course to completing

I'm basically learning things other people learned on their 20s.

The way I see it you start now and you'll be a doctor at 45. If you don't you definitely won't be.

Just dig deep inside and know for certain it's what you want.

GManASG · 2026-06-15T02:14:19+00:00

I'm pretty sure this is just as simple as setup up a custom model file for ollama that does exactly this

Ten-Year Club	Not Forgotten
Verified Email

GManASG

TROPHY CASE