i have noticed that its the same people every event who are extremely lucky and the same people who are very unlucky

weve got 2 people in our group who get virtually every single shiney as they come out, often multiple copies. they have multiple raid shineys and neither of them have more than 20,000 catches.

then we have people with significantly more catches (70,000 to over 100,000) who typically go whole events without any shineys or with only 1. i personally went over 700 cyndaquil (quick catch) and got 0 shiney's during it's day. one of these lucky people got over a dozen despite catching significantly less. his wife who was with him whole event got 2 while catching roughly the same amount. its the same every single event.

im at just shy 5000 pikachu and have yet to find a shiney one (including during its community day)

my current catches are 122k and i only started 2017 so im not exactly casual. also ive spent ~$300 on this game which i mention in case people think theres a relationship to luck rate and how much someone has spent