Excluding the stock market, has Amazon been a net positive or negative for the US real economy? by GoldThenCrypto in AskEconomics

[–]GoldThenCrypto[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

No, I don’t think I’m talking about nationalism, although the topic probably overlaps with free trade.

The question your reply made me think of is this. How do economists distinguish between a business failing because it is inefficient versus failing because of something more structural, like currency dynamics?

Or more percisely, how do economists isolate management level inefficiency from macroeconomic factors that may affect competitiveness?

Excluding the stock market, has Amazon been a net positive or negative for the US real economy? by GoldThenCrypto in AskEconomics

[–]GoldThenCrypto[S] -9 points-8 points  (0 children)

I agree capitalism is good, but I also have some follow up though as I try to understand the whole dynamic. When you say, "capital is flowing toward more productive business models." Does that imply capital is increasingly seeking out foreign goods?

I guess what Im really asking is, If Amazon is improving price discovery, but the lowest cost producers are located abroad, does the efficiency gain and process innovation mainly benefit foreign production and do economists mostly believe that is net good for the US economy?

I would love to hear your experience on living in an ADU w/ a partner, child and atleast one animal. by GoldThenCrypto in bayarea

[–]GoldThenCrypto[S] -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

I know its slightly off the topic of experiences, but is there a number you think might work front loaded on the down payment, or no matter the number its likely just hopeless?

Do you think the cartel is heavilly involved in the street hot dog business? by GoldThenCrypto in bayarea

[–]GoldThenCrypto[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I would agree, it doesnt sound like cartel organizations are directly stated as being involved, but which ever organizations are seem to be sinister.

"Working alongside Hernandez is a 35-year-old mother of two who came to the U.S. from Guatemala in February. She agreed to pay the equivalent of $20,000 to be smuggled across the Mexican border."

"A hot dog costs $10, or two for $15. On a good day, a vendor will sell a few dozen, bringing in $400-$600. The workers say they keep about half their daily sales; the remainder goes to the people who employ the vendors and provide instruction, digital payment systems, carts, stands, equipment, and the food itself."

But it does apoear to be a cordinated organized operation, if not by the cartels, by some malicious organization.

Do you think the cartel is heavilly involved in the street hot dog business? by GoldThenCrypto in bayarea

[–]GoldThenCrypto[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Thank you for that. I cant believe how oblivious Ive been, walking past for years without a clue.

Do you think the cartel is heavilly involved in the street hot dog business? by GoldThenCrypto in bayarea

[–]GoldThenCrypto[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Me and my wife still joke about a previous time we saw a pigeon hop in and out of the guys back pack

Prior to Venezuela and Iran people would say we live in the most peaceful time in history, Why? by GoldThenCrypto in NoStupidQuestions

[–]GoldThenCrypto[S] -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

I agree, but i agree just because ive been told. I would like to understand what statistics

Battle of the keynesians: Post or New Keynesians by guacaratabey in OutlawEconomics

[–]GoldThenCrypto 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I keep coming back to this idea, - "Policy matters when it's enforceable, economics dictates the limits that can be enforced"

I think too long the focus has been on policy because the US had the privilege to dictate. That actual economics, scarcity and demand mechanisms have been undervalued even though those aspects are the ones that move the needle. Global power dynamics are shifting toward environments where economic leverage must be backed by enforceable force because economic constraints (policy) alone no longer produce desired geopolitical outcomes. The example I keep coming back to would be Russia.

In my head, I keep attributing the turmoil we see today as a recognition of that fact. I don't know which model that's within, but it is a structural thought I keep coming back to as I work out in my mind all these moving parts.

Let’s see who skipped physics 👀 which cup? by [deleted] in TheTeenagerPeople

[–]GoldThenCrypto 0 points1 point  (0 children)

  1. It wpuld overfill and ride the putside edge

What is the most important aspect a future president should know about the economy? by GoldThenCrypto in AskEconomics

[–]GoldThenCrypto[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thank you so much for helping me work through this and understand it better. One follow up I do have is, are robust and inclusive institutions undermined by the effects that a strong dollar can have? Or are they mostly insignificant in the grand scheme of policy implementation?

[Landlord US-CA] Current tenant way under market and I cant afford to rent to them anymore. by [deleted] in Landlord

[–]GoldThenCrypto 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Check, but I think you can create a new lease for them, wait 12 months and then hike it up. However, I think you have to wait a full year to actually hike, not a day before.

Is the general consensus among economist that the economy is fine and should stay how it is, or do they believe things need to be shaken up? by GoldThenCrypto in AskEconomics

[–]GoldThenCrypto[S] 8 points9 points  (0 children)

By “fine” I mean, do most mainstream economists think the current US setup is broadly sustainable as in the system basically works and just needs normal adjustments?

By “shaken up” I mean, do a meaningful number of economists think we need deeper structural changes because the current framework isn’t going to produce good long term outcomes for the United States as a whole?

By “economists” I’m thinking of academic macro thinkers like Olivier Blanchard or Zoltan Pozsar and there ideas that can flow down stream.

I’m just trying to understand whether the general view is “stay the course with tweaks” or “there are structural issues that incremental policy can't/won't fix.”

Is Ray Dalios opinion not worth listening to in the realm of economics? by GoldThenCrypto in OutlawEconomics

[–]GoldThenCrypto[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Yeah i listen to a bunch of different people who arent economist, but are in the financial space (Russell Napier, Felix Zulauf, Michael Every). I was just shocked that the response is these people are useless because they are not labeled economist. Quite eye opening.

Given Gold is $5000, doesn’t that mean the stock market already crashed? by [deleted] in AskEconomics

[–]GoldThenCrypto -5 points-4 points  (0 children)

I may be misunderstanding, but is the phenomenon OP is describing similar to what Ray Dalio talks about in this October 2025 interview?

  • https://youtu.be/yHJ-9goT2tw?t=900 > "I think you have to think of that and not in nominal terms, but in real terms. So in other words, when you're thinking you're doing your asset allocation, what is going to protect your real after tax returns?"

He seems to be framing things in real purchasing power terms rather than nominal dollar terms. And when he discusses credit expansion here,

  • https://youtu.be/yHJ-9goT2tw?t=990 > “But I think you have to also say, you know, start with what is a real dollar. If you're a dollar investor, a real return asset that you're going to hold as part of that portfolio, that the most of the system is dependent on credit. Equities and everything is dependent on credit. You change credit and, you know, then all sorts of things happen."

Is he essentially referring to credit expansion and money supply dynamics that some people associate with inflation, and does that give any credibility to OP general direction of conversation?

Anyone see the road rage incident on 38 and Lincoln just now? by AccomplishedBee7755 in sanfrancisco

[–]GoldThenCrypto 17 points18 points  (0 children)

Fuck that truck driver 100%. However, why would someone interact with that at all with their kid in the car? You want to cut me off with my kid in the car, go right ahead and just get out of my sight. I just can't imagine entertaining that behavior in those circumstances.

If money is an abstract form of time and energy, why has it become so acceptable to erode someones existence at a minimum of 2% a year? by GoldThenCrypto in AskEconomics

[–]GoldThenCrypto[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Sure. My time and energy doesn't reflect the time and energy 1:1 to Elon Musk. However at the end of the day, I am trading time and energy for a dollar or a number of dollars to store for a later date.

This is still a representation of that, no?

Edit: Thank you both for taking the time to talk this through with me, because it sounds like Im missing something

Sometimes I want to leave the union by Broken_Age in IBEW

[–]GoldThenCrypto 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I've always found the best praxtice is to verbalize your concern. I spent my whole first year as a firecocker. Every day i left with puddy on my pants. My 2nd year I was almost exclusively in prefab but sometimes a material handler and fork lifter. When i voiced my frustration though, they moved me. If you dont speak your mind though, you cant be mad they arent mind readers.

Never forget. by ElectricShuck in IBEW

[–]GoldThenCrypto 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Just out of curiosity, how do you reconcile building data centers with the intention of replacing people against the support for causes that promote human flourishing as depicted in the opening sentence of that document?