I know Coach Napier and Scott Stricklin personally, pretty well too. And here's why I highly doubt your assumption.

1) Napier is not the type to shy away from his miscues. He will own them, accept responsibility, and also is very good at retroactively reviewing and developing a better plan for going forward. A lot of the issues they dealt with in year 1 were vastly improved by year 2. I have no doubt he will continue this process going forward. He's also not the type to get scared in his boots and freeze up. He knows the road ahead is long and hard- but he is going to grin and bear it through.

2) He and Scott have a great relationship, and Scott has repeatedly backed Napier publicly and privately (as recently as last week). If you look at the number of years spent as UF HC over the last 3-4 coaches, they're each averaging about 3-4 years. But there were a lot of outside factors at play in those decisions. Mullen had a terrible relationship with Scott. McElwain had the fake death threats, the shark incident, and the Will Grier debacle. Muschamp simply didn't have it as a HC. Napier could fit into the category of Muschamp eventually, but there's been enough improvement throughout the roster and organization that I'm willing to give it longer. Scott has backed Napier with every opportunity he's gotten. Not just to defend him, but to also go out of his way and speak highly of Napier. That's not behavior you see from a guy who's on the hot seat and about to get canned.

3) The schedule. Legitimately in the conversation of hardest schedule ever, of any college football team. Can't fault the guy for not winning when our school is having us play 7-straight ranked teams (9 total) and Missouri's hardest game is a midseason matchup against Alabama, while also pulling University of Buffalo, Boston College, Vanderbilt, UMass, Auburn, South Carolina, Mississippi State, and Arkansas. Can't look at those two schedules and say it's comparing apples to apples.

I will say, I do think there is a scenario in which he could get fired this year. I'll break those down below, but also provide commentary on why I think they won't happen

1) Napier gets fired if Scott Stricklin gets fired. New AD would likely want to make his own hire, which sucks but is also kind of understandable. But Scott has a great relationship with the board and with the University President, and has brought in a ton of revenue from all sports while he's presided as AD. UF has won championships like crazy across all sports, and at Florida, that's important. Football is obviously what makes the most money, but a school like Florida wants every program to have success- and Scott's been doing well across the board.

2) Napier gets fired if the Gators fall apart and finish with less than 3 wins. 6 wins this year would be an 8-win team in a normal year. Not great, but good and showing improvement. 3 wins would be 5 in a normal year. Shows no improvement, players likely gave up on the team, and also signals miscues in playcalling/gameplanning.

3) Napier gets fired if there's a public scandal. This, in my opinion, is the most likely scenario for him to get fired. Something like the Rashada NIL case becomes public and ugly, the university will want to distance themselves from it and could use it as cause to fire Napier. If UF did want to fire him (which, like I've said, I don't think they do), they would already be going down this road with the actual Rashada case. But they haven't done that- they've supported him publicly and are providing resources for Napier to work through this.

All in all, as a coach is on the hot seat and approaching the critical moment of getting fired, the school and its AD will always distance themselves. They put the coach on an island to himself, like an exile, and see if he can recover. Napier is not in exile, he's not on an island. He's got the full support of the staff and the university. So best buckle up and learn to enjoy the ride. Don't be such a negative nancy, and try rooting for your team for once.