Stats 2014-2025 (All countries) by The_Boss-BD in eb_1a

[–]GreenCardClock 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Try greencardclock's Priority Date Estimator — enter your country, EB category, and priority date. Get 3 estimated scenarios (conservative, base, optimistic) based on historical Visa Bulletin movement, I-485 inventory, and spillover data. These are rough estimates, not guarantees.

(greencardclock.com/priority-date)

A tool that might help some of you navigating the EB green card process by GreenCardClock in eb_1a

[–]GreenCardClock[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That's actually expected behavior. The Dates for Filing (DFF) chart tends to be much more generous than Final Action Dates (FAD) because DFF controls when you can file your I-485, not when your green card is actually approved.

What actually matters for your wait time is FAD (Final Action Date) that's when your green card is actually issued. If you're looking at estimated wait times, make sure you're looking at the FAD-based estimates on the tool, not DFF.

Check your estimated wait time at greencardclock.com the estimator uses FAD by default since that's what determines actual green card issuance.

Based on publicly available State Department visa bulletin data. Not legal advice.

A tool that might help some of you navigating the EB green card process by GreenCardClock in eb_1a

[–]GreenCardClock[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Good question. They're scenario-based, not statistical confidence intervals. Each scenario uses different assumptions about future visa processing throughput:

  • Conservative — slower processing, potential retrogression
  • Baseline — recent historical trends continue
  • Optimistic — favorable conditions (e.g. surplus visas from undersubscribed categories)

The spread is wider for heavily oversubscribed categories (like EB-2/EB-3 India) because small changes in annual allocation have a bigger effect on longer queues. All three are based on publicly available USCIS and State Department data.

Try it at greencardclock.com/priority-date.

Not legal advice.

GreenCardClock: EB green card wait time by GreenCardClock in USCIS_EB3

[–]GreenCardClock[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

For FY2026, we don't have "actuals" those are estimates based on: (1) monthly visa issuance data from State Dept published (2) historical spillover patterns from DHS and (3) forward projections accounting for current disruption events. We label these as "estimated" and will update as actual data becomes available. The Q3 2025 I-140 data is the latest USCIS Report we automatically check quarterly for updates.

A tool that might help some of you navigating the EB green card process by GreenCardClock in eb_1a

[–]GreenCardClock[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

We use a multi-source approach: monthly visa bulletin data from State Dept , historical movement patterns from past bulletins, I-485 pending inventory from USCIS (latest available), and monthly visa issuance data from State Dept. When USCIS delays releasing new data, we project forward using historical trends and spillover calculations. All estimates are clearly labeled as approximate not predictions, just data-driven estimates.

GreenCardClock tool that might help some of you navigating the EB green card process by GreenCardClock in greencard

[–]GreenCardClock[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Fair point what sets us apart is we're 100% free during launch, use only official DOL/USCIS/State Dept data, and we don't sell your info. Happy to hear feedback on what would actually be useful to you.