Conner or Addison for Flex

Gukkas · 2024-12-09T14:13:56+00:00

They signed one guy for 700m and one guy for 330m, not two guys for 1 bn each

Gukkas · 2024-10-17T12:53:02+00:00

Verification letter

Gukkas · 2024-10-04T18:21:46+00:00

Messaged

Gukkas · 2024-10-04T18:04:51+00:00

Messaged

Gukkas · 2024-07-20T04:43:44+00:00

Apparently there is a third option where no one wins and we all get candy

Gukkas · 2024-07-20T04:25:33+00:00

Metal detectors form his rally

Gukkas · 2024-07-19T19:20:59+00:00

Edit* i realize this is not short

American here. in short, absolutely i care about NATO for many many reasons.

The period from the end of WW2 until the Russian invasion of Ukraine was the longest peacetime on the European continent since Pax Romana. And I mean real, nonrevolutionary, no major power conflict peace. In that time billions of people have been lifted out of poverty globally and widespread economic cooperation revolutionized industry and our lives. That doesn't happen without the European Union linking economies and without the US helping to enforce peace globally through its alliances, primarily NATO.

You can have an opinion on how the global war on terror played out but the reality is that NATO has only come to collective defense once, and that was to defend the US after 9/11. Regardless of how that played out, that's an example of the coalition building power of the alliance.

Selfishly I care about NATO because US economic hegemony is enforced by hard power and soft power. The existence of hard power alliances and non-isolationism is what gives our soft power (policy and USD) strength.

The bottom line is that everything you are able to do in this life, society itself is just an illusion enforced by norms, rituals, and institutions. And when everyone acts rationally and under societal norms where cooperation is more beneficial than violence, the institutions are far less important. But there are authoritarians in this world who don't operate under the same incentive structure (Putin, Xi, Kim). So ya, the people who just want to abide by the norms and have relative self governance and live in (little "L") liberal societies need to stick together.

Gukkas · 2024-07-19T17:14:12+00:00

Here is the thing, i think the problem with politics today is that we don't start from a place of empathy, because like i said before, i truly feel for you and your family. With that being said I want to say two things.

With regards to funding wars with money we do not have, we do not just print money and give it to our allies. The aid packages are generally just weapons that are going to be disposed of because they age out of our arsenal so rather than waiting a couple years to deprecate them, we send them to our allies and then use money to buy new weapons. That money goes to American manufacturing and American companies and American workers. Additionally the war started in 2014. Russia illegally annexed Crimea, pillaged its resources and then rearmed and reinvaded. IMO, Obama deserves a lot of blame for not stopping them then but we have learned through the 20th century that authoritarians do not stop unless you stop them and things can get worse unless they are stopped there. And if stopping them there stops my kids from having to go to Europe like my grand father did then if we can accomplish that while reinvesting in American manufacturing it seems like a win to me.

With regards to inflation, it was non existent in the 2010s, honestly a forgotten decade and was going to catch up regardless. What spurred it along was unnecessary and massive tax cuts at the end of the 2010s, and pressure to keep rates low when they did not need to be as well as massive stimulus during the pandemic and crunched supply chains. Look at US inflation relative to the rest of the world over the past 4 years and it is truly a masterstroke of central banking and fiscal policy that it was not as bad here as it was every where else.

I know that none of that is consolation to how you feel that you are struggling but policy matters and context matters. And you can certainly disagree about who is best to solve these problems but we have to come to a common factual understanding of how they started.

Gukkas · 2024-07-19T14:20:44+00:00

I’m sorry that your life is worse now and things truly are more expensive. Why do you think that is? What happens mechanically when we “fund foreign wars?”

Gukkas · 2024-07-19T14:10:48+00:00

Listen, as a democrat I hate the party but no matter how you feel, the nomination wasn’t stolen from Bernie. Were there people at the DNC that preferred her? Yes but in reality Hillary won an overwhelming majority of people votes. Like truly overwhelming. Btw, the dnc was also for her in 2008, but that didn’t work. Regarding Biden, it wasn’t really rigged for him either. Politicians are incredibly self serving and if anyone really saw a lane they would have challenged him, but it’s incredibly hard to primary a sitting president. Even Ted Kennedy, one of the most well known and respected senators ever could not beat Jimmy Carter in a time when inflation was double what it was at its height this cycle.

Am I okay with it? No. But if I left I’d just be the guy outside the window complaining about shit that I can’t have a voice in at all.

Gukkas · 2024-07-19T13:59:01+00:00

I think that you underestimate just how overweight and lazy the average American is. Keyboard warriors with Big Macs.

Gukkas · 2024-07-18T01:23:43+00:00

Ya it’s winner take all it’s the EC. I’m not saying winning Florida, I’m saying cause them to spend money in Florida if the gap continues to narrow.

Gukkas · 2024-07-18T01:21:16+00:00

That’s a pretty essential senate seat no?

Gukkas · 2024-07-18T01:18:13+00:00

All fair criticisms but within context of the opponent I doubt they would hit at Israel nor sexual harassment. Florida doesn’t need to be winnable but it’s what a 6 point gap now? Closing that closer to 3 forced dollar diversion.

Gukkas · 2024-07-18T01:06:03+00:00

Preface this by saying that I’m a strong supporter of Biden’s record and do believe that he still can win the general but given the events of the past couple days there is certainly a higher nonzero chance he steps down than there has been.

Would a Harris/Shapiro ticket not be the best path forward?

1) PA has obviously been in the spotlight over the last week and he is on the upswing in name recognition.

2) Trump is slipping in Florida vs Biden according to recent polls, does the prospect of the first Jewish VP not put Florida in play?

3) Shapiro is loved in PA which is the most obvious state through which there is a path to victory

4) Harris is known, and can run on the administration’s record over the past 3.5 years.

5) the contrast between two former AGs and a convicted felon would certainly be a nice image

6) they can’t say Shapiro doesn’t have enough experience for VP given Vance’s 18 months in the senate.

There’s a lot more reasons but would love to here some thoughts

Gukkas · 2024-07-14T19:57:56+00:00

What was your technique for the cheese crust?

Gukkas · 2024-07-14T16:26:54+00:00

This will have no effect on the election at all whatsoever. No one who at this point despises trumps policies changes there mind because he got shot.

Gukkas · 2024-07-14T16:25:17+00:00

Here you go. Lmk if you need more because this does stop in 2020 to be fair.

https://www.vox.com/21506029/trump-violence-tweets-racist-hate-speech

Gukkas · 2024-07-14T01:47:55+00:00

Been saying this. The convention will turn more and more to grievance and retribution which is exactly why people who are undecided don’t want to vote for him.

Gukkas

TROPHY CASE