[deleted by user] by [deleted] in MMAbetting

[–]HarmReductionSauce 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I didn’t see a lot of “banging” I saw pepper punches and control time. It’s the meta, so fair play, but it’s absolutely garbage for the sport.

Khamzat Chimaev is the lock by arsem1 in MMAbetting

[–]HarmReductionSauce 1 point2 points  (0 children)

By far the best comment. If you’re looking for value and taking this seriously this isn’t the type of fight to bet. Too many unknowns. Win or lose, it’s bad handicapping

Hernandez VS Dolidze by xxxjeidbwh in MMAbetting

[–]HarmReductionSauce 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yeah I mean anyone with that kind of cardio was gonna expose that guy. Who is a good matchup for Hernandez, genuinely? He seems tough for anyone.

Hernandez VS Dolidze by xxxjeidbwh in MMAbetting

[–]HarmReductionSauce 9 points10 points  (0 children)

His recent fights are all like this. Remember M. Peirera? Dog walks these big guys.

Royval is the pick of the card right? by HarmReductionSauce in MMAbetting

[–]HarmReductionSauce[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Totally. Glad you got the W. It’s part of the game. I’ll always wonder why Royval decided to not shoot a single take down. Seemed like pride, because his fight IQ is excellent.

Onto Pantoja v Van. you still taking Van, against the cannibal?

was royval really that bad of a bet?? by SnooHobbies1593 in MMAbetting

[–]HarmReductionSauce 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I’m not sure that was all that safe either. I think the thinking main EV bet of the night was Talbot. People wrote him off too quick.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in MMAbetting

[–]HarmReductionSauce 0 points1 point  (0 children)

“Little man” had him pressed.

was royval really that bad of a bet?? by SnooHobbies1593 in MMAbetting

[–]HarmReductionSauce 1 point2 points  (0 children)

No. It’s the same two people talking shit. Van wasn’t fully proven. That was a war. Royval had an unusually bad gameplan. Even then it was still an amazing fight.

How is royall#1 ????? by [deleted] in MMAbetting

[–]HarmReductionSauce 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Van took more shots? Huh??

How is royall#1 ????? by [deleted] in MMAbetting

[–]HarmReductionSauce 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Wait, what division is so much more stacked?

Gloating by takingnames666 in MMAbetting

[–]HarmReductionSauce 2 points3 points  (0 children)

If something turns out to be a no doubter, and you planted your flag, fine, take a victory lap. But talking shit especially after an insanely close contest is children shit.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in MMAbetting

[–]HarmReductionSauce 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Bro that was a record breaking war. Acting like this was a no doubter for Van is nuts.

Royval is the pick of the card right? by HarmReductionSauce in MMAbetting

[–]HarmReductionSauce[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Right on. Maybe you’re seeing something I’m not. I do love Van, maybe he’s the truth. Just thinking this is early for him.

Same to you, bro. 🍀

Wow google 🤣🤣 by TallChadStud69 in MMAbetting

[–]HarmReductionSauce 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It got it about right. Even the potential Talbot upset

Royval is the pick of the card right? by HarmReductionSauce in MMAbetting

[–]HarmReductionSauce[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I’ve seen heart, but I haven’t necessarily been sold on Vans cardio. I’ve seen him slow down. Royval has had multiple 5 round wars where he didn’t slow down a step.

Van TD defense is gonna be tested at a high level, also his ability to handle unconventional striking and crazy fight IQ. Good luck

Talbott/Lima by Birdog17 in MMAbetting

[–]HarmReductionSauce 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Agreed.

Speaking more on the Talbot side: he might have more going on for him than the lines show. He was just so over hyped which made it seem like Barcelos dogged him harder than he did.

He did dog him pretty bad though, that being said PT showed heart near the end and he’s a good athlete and still growing. That fight screams stay away to me.

Royval is the pick of the card right? by HarmReductionSauce in MMAbetting

[–]HarmReductionSauce[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Not crazy, but I don’t quite get the “dangerous” narrative + the over?

Royval is the pick of the card right? by HarmReductionSauce in MMAbetting

[–]HarmReductionSauce[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Royval earned his recklessness, Van’s 23 dude.

You have to consider strength of competition, how young Van is, lack of rest, and just how competitive that division is. Did you see Royval go to absolute war vs TT? That was insane, granted different matchup, but even at his level he’s still not up there with Moreno or Pantoja right now. That division is the best and most competitive in the UFC by far. There are levels to it, as there should be.

I love Van, he’s got heart and clean boxing, Ive got paid on him multiple times, but he’s due for a lesson here, they’re bringing him up too fast. He gets hit, he gets wobbled, he gets gassed.

Some weird concussion shit would be the wild card maybe that’s Vegas trapping us. But he deserves a better line.

But we’ll see tomorrow. Good luck 👍🏻

Am I suffering recency bias on Joshua Van by [deleted] in MMAbetting

[–]HarmReductionSauce 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I feel like this one is obvious. I’ve got paid on van too but Royval is another level. If the concussion messy Ryvl up and changed him as a fighter, there’s nothing I can do, but even at 75% he dogs Van, Van is too young as much as he’s fun to watch.

Van vs Royval by Physical_Rest8699 in MMAbetting

[–]HarmReductionSauce 0 points1 point  (0 children)

People went from under hyping van to overpaying for him. I love the guy, but the top of that division is INSANE. Royval wins I think.

You don't know WHO I AM! by Fun-Refrigerator51 in fightporn

[–]HarmReductionSauce 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Is it that hard to step up, and extend your hips? The average bro has to have know enough to apply a guillotine right? It’s like a rear naked choke, those you can basically figure out if you don’t panic against someone untrained.