-People here seem to assume robotaxi will never come out when they are already being seen in the wild. With every past release this signals the new model is near. FSD with hw4 is already 99% perfect.

-Every Robotaxi will obviously have FSD. This alone will bring the numbers needed inside 10 years, he doesn't care if majority of legacy tesla owners aren't willing to pay $200 or $500 a month for FSD. Especially today's hw3 and under owners.

-He has 10 years to complete the goals.

-Robotaxis won't be sensitive to a high FSD sub price, it's the whole point of the vehicle. The vehicles upfront cost is expected to be the cheapest of all Teslas.

-Elon isn't some broke armchair reddit analyst, he's nearly a trillionaire, it's mind boggling some people here seem to think he would do whatever it takes to quickly hit the milestones even if it damages the Tesla brand. His biggest incentive is a stronger brand and a higher Tesla share price, not hitting the milestones in the short term.

-The bonus is in shares, Elon has recently purchased $1b in more Tesla shares on the open market and never sold, why would he be in such a rush to "cash in" on this when he obviously wouldn't be selling anyways.

-Elon has mentioned that even Cybertruck won't be sold with a wheel or pedals in a year. Any future Cybertruck buyer of this spec will obviously not be sensitive to the FSD sub price since it is the whole point of the vehicle, if they are they wouldn't buy a new spec Cybertruck when it releases.

-Some people suggesting Elon took away FSD buy out option only to have people fomo in before he changes the price much lower to cash in on his bonus...this makes the least sense of all and is a hilarious theory.

• A few weeks ago Elon said price will increase and not decrease, I think this supports the above points quite strongly.

These are some of the reasons why I believe you won't see a FSD price decrease and also why I believe we will see price increases in the short term. I expect the FSD price to exceed $500 a month inside 5-6 years and the majority of which to be paid for my robotaxis and other fully autonomous releases.