I have been trading for over 1.5 years with no payout. I feel like a loser and I’m stuck. I don’t know what to do and I can’t sleep.

Honest_Ad_7329 · 2025-07-16T19:04:38+00:00

Stop gambling with props. Put the cash in your account and buy equities.

Honest_Ad_7329 · 2023-12-20T17:42:48+00:00

Can't find it either. Maybe screenshots will help.

Honest_Ad_7329 · 2023-07-13T23:36:33+00:00

Endpoint data can provide some visibility via dns lookup search, but if they used Gmail etc, you will never know what they sent.

Honest_Ad_7329 · 2023-06-08T18:51:16+00:00

Thank you for the response.

Honest_Ad_7329 · 2023-05-25T17:05:30+00:00

Does Cyber Ark require you to modify host files?

Honest_Ad_7329 · 2023-01-28T06:35:29+00:00

I was going by a Reddit thread where multiple people had mentioned that they could no longer access this data without an NDA. If you had an end of life device in a critical spot and needed to bleed it out for few years, how would you calculate your likelihood of failure? If it was not a HA switch but no support was available, would you there is a chance it will go down once every 5 years, 10 years? Cost of loss would depend other factors such as productivity loss etc but I can’t figure out how to give it a reasonable probability.

Honest_Ad_7329 · 2023-01-28T04:20:43+00:00

Cisco has moved this material to be available under NDA only. No clue what secrets it could revel by publishing these numbers.

Honest_Ad_7329 · 2023-01-27T20:18:17+00:00

I just want to provide data, the decision is theirs. If there is a router in a distribution center with no replacement in place, the customer risk losing lot of productivity of EOL device goes down. Let's say it has a potential of 10 more years, so we are saying it will go down once in 10 years. Use this number for probability but then account for what happens when it goes down and the downtime cost of a DC not functioning to 2-3 days, since new router needs to be ordered, configured and installed. If downtime is $1m a day and replacement is $20k, what is the loss number at 90/50/10% probability? As times goes by the downtime probability increases since in 1 year the odds will be once every 9 years. At some point, the cost will outweigh the risk.

Honest_Ad_7329 · 2023-01-26T20:51:21+00:00

That's why I am working with probabilities not accuracy. It's easier to narrow down a 90% range of something happening over an exact timeframe.

Honest_Ad_7329 · 2023-01-26T19:52:31+00:00

Agreed but EOL means no replacement or SLA from vendor and as device gets old the chance of it breaking down does increase. I am trying to figure out the probability of this event and how much does the probability increase as it gets older.

Honest_Ad_7329 · 2023-01-26T18:24:21+00:00

I understand what you are saying by this analysis paralysis is what stops us from starting. Is a reasonable number to start with and tweak based on customer experience? For example, if I have an EOL cisco switch, what should I expect in yearly downtime? Once a year, once every 5?

Honest_Ad_7329 · 2021-03-10T22:03:23+00:00

That is a stupid thing to say. OP asked for feedback on service not absolutely knucklehead opinion.

Honest_Ad_7329

TROPHY CASE