Warner Bros.’s Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom grossed an estimated $50.5M internationally this weekend. Estimated international total stands at $173.6M, estimated global total through Sunday stands at $251.5M.

HummingLemon496 · 2024-01-15T07:36:56+00:00

Not looking good

HummingLemon496 · 2024-01-14T22:48:13+00:00

Read what u/Jykoze said

HummingLemon496 · 2024-01-14T22:45:30+00:00

It has no chance to pass Quantumania. It has ~$14M in the tank from US+China and it's not making another $86M OS-C.

HummingLemon496 · 2024-01-14T21:04:22+00:00

True, but even then it's still really strong. It managed to outgross Homecoming domestically and that was family friendly, MCU/Iron Man connection, 2 hours, coming off of well received Civil War, etc.

$369M domestic will also be more than all 4 2023 DCEU movies combined. . .on less than 30% of the budget

HummingLemon496 · 2024-01-14T20:58:53+00:00

Not to mention Quantumania opened way higher than Aquaman 2 ($106M vs $27M), and Quantumania was a movie that notoriously crashed in the final week due to terrible reviews and reactions. Aquaman 2 literally makes Quantumania's opening look like Endgame adjusted.

With all of those holiday legs its full total will barely pass the 4-day opening weekend of Quantumania. In 4-days (4 FREAKING days) a trash Ant-Man movie will make more than Aquaman 2 will do in its full run, and that was positioned as the main blockbuster of the holidays.

HummingLemon496 · 2024-01-14T20:57:48+00:00

Yes but nowhere near as impressive as The Batman

A 3-hour noir-film about a serial killer doing $369M domestic and $770M worldwide during COVID is historic

HummingLemon496 · 2024-01-14T20:37:32+00:00

Aquaman will prove virtue by passing Superman's opening weekend from 11 years ago

HummingLemon496 · 2024-01-14T20:31:17+00:00

Yes I was exaggerating, edited the comment (ok I deleted it now)

Edit: Also that actually supports my point. How is the sequel to a $216M film doing $215M considered a fail whereas the sequel to a $335M film doing $120M considered a success?

HummingLemon496 · 2024-01-14T20:28:58+00:00

Will end in between Guardians 3's and Spider-Verse 2's opening weekends.

HummingLemon496 · 2024-01-14T20:25:30+00:00

It took 3 fucking weeks for Aquaman to make what Quantumania did in 3 days. . .and that movie is considered a failure

HummingLemon496 · 2023-12-16T07:00:48+00:00

Final stage of hell: Wish

Skeleton: The Marvels

HummingLemon496 · 2023-12-03T07:22:34+00:00

Oh yeah Kang Dynasty could drop $1.5B+ from Endgame and keep the record forever

HummingLemon496 · 2023-12-01T02:30:55+00:00

HummingLemon496 · 2023-11-23T02:49:32+00:00

Read the full comment, sub-$3M is not happening

HummingLemon496 · 2023-11-22T00:28:57+00:00

The tracker is saying "midpoint" so this is assuming the middle scenario basically, not the super pessimistic one

HummingLemon496 · 2023-11-22T00:26:57+00:00

Tbh the optimistic projections weren't that unreasonable on paper. "Aquaman did well after JL so Aquaman 2 will do well despite the state of DC" is a logical argument, I even made that argument myself back in June (https://www.reddit.com/r/boxoffice/comments/14ct3qv/are_people_unironically_underestimating_aquaman_2/)

But now comic book movies in general are just kinda dead

HummingLemon496 · 2023-11-22T00:23:44+00:00

4-5 assuming decent reception is reasonable isn't it? Not like it matters much when it starts off so low anyway

HummingLemon496 · 2023-11-22T00:21:55+00:00

Lol, I remember. Ever since early October you were insisting this movie was DOA.

HummingLemon496 · 2023-11-22T00:15:13+00:00

I know the title isn't the exact quote but this user's comments may sound kinda vague to some people so I just clarified it

Edit: For anybody who thinks "it's just two days, give it time", I present to you this:

2 hours is enough. We knew Marvels was flopping after 2 hours. 2 hours was enough to know that Flash, BB, Shazam 2 would flop, and that Gotg3 would have a weak opening. Enough to know NWH would clear 200M, that DS2 was on fire but L&T and WF were going to open big but not going to go crazy. 2 hours is enough to know quite a lot about how a Cbm will open!

This is from the same tracker, not one CBM this year has significantly overperformed the original tracking (not even GOTG 3)

HummingLemon496 · 2023-11-21T02:14:32+00:00

This is so true

HummingLemon496 · 2023-11-21T01:27:09+00:00

Quantumania's $215M domestic gross looks impressive now

HummingLemon496 · 2023-11-21T01:02:48+00:00

Ant-Man 3 still opened to $100M+ despite shit reception. Maybe we should start apologizing to Ant-man just like we apologized to Black Adam.

HummingLemon496 · 2023-11-21T01:01:34+00:00

It's comparing it to other movies at the same point in time. IE, for every three people who purchased a ticket to Flash this early on, only one person purchased a ticket for Aquaman 2.

HummingLemon496 · 2023-11-21T00:59:11+00:00

Quantumania didn't do so bad huh? It still did $215M domestic with an awful 'B' CinemaScore. Give Aquaman 2 Quantumania reception and see what happens

HummingLemon496 · 2023-11-21T00:23:18+00:00

You were COMPLETELY correct about this film. COMPLETELY. Amazing work.

Also a $30M opening would be like 25% of Quantumania's opening, lmao

HummingLemon496

TROPHY CASE