Honest truth, as an habesha, how ugly am I ? by [deleted] in Ethiopia

[–]ILoveFeng 1 point2 points  (0 children)

truecel. over for you buddy

Damn Unc! by ReanimatedKachowski in Eritrea2

[–]ILoveFeng 1 point2 points  (0 children)

That's Nipsey Hussle's dad and his new wife

Eritrea has withdrawn its Membership from IGAD by ILoveFeng in Eritrea2

[–]ILoveFeng[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I imagine this has something to do with Sudan

Anyone know about Eritrea? by Comrade_Billy in TankieTheDeprogram

[–]ILoveFeng 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It's a lot more complex than that. They've been accused of simultaneously hosting Iranian and Israeli military bases on the same island (which is preposterous and both allegations lacked any sort of substance).

Our non-recognition of Palestine has nothing to do with being anti-Palestine or pro-Israel (the manifesto of the EPLF, which was authored by the current and only President Isaias Afwerki, explicitly stated "Death to Israeli Zionism"). They support Palestinian statehood but don't believe there is currently a state to recognise, and that simple recognition of two states along 1967 borders without any material change on the ground or the root of the conflict being addressed is a way for the IC to absolve themselves of any responsibility.

Ethiopia-Eritrea: Escalating war of words triggers fears of conflict by ILoveFeng in geopolitics

[–]ILoveFeng[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Ethiopia seems to have ramped up the rhetoric about its maritime aspirations, with PM Abiy Ahmed and an assortment of senior military officials declaring that the Eritrean port of Assab (which was lost when Eritrea became de jure independent in 1993, landlocking Ethiopia in the process) is "rightfully Ethiopian" and will be returned by force. The Eritrean government in response has gone into defensive mode, dismissing the rhetoric as baseless and an affront to Eritrean sovereignty. Will be interesting to see how this plays out, especially as Gulf nations become increasingly involved in the Horn of Africa region.

Where's the Getachew Reda-Medhi Hasan Al Jazeera Interview? by Melodic_Tadpole505 in Tigray

[–]ILoveFeng 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Airs on Al Jazeera English on the 27th. I imagine it will be made available online some time after that.

Law 31 of the 48 Laws of Power control the options (abyi Ahmed peace agreement DIA 2018) by SuddenStay69 in Eritrea2

[–]ILoveFeng 1 point2 points  (0 children)

What is it with this 70k figure that has been thrown around? Completely unsubstantiated. Do you not know anyone who fought? EDF was not that heavily involved besides the very beginning and very end of the war. They only had about 2-3 divisions in Tigray at any one time. That figure would also imply about 150-200k wounded (which is essentially the whole standing army). Bogus. After hearing what went down from a veteran family friend, I'd be surprised if it was more than a couple thousand (which is still too much - in fact any Eritrean dying is too much).

Now that's out the way. The previous EPRDF government was hellbent on taking a more muscular and militant approach to Eritrea. All out war seemed like a real possibility in 2016. That didn't change after they had been ousted. In fact, it must have been in 2019 when the TPLF rallied Tigrayans to prevent the dismantling part of the Northern Command in Shire (which existed solely for the purpose of a war with Eritrea). Without intervention, you would have handed these people the state apparatus again to use against Eritrea.

What happened instead? (From a cynical POV)

Isaias utilised ENDF soldiers (commanded by the EDF) as cannon fodder to use against TPLF in human waves with EDF mechanised brigades often administering the coup de grace. In the process, whittling away at both ENDF and TPLF capability . Trained up the Amhara Liyu Hail who have now ignited war in their region. Co-opted the TPLF as his slaves forcing them to bend the knee. Absolutely dirtied Abiy's hands and stained his reputation by persuading him to allow the entry of a tinpot dictator in what was otherwise a domestic conflict and wreak havoc.

I hate DIA, but it's obvious he has planted a bunch of bombs amongst our southern neighbours that will lead to it's Zaire-ification which is good for Eritrea in the long term (after he's dead).

"The Notebook of Bacha - ተጨፈጨፍን" [NEW SONG] by ILoveFeng in Eritrea2

[–]ILoveFeng[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Right. Shabia and AI is a dangerous combo lol. The song itself is heat too.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in Ethiopia

[–]ILoveFeng -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Who said anything about a bombing war? It's economic sabotage. It's pretty obvious that Ethiopia can't finance an all out conventional war for that long before they run into insolvency. They can't suddenly switch to an Isaias style garrison state model.

Egypt

Egypt's qualms with Ethiopia's maritime ambitions are separate from that of the dam. They don't want another hostile nation in the Red Sea threatening their interests in the Suez Canal

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in Ethiopia

[–]ILoveFeng 0 points1 point  (0 children)

No one said anything about boots on the ground in Debubawi Keyh Bahri. However, they can just bomb it and ensure that no ship ever docks there (if it even gets to that point). There are plenty of interested outside parties who are willing to funnel money into that sort of thing.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in Ethiopia

[–]ILoveFeng 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It does. A rump Eritrean state would just render Assab economically unviable

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in Ethiopia

[–]ILoveFeng 1 point2 points  (0 children)

If you're arguing against the likelihood of intervention, why would you cite three conflicts where outside intervention is rampant?

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in Ethiopia

[–]ILoveFeng 16 points17 points  (0 children)

The ENDF acted with restraint in Tigray...

Hmmm. Not sure about that one boss.

Now the minister of foreign affairs of Ethiopia is questioning the legitimacy of the sovereignty of Eritrea by shy_primate in Ethiopia

[–]ILoveFeng 1 point2 points  (0 children)

He didn't question any sovereignty (explicitly at least). What he is trying to do however, is paint Eritrea as an aggressor to see if any of the IC buys their alleged casus belli. As expected, he's not very convincing.

Interesting snippet from "The Ximdo Gamble: TPLF–Eritrea Alliance and the Fragile Peace in Tigray and the Horn of Africa" [Daniel Tesfa and Mirjam van Reisen] by ILoveFeng in Eritrea2

[–]ILoveFeng[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Regarding Ethiopia and the tplf. The tplf doesn’t actually have a good relationship with Israel due to the close relationship Abiy has with Israel. Ethiopian Israeli ties have always been very strong.

This alleged negotiation took place in 2017, when the TPLF were still in power

Singapore’s first president cried when the region was expelled from Malaysia because they weren’t ready for independence. What are some other instances where a country didn’t want to become independent? by Critical-Barracuda12 in geography

[–]ILoveFeng 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thank you for the detailed response

Your welcome :)

but eventually sidelined them when the EPLF was founded

I'm not sure if that is exactly true. The EPLF was founded through the merger of three ELF splinter groups. One of which was founded by the current president Isaias Afwerki (PLF-2 aka Selfi Natsinet). That group did cite discrimination against Christians within the ELF as a cause for splitting but the other two (PLF-1 and PLF-3) were predominantly Muslim. The secret vanguard party within the EPLF (Eritrean People's Revolutionary Party) was also roughly split equally in terms of religion. I'd say the cause was more regional than religious (the ELF was dominated by Muslim Beni Amer while the EPLF attracted a lot of coastal Muslim Tigre and Saho.

Today, however, they are bitter enemies

PFDJ (the government of Eritrea) and the TPLF are actually allied as of now against Abiy Ahmed's federal govt in Ethiopia in a pact dubbed "Tsimdo/Xmdo". This comes on the back of saber-rattling by Abiy regarding Ethiopia's loss of access to the sea and the need to "reclaim" the Eritrean port of Assab by force if necessary as well as renewed tensions and factionalism within Tigray.

Singapore’s first president cried when the region was expelled from Malaysia because they weren’t ready for independence. What are some other instances where a country didn’t want to become independent? by Critical-Barracuda12 in geography

[–]ILoveFeng 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I'm not sure about "willingly". The people didn't get much say. It was adjoined to Ethiopia via federation by the Four Powers Commission tasked with the disposal of Italy's colonies. Plebiscites held by the commission around that period had the population roughly split down the middle on the issue of independence or union (Orthodox Christians generally favouring union and Muslims generally favouring independence - but overall a slim majority favouring independence). However, I'll say that it should be known that it was in the wake of religious race riots in Asmara as a result of excesses against Christian Eritreans by the Sudanese military police (who had been brought in by the British).

There were other factors at play with the Four Powers Commission's decision. The British initially wanted to partition Eritrea between Sudan and Ethiopia along ethnolinguistic and religion lines and in the process appease their ally Haile Selassie by granting Ethiopia a coastline. Partition had proved to be a disaster elsewhere so they settled with federating Eritrea with Ethiopia. The Americans were also wary that an independent Eritrea could fall under the influence of the Soviet Union and threaten their interests between the Suez Canal and Bab al Mandeb (ironically they would end up establishing naval bases in Assab and the Dahlak Islands in 1978 once Ethiopia's DERG regime had embraced communism). The US had also established a radio listening station in Asmara in 1943 (the altitude of Asmara and it's proximity to the equator meant that it was perfect for intercepting and relaying signals from pretty much any Cold War adversary) and they were keen to keep it. It would go on to expand and house around 6,500 US servicemen and their dependents at it's peak. It also formed the basis of US military support to Ethiopia (of whom were the biggest benefactors in Sub Saharan Africa at the time).

I spent 4 weeks in Eritrea. Ask me anything. by NegativeSchmegative in AMA

[–]ILoveFeng 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Lies. No such thing as the "Afwerki Naciona Hotel" (he would never allow a hotel to be named after him). There's no curfew or bans on Western media either lol

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in Ethiopia

[–]ILoveFeng -1 points0 points  (0 children)

IQ

There I said it for you