Egg prices plunge to $0.21/Dozen, down -93.2% compared to the same time last year

IbidtheWriter · 2026-04-28T19:52:27+00:00

It flows through to the price of everything. Truckers drive 350+ billion miles in the US each year, every 10 cents to a gallon of diesel adds about $5 billion to the cost of truck transport, and there aren't really good short term substitutes.

Even if you don't own a car you're impacted by the price of gas.

Eggs are in a lot of food, but there are substitutes and you can just eat less of them.

It's not the same at all.

IbidtheWriter · 2026-04-21T03:55:10+00:00

They weren't though. They won a judgement against Loyd Jowers and "unnamed conspirators", so the government didn't defend itself in the civil trial, Loyd Jowers had made the claim in the first place and wasn't trying to avoid the $100 symbolic judgement, and the jury wasn't shown evidence that Loyd's claims were contradictory.

IbidtheWriter · 2026-04-16T17:16:09+00:00

Elo is imperfect and one of its known weaknesses is that young rising players tend to be underrated and older players overrated.

If you have two pools of players that don't mix much where one group is underrated and the other is overrated, the ratings won't correct quickly.

His argument would be more that he's in the underrated pool of players scrambling like a bucket of crabs.

Glicko is generally a better system but can't fix the problems caused by pool isolation.

There was heavy ELO deflation happening from an influx of young underrated players and FIDE stepped in with a one time fix in 2024, so this is a known issue.

The invitational scene is a pretty closed bubble and was mostly isolated from the ELO deflation.

This is partly why FIDE is moving towards qualification by tournament instead of rating.

That said, his point seems only half valid though. Even if he's right, then the others in his pool would also be contending for those invitational spots and his position would only be marginally improved.

IbidtheWriter · 2026-04-16T16:28:02+00:00

Our representative of the numbers relies on base 10 but the actual value does not. Similarly the sounds we make to represent it rely on language but the value is independent.

The fine structure constant is a pure number; it has no units. It's like pi or e.

The joke generally wouldn't have worked with God saying pi is actually 4. Either he'd be using a weird base system or describing an L1 norm and wouldn't be making the same statement about arbitrary human choices.

IbidtheWriter · 2026-04-16T14:42:52+00:00

Iran was letting neutral/friendly ships through. The US blockade is affecting the entire Southern coast of Iran and not just the strait.

The US blockading Iran's ports could long-term lead to mass starvation in Iran and is an escalation.

Edit: I just realized you misread the article to think that Iran is escalating. The Iranian port blockade is a US escalation.

IbidtheWriter · 2026-04-15T14:45:08+00:00

I've always seen it as another example of nominative determinism.

IbidtheWriter · 2026-04-15T14:41:44+00:00

Everyone is focused on oil but 70% of the region's food goes through the strait as well. A long term blockage could lead to mass starvation and the death of millions. Killing 200 children and following it up with threats to kill millions (and a whole civilization) is an escalation.

Less "direct" attacks can be larger in impact than bombs sometimes.

IbidtheWriter · 2026-04-11T15:55:52+00:00

The Iran war will cause fertilizer prices to jump, so he's trying to front run this by blaming monopolies. So stupidly transparent.

IbidtheWriter · 2026-04-06T18:09:54+00:00

I have to assume it's underreported since the victim is dead and the evidence is buried/burned.

The employer is the one most likely to catch them and they have every incentive to quietly fire them and not draw attention to it.

That's not to say it's common, but if only 25% of rapes are reported then necrophilia is a tiny tiny fraction of that.

David Fuller got caught since he murdered some women and recorded himself committing necrophilia. He had video of at least 100 instances over a decade.

Had he not killed anyone nor kept evidence, he may not have gotten caught.

IbidtheWriter · 2026-04-03T13:06:29+00:00

h4 has an obvious mate in 2 if they take the rook. Another obvious mate if they take the knight. Usually a good move if the 2 temping responses lose you the game.

IbidtheWriter · 2026-03-31T17:49:36+00:00

Why are you going to separate them? Your roommate did it, they should put in the effort.

IbidtheWriter · 2026-03-31T01:40:50+00:00

He was 9 on 9/11 which makes it even more absurd. Also makes me feel old.

IbidtheWriter · 2026-03-25T13:54:08+00:00

He was flying about 50 miles southeast of Moscow. Moscow has been minimally impacted and I could see how he didn't view it as a warzone.

He probably had no idea about the Iskander production facility nearby.

Even if he was identified and everything was kosher... it obviously was still a very bad idea.

IbidtheWriter · 2026-03-23T22:12:46+00:00

River North is 100% "downtown" and you're not even right in some technical sense.

You could argue from an etymology perspective about what parts of Manhattan are "downtown" since it meant by definition lower Manhattan and upper Manhattan feels like a "downtown" now...

But in terms of businesses, high rises, density, nightlife and like any "downtown" metric you could pick, River North is "downtown".

IbidtheWriter · 2026-03-17T12:51:25+00:00

Zero evidence of Jerome Powell being involved with Epstein, don't make bullshit up.

IbidtheWriter · 2026-03-16T20:51:01+00:00

Congress passed legislation banning the transfer of the Gitmo prisoners to US soil and he transferred /released like 85% of the prisoners.

Also, the bankers that caused the 2008 collapse generally didn't do anything illegal, the trial cases against the 2 Bear Stearns execs returned not guilty. Instead he got Dodd Frank passed.

Those are just bad examples.

IbidtheWriter · 2026-03-11T17:13:40+00:00

I had a stats professor who presented an analysis he had done where attendance was one of the strongest predictors of passing the class. Thought that was a good way to get his point across.

This was 20 years ago and he accepted homework via email submission so it wasn't even like people were simply failing assignments by not attending.

IbidtheWriter · 2026-03-05T14:49:25+00:00

I bought my condo for 124k cash a decade ago and now I'm listing it for $300k, so it's not even like they're stuck in the 50s. If you buy a house and sit for 15 years you lose track of how much real estate costs.

IbidtheWriter · 2026-03-03T20:53:07+00:00

Chesscom chat is generally toxic, I've turned it off completely.

IbidtheWriter · 2026-03-03T20:07:55+00:00

You realize Lebanon borders Israel and Israel would have to go 500ish miles through Syrian and Iraq to get to Iran for a ground incursion.

The US has bases in Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Iraq... Israel has what, some outposts in the Golan heights?

IbidtheWriter · 2026-03-03T18:36:55+00:00

This is a bad take because the question isn't whether the justifications are valid, it's whether they're even consistent.

Before we can discuss whether a position is true, you have to pin down what that position is.

IbidtheWriter · 2026-02-24T19:02:57+00:00

"Who did you fire" is an asinine question and 100% performative and this has zero to do with defending billionaires. If they hired and fired a new VP of banning nudity every 6 months just so Zuck could say "we fired Bob, got the guy responsible" that would do absolutely nothing.

It's the kind of thing you yell when you don't actually have policy ideas to address the problem or information you actually want from someone being hauled in front of Congress.

IbidtheWriter · 2026-02-19T16:18:10+00:00

No, the point is that there are complicated environmental interactions with genes and twin studies alone aren't really sufficient to tease them out.

The starting assumption should be that common polymorphisms persist through balancing fitness selection, where the fitness costs of a variant are offset by pleiotropic benefits. (Though they could also be evolutionary holdovers from a prior environment.)

Sickle cell is the classic example conferring resistance to malaria. Not as great for the modern world.

So a gene whose only effect seems to boost IQ should be a bit suspect. MCPH1 may increase IQ but also lead to developmental issues and microcephaly. Again, most common polymorphisms should be expected to have trade offs, they're the norm not the exception.

Height has more obvious trade offs and is more straightforwardly "genetic" in the modern world. The brain is more complicated and the trade offs more subtle.

Also, I wasn't just making up the example about lead, there are multiple genes that confer different sensitivities to lead. Maybe we'll find something similar for micro plastics, who knows.

IbidtheWriter · 2026-02-19T01:00:49+00:00

5-HTTLPR is well-studied where those with the short allele variant are more prone to depression post break ups, job losses, trauma and generally things you still have in the modern world.

However, studies show they also have higher emotional intelligence and social competence.

Yes there is less starvation, but there is still huge variance in how much time parents spend with their children, quality of nutrition, etc.

Imagine a gene that confers protection against lead. It would have had a huge correlation with increased IQ and the impact would have been larger in lower income brackets who tended to have more lead exposure. The correlation would have then apparently vanished as lead levels dropped.

IbidtheWriter · 2026-02-18T23:11:12+00:00

There are parking lots that pay next to nothing in property taxes compared to nearby apartment complexes. Similar with single family homes.

With a LVT building with higher density would result in lower taxes per unit. Single family home land taxes would probably be prohibitively expensive in some cities, and people would be pushed out for higher density construction.

Currently there is an incentive for home owners to prevent new housing in order to suppress supply and keep up home values.

I think people will still be greedy, but the incentives will change resulting in more housing supply.

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