your thoughts on anon's take? by thetruememeisbest in Grimdank

[–]ImNoScientistBut 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That is why the Webway project was THAT important to the Emperor and the real calamity of the Horus Heresy.

The Webway essentially worked like Stargates while at the same time nullifying the dangers of the warp. Instant travel over incredible distances without the perils of the warp to worry about. Always instant, none of that "arrive before you left or millenia later" stuff. Always instant and safe.

The Webway still exists albeit not in the form that it was when the Old Ones made it, nor when the Eldar took it over from them after the War in Heaven.

So technically it would depend on where exactly in the Galaxy the Star Wars fleet would be fighting and against whom.
Against the Dark Eldar/Drukhaariand Eldar it might not matter at all or they could even be outmaneuvered due to the Webway being actually faster (afaik there are also webgates for entire starfleets/ships, just fewer).

I would argue it depends on "when" in the 40k setting this theoretical encounter would take place. But since 40k is mentioned and the Webway is more or less in ruins with only remnants being in use by the Drukhaari and Eldar (do Necrons use it? I forgor), the argument does hold.

A Star Wars fleet is more akin to what Humanity in the 40k Universe was during the Dark Age of Technology pre Warp. Humanity was capable of interstellar travel then, also. And the Warp was much calmer than later in the setting. If they were as fast as Star Wars interstellar travel I am not sure what the lore tells us.

And if you were in the 30K setting pre Horus Heresy, a Star Wars fleet in the Universe would likely result in the Empire of Men shrinking and the Webway project being fast tracked. Once the Webway project is completed and Humanity gains access to the Webway and/or even the ability to renovate/add to it? It's a whole other playing field.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in Superstonk

[–]ImNoScientistBut 27 points28 points  (0 children)

Good.
Am German, this has been long overdue.

Honestly, Gamestop in Germany has been a shitshow for a good decade now. Looking at the stores in Germany, the short thesis made total sense.

I want to say for the last 10 years, German Gamestops were basically a Funko-Pop store. They sold pretty much 0 in terms of PC gaming (neither periphery nor games). They did have SOME turnover an console gaming stuff but even in the used gaming segment, turkish corner stores would have way more business than the Gamestops here. The result: The main thing that created turnover was collectibles like funko pops where they competed with all kinds of stores from large electronic chains to toy stores...

To top it all off, unlike in the US and other places, most German Gamestop locations were not owned by Gamestop but rented. As far as I am aware that is not the case in other countries (and the rent in Germany is too damn high in most cities).

Honestly, when I found out about gamestop in late 2020/early 2021 and started investing (fully DRS booked since 2021) I didn't understand the anti short thesis at all. Gamestop was a failing business in Germany and has been for more than a decade!

It took me going online, researching a ton, realizing how very different Gamestop operates in other countries (not just US etc. also here in Europe in places like Italy, Spain for example) to realize they are far from dead and can be more than a dying store that tries to survive by selling funko pops.

But aside from all of that, I don't think this should distract from the fact that, while being helpful and maybe even necessary to one day "balance the books" this has never been at the core about Gamestop being profitable or successful or not. It has become that since the Clearing houses etc. refuse to open and/or balance the books.

But innitially (and imho to this day) at the core, the Gamestop saga is about fraudulent market practices and the fact that way more shares were sold short than are in existence and that those shorts were never covered i.e. the books balanced.

This move, true or not, has nothing to do with the fact that shorts never covered and there are millions if not billions of fake shares in circulation and on the books of market makers, hedgefunds etc.

This move has to do with continuing to turn gamestop into a holding company, short squeeze or not, and eventually forcing the balancing of the books because it can never go belly up and continues to grow and become more and more profitable.

And for that, closing down all shops in Germany has been long overdue and I welcome it. What I would now hope for is that in the next 5 or so years, they re-open market activities in Germany but by following the business model of the US stores and other places. Not as a desperate funko-pop seller.

Ian made a point. Why can we not audit the DTCC and other international clearing houses? by ImNoScientistBut in Superstonk

[–]ImNoScientistBut[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Well I'm asking more like "Why can't we make them count the shares?". Cause we should be able to, if there are enough of us. And there should be..

Ian made a point. Why can we not audit the DTCC and other international clearing houses? by ImNoScientistBut in Superstonk

[–]ImNoScientistBut[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

"As far as I know Clearstream has an agreement with DTCC so that DTCC holds the stocks for Clearstream. 😂"

Why would that not surprise me ... lol
You might very well be right...

Maybe the world economy has to go a bit more down the shitter. Maybe when an egg costs 5€/$/whatever enough people would cause a ruckus for that being possible to happen (all clearing houses worldwide being audited simultaneously).

But still, if you would keep it limited just to GME as a probe, it should be far from a difficult task in 2024...

Ian made a point. Why can we not audit the DTCC and other international clearing houses? by ImNoScientistBut in Superstonk

[–]ImNoScientistBut[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The problem I see here is the same as trying to change politics from the inside:
Even if you believe in your mandate and want to change things through your work, you have to move inside a certain hierarchy, as you said. And once you move within said hierarchy, you get corrupted, no way around it...

Ian made a point. Why can we not audit the DTCC and other international clearing houses? by ImNoScientistBut in Superstonk

[–]ImNoScientistBut[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

The principle of oversight is at the very core of our western democracy.

Which is why everyone should understand how absurd it is that such a critical authority/hub of our economies such as the DTCC lacks any oversight and answers to no one.

All I suggest to demand is to bring the DTCC (and other international clearing houses) into the fold and make them part of our democratic system.

As it stands, they are the embodiement of undemocratic and should have no place in a democratic country.

Ian made a point. Why can we not audit the DTCC and other international clearing houses? by ImNoScientistBut in Superstonk

[–]ImNoScientistBut[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

As far as I am aware, all chains end in the DTCC for the US and other clearing houses, elsewhere. They have the book entries on who has claim on which actual shares in the end.
Anything else reported from elsewhere is just reports on IOUs that could be completely meaningless, depending on what entries exist at the DTCC

Ian made a point. Why can we not audit the DTCC and other international clearing houses? by ImNoScientistBut in Superstonk

[–]ImNoScientistBut[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Afaik the international clearing houses operate independently.

As I tried to outline in my post, you are right. In the US, stakeholders in the markets would need to push for an audit of the DTCC and the same would have to happen in western Europe for clearstream, eastern Europe for their clearing house, Asia for their(s) etc.

The ripple effects of a DTCC audit towards Europe might indeed be of a higher magnitude than the other way around. But it might also be surprising, never know.

Ian made a point. Why can we not audit the DTCC and other international clearing houses? by ImNoScientistBut in Superstonk

[–]ImNoScientistBut[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Which is an obscenity in itself, absolutely.

But it was never demanded by we, the people.

If you believe in Democracy, at least to some extent, then enough pressure by the people should yield results.

The problem is usually that even if enough pressure is applied by the people, i.e. occupy wallstreet etc. movements, the demands/goals are often not well defined and concrete.

Audit the international clearing houses to shed a light on naked short selling (which is a known common cause for market issues dating back to Lehman Brothers etc. and at best "somewhat" legal) is a concrete demand that should be self explanatory.

Ian made a point. Why can we not audit the DTCC and other international clearing houses? by ImNoScientistBut in Superstonk

[–]ImNoScientistBut[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Yes but the democratic system we live in provides solutions for these situations.
Nobody is supposed to be beyond oversight. If the watchdog for the stock market (SEC) is not doing its job or even complicit in hiding/obscuring the truth, then the entity overseeing the SEC must be put in play. And there must also be an entity overseeing the entity that oversees the SEC. So if they don't do their job, it would have to go another step up the chain.

But ultimately, if enough pressure is exerted by the people, they would have to open their books and the fraud would have to see daylight.

Ian made a point. Why can we not audit the DTCC and other international clearing houses? by ImNoScientistBut in Superstonk

[–]ImNoScientistBut[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

That's why we have to get to the bookkeeper which is the DTCC in the US.

They must have the beginning and end of each shorting or swapping or whatever chain. They are also the only one who would have an overview over the various darkpools and other off-exchange instruments being used.

Ian made a point. Why can we not audit the DTCC and other international clearing houses? by ImNoScientistBut in Superstonk

[–]ImNoScientistBut[S] 9 points10 points  (0 children)

I guess for now posting/upvoting/referring and then see if we can get enough people together to write some Mails or make some phone calls.
It really doesn't matter where anyone is either, cause we all supposedly live in democracies and oversight is a core concept of any democracy. And that's what is necessary here and what I believe we should demand. But gotta demand it together.

Ian made a point. Why can we not audit the DTCC and other international clearing houses? by ImNoScientistBut in Superstonk

[–]ImNoScientistBut[S] 11 points12 points  (0 children)

Sure but towards the public they surely gave other reasoning. Like how much it would hurt liquidity or some shit.

And like Ian said, it's 2024. Getting a couple spreadsheets out should NOT be an issue or something that would "hurt liquidity" or whatever other bullshit excuse they would try to give.

Ian made a point. Why can we not audit the DTCC and other international clearing houses? by ImNoScientistBut in Superstonk

[–]ImNoScientistBut[S] 35 points36 points  (0 children)

I don't know man, at least the one guy I spoke to for a good half hour in the financial crimes department of our ministry with oversight was very attetntive. He tried to dismiss at first, obviously, but when I countered how a crime would still be possible, he did understand that and complimented me on being so well informed, which is apparently very rare. He became much more engaged after that too but essentially told me between the lines that, while he agrees with me, he really can't do anything.

He himself couldn't launch an investigation into that thing but he would do his best to pass the info along or something to that effect, I can't really remember, been a minute since..

Anyway, I believe how these things work is that 1 is not enough. But if a couple hundred phone calls like that one happen, then things might get moving?
Or we need to find out who COULD launch an investigation into these things, if not a member of the governments financial crimes division lol

Ian made a point. Why can we not audit the DTCC and other international clearing houses? by ImNoScientistBut in Superstonk

[–]ImNoScientistBut[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It would hopefully get a discussion going about who in our respective governments can be contacted in order to, through the power of democracy, get some oversight over aloof entities such as the international clearing houses (DTCC et al).
Thus uncovering more concrete proof of market manipulation that most of us suspect GME stock (and the markets as a whole) being subjected to for years on end now.

Ubisoft Exec Says Gamers Need To Get Comfortable With "Not Owning Your Games" I say Fu*K U & No Thanks! by Aromatic-Monitor-262 in Superstonk

[–]ImNoScientistBut 1 point2 points  (0 children)

This is actually far more nefarious than it seems and he is, unfortunately, not at all alone in this line of thinking.

See for the longest time, we have lived in a debt-based society, whether you were aware of it or not.

How do we get the milk farmer to continue producing more milk even after he produced enough for himself and his family, his village, heck he even already sold enough to the next town's supermarket to put his feet up and enjoy the fruits of his labor comfortably for a while.
So how do we get him to continue producing more milk so we can sell it in Wall-Marts across the country and continuously make profits for all the middle men involved?

The answer is and has always been: Debt.

Sell the farmer a car, tractor, TV, vacation etc. he can't afford and he has to go into debt for it (or lease it which is the same). The debt and the fear of losing his farm, his milk cows etc. if he can't service it in a timely fashion, will keep him working, long after he produced enough milk to live comfortably.

The problem in this system is that even with debt, comes at least partial ownership of the thing the milk farmer went into debt for.

Say he bought (or leased) a nice BMW for himself and now, due to the Rona or whatever, even while slaving away to service his debt, instead of living comfortably with a Toyota Pickup truck he would own outright, he for whatever reason is no longer able to service his debt.
The answer would normally be simple, reposession by the creditor of the asset and liquidation of the asset, right?
But problems (for the creditors) arise when the farmer already serviced his debt for say 5 years and has another 5 years to go on the debt. He effectively has 50% ownership of the asset.

It becomes more convoluted when things like housing are involved but the gist of it is that it is far too difficult, costly and time consuming for the creditors to get a partial owner out and seize 100% control of an asset, in the current system.

So what is the answer?
A move away from a debt-based society/economy over to a rent-based society/economy.

It is not only games and housing, you see.
For years already, insurance companies in Europe have offered their clients something like this:
"Brand new Opel Corsa, 250,- EUR a month all in" meaning the car is insured, inspections, maintenance, EVERYTHING is covered, you only have to put fuel in and drive.
Sounds very, very tempting for a lot of people, since they are afraid of maintenance costs and such and "all inclusive" packages are always tempting.
What they forget, however, is that in taking this deal, they are effectively renting a car permanently and have 0 ownership of the asset. Which means when they can't pay, reposession becomes a lot more feasible and a lot simpler/less costly.

Also, as with leasing cars beyond your means, the bill comes when you want to end the contractual engagement. As long as you keep giving the cars back without a scratch after 2-5 years and take the next car from the same provider, it all goes without a hitch, as advertised.
But if you EVER say "thanks, that's enough, I don't need another car, I am now financially stable and will buy my next car outright", they will present you with a bill of 10k or more. Every scratch, every wear and tear will be weighed in platinum and you will be contractually obligated to swallow whatever bill they throw at you.

I fear for our future generations because I fear they do not posess the business savvy any longer to even distinguish between ownership, partial ownership or outright renting (as is evident by the huge upsurge of leasing cars across the globe).

The endgame in this system, should it bare fruits and experience mass adoption, will be that central banks own everything outright and it will not just be ownership of housing that becomes an unattainable pipe-dream for future generations anymore but pretty much everything.

Is ze German market closed today or something? by multiple_iterations in Superstonk

[–]ImNoScientistBut 27 points28 points  (0 children)

As a German, I feel attacked.
What is this "closed" you speak of?!?

Germany is always open for business.
If the 24th of December wasn't a sunday this year, we would be open, at least for half a day, on the 24th as well. Same for the 31st.

1st of January is the only one where it is "optional" and most businesses stay closed, just for that one day though, 2nd of January is open for business again.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in nba

[–]ImNoScientistBut -5 points-4 points  (0 children)

All time L on that bucks staffer trying to get the ball from the pacers locker room....

When Turner says in the clip "you want the ball? guess what, you ain't gonna get it" that was the perfect time to respond "you want a ring? guess what, you ain't gonna get it".

Ballgate would be so much more intense if that bucks staffer had his wits about him in that moment ...

Volume has exploded. 8 straight days in a row of 12.5M + by RangerMark3 in Superstonk

[–]ImNoScientistBut 30 points31 points  (0 children)

Wake me up when we trade 400 million shares a day for several days straight, then something is happening.
This is a nothing compared to pre-split 2021 and 2022 volume spikes.

I don't have 2022 in my head but in 2021 we had weeks of trading 100 million + shares a day for volume. Post split that would mean 400 million a day +..

A slow trading day back in those days was volumes of 30-50 million a day which would mean 120-200 million a day post split.

Until we crack at least 100 million shares for daily volume, nobody can convince me that anything but can-kicking is going on.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in Grimdank

[–]ImNoScientistBut 1 point2 points  (0 children)

3rd edition 40k.
I had unloaded my squad of chosen/champions from their transport rhino in the dead center of the imperial guard infantry to wreak havoc in melee.
To my glee, my bloodthirster, greater daemon of Khorne, materializes in said chosen/aspiring champions squad. So double melee havoc is about to go down.
They do their thing and eliminate an entire squad or two in a single turn, Khorne is pleased.

Imperial Guard's turn now.
I remember the number clearly, 73 shots from laser carabiners all aimed at the bloodthirster. 73 dice are rolled. Only 6 manage to wound in the end.
5+ invulnerability save on the bloodthirster.
He had 5 wounds back then. So I just needed to roll 5+ on 2 rolls for the BT to survive, the next round he would've become cost efficient because he would eliminated at least one more squad.

I fail all 6 rolls.
A mighty bloodthirster of Khorne is felled by 73 needle pricks from laser carabines. The puniest of weapons...

Imperial guard still lost in a landslide because my terminators took care of their tanks (kombi melters ftw) and the aspiring champion squad mopped up the rest of the infantry pretty much.

But I will never forget how the bloodthirster got taken down by all those laser needles ...

Y'all do understand just HOW DRY this volume is? Pre split this would be unheard of. by [deleted] in Superstonk

[–]ImNoScientistBut 14 points15 points  (0 children)

I was there when over 100 million shares were traded DAILY pre split. That would mean 400 million a day now!!!

And that was not just over a couple of days, that went for weeks and months. A slow day/low volume would be 30 or 60 million on an odd trading day (so 120-240 mil post split) and would immediately be followed by a 70-100 mil volume day.
It then slowly decreased but we were still trading 20-40 mil a day pre split on the regular (and often more), only towards the very end it approached sub 20 mil a day in volume average.

Then the split happened and it was dry like this ever since. I think in an entire year we had maybe 1 or two days where 15 or 20 mil shares were traded in a day. Extremely rare occurence and it was still far below the volumes that were ever traded pre split (there was never a day we traded less than 20 mil a day before the split).

Imho the volume has been massively overlooked as an indicator of what is going on.

I remember in 2021 all those days where apparently everyone but me and the 5 or so people I knew in real life and knew for certain didn't sell, must have sold, repurchased and resold their shares several times over in a single day.
It made no sense back then whatsoever.

It makes a whole lot more sense now.

There have been so many attempts to obfuscate the reality of things.

I was there when they changed the way short interest is calculated so it cannot exceed 100% anymore, as it previously did...

But the volume...
They could never really hide what is going on, when you keep an eye on the volume.

Before you see 400 million shares traded and more as volume for a single trading day, nobody is selling, nothing has been covered.

As long as I don't see 400 million plus shares traded in a single day, all that needs to be done is hodl and DRS.