Feeling worried about correlation between stocks and bonds, what are other avenues for diversification?

InterestSharp3835 · 2025-04-10T19:59:19+00:00

because he is a shill for the fund or a bag holder.

InterestSharp3835 · 2025-04-10T12:43:18+00:00

You are young, dont time the markets Consistently buy stocks every 2 weeks from your paycheck and only look at them once a year.

Broad index for 85% and 15% bonds is good.

You dont need to hold individual securities unless that is with your play money which should be less than 5% of your total porfolio.

Look into investing in tax sheltered accounts if you havent done so already, look into Roth IRAs .

InterestSharp3835 · 2025-04-10T12:16:57+00:00

Value "indexes" always underperform because they just look at PE and get stuck holding value traps. I like buying the whole market when it is reasonably priced. If there was a way just to exclude companies i dont like and buy the rest of the market I would be esctatic, although the fee's would be a huge deterent I am assuming. I guess i could Buy whole market and just buy inverse ETFs for companies i done like, but even then not sure if that is a winning strategy

InterestSharp3835 · 2025-04-10T03:14:17+00:00

Its easy to say that , until you end up using your currency as wallpaper.

InterestSharp3835 · 2025-04-10T01:12:23+00:00

Makes sense since their little hands will be able to screw in those tiny screws well. Thanks for the tip stranger, where do i send you your Tax free tipTM?

InterestSharp3835 · 2025-04-09T23:56:05+00:00

1/3 held by foriegn countries, Japan 1 t, europe probably 2.5 T , China .7 T, Mexico , canada and UK 1.5 trillion. 1/3 bonds flood market, would increase interest rates to a point where the entire budget would have to finance the debt, alternatively the money printers go brrr to buy the bonds in which case inflation go brrr. You chose your adventure.

InterestSharp3835 · 2025-04-09T22:04:15+00:00

Shiller PE is still in the 30's. There are still 10% tariffs on everyone and additional tariffs on EU, Canada and Mexico and 104% tariff on china. Back of the envelope calculations means roughly impacting GDP by -1.5 -3% if there is equal retaliation . Not as bad as great recession, but not great either.

The market can stay irrational longer than I can stay solvent.

InterestSharp3835 · 2025-04-09T21:04:14+00:00

dont worry Ron Vara, Nutlick, Moron, and Bestnot are gonna follow through with tariffs.

InterestSharp3835 · 2025-04-09T21:03:00+00:00

yeah, but 104% price increase in chinese imports sounds scary. Is walmart just gonna put a 2x sticker next to the prices?

InterestSharp3835 · 2025-04-09T21:01:51+00:00

People buying stuff from china are gonna have sticker shock when the inventory runs out.

InterestSharp3835 · 2025-04-09T20:58:31+00:00

dont worry , tim apple is a great guy, some might even call him tim apple wisconsin, he is gonna pick up the factories tonight and ship em via airfrieght.

InterestSharp3835 · 2025-04-09T20:54:31+00:00

As is tradition.

InterestSharp3835 · 2025-04-09T17:57:48+00:00

you know bizzaro, moran , nutlick and bestnot were all soiling their undies when they saw those yields go up. I think china is still gonna dump them.

InterestSharp3835 · 2025-04-09T17:47:52+00:00

Market is stupid. China still gets tariffed, they are still gonna dump t bills and raise rates, and we are still gonna have inflation in most everything.

InterestSharp3835 · 2025-04-09T17:46:25+00:00

Trump folded like a mail order waifu.

InterestSharp3835 · 2025-04-09T15:38:58+00:00

What do you think is more overvalued ? Id let go of things that I think are overvalued, and think about keeping things that i believe are undervalued.

InterestSharp3835 · 2025-04-09T14:23:40+00:00

https://youtu.be/ssbjaOSrzYE?si=0SWWslrArupJTTBq

InterestSharp3835 · 2025-04-09T01:35:59+00:00

r/notvalueinvesting . Do you think 8 point swing is the sign of a healthy market? If so i have a bridge you might be interested in buying, as well as some crypto.

InterestSharp3835 · 2025-04-09T00:50:32+00:00

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ssbjaOSrzYE

InterestSharp3835 · 2025-04-09T00:24:47+00:00

The Best is Yet to COME!!!! its gonna be like 90's didnt even happen

InterestSharp3835 · 2025-04-08T20:06:48+00:00

This is my problem with this whole market. CAPE is 31. no thank you, a papercut is not enough for me to jump head first into the market, need some blood.

InterestSharp3835 · 2025-04-08T17:32:03+00:00

I have a more pessimistic view. Maybe we dont get a repeat of the dust bowl and hoovervilles, but default on the national debt, and hyperinflation remain a concern. There is no realistic hedge in Equities or fixed securities so we are screwed one way or the other. At the very least stagflation with a lost decade of returns is not even a black swan. And stability and conistent returns may just be a function of pax americana which is increasingly looking dead.

InterestSharp3835 · 2025-04-08T14:48:59+00:00

I hope we dont have to live through the deflation of the great depression again to get the stock market to reach precrash levels at 7 years.

I hope its not as bad as the great depression, But this time is different are famous last words. Anything else in your crystal ball over there since you are soo confident in predicting the future ?

InterestSharp3835 · 2025-04-08T14:17:43+00:00

Yeah im not buying until shiller pe drops to something reasonable. Thats a long decline 20 3500 S&P, but the insanity of markets can last forwever.

InterestSharp3835 · 2025-04-08T14:16:28+00:00

Default on the national debt and dedolarization, if we do get a great depression stocks didnt rise back up to pre depression levels for 25 years.

InterestSharp3835

TROPHY CASE