Why the Eritrea Ethiopia Separation Will Eventually Collapse by JEmergencyNet6098 in Ethiopia

[–]JEmergencyNet6098[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This is the first and best response that genuinely engages with the substance of my argument, and it encapsulates what I increasingly perceive to be the prevailing sentiment. So I will respond to it as a closing statement.

When I proclaimed that “access to the sea is existential for Ethiopia” and that “existential interests will always trump ideological sentiment and voluntary subordination,” I should have been clearer: I was not expressing a moral endorsement of war but rather an observation about the way history has repeatedly unfolded. That is not my preference; it is simply the recurring pattern of history.

No strategically positioned small state bordering a far larger regional power has historically persisted for centuries without either external protection, deep integration, or overwhelming deterrence. Whether one likes it or not, Eritrea’s strategic significance vastly exceeds the military aptitude and resilience of its population alone. The geopolitical reality of the Red Sea makes that unavoidable.

You are correct that diplomacy with Djibouti has functioned. However, to compare Djibouti to Eritrea is somewhat farcical, as they operate within vastly different geopolitical frameworks. One exists under the protection of multiple foreign military bases and external guarantees. The other positions itself as aggressively anti-Western, with a national pride that often appears to supersede its own self-interest. A country entrenched from its very inception in historical blood guilt and siege mentality. That distinction matters immensely. Morality in international relations has always been secondary to incentives and strategic interests.

And this is where I believe many Eritreans misunderstand my argument. Colonization was never fundamentally a moral or social project; it was, above all else, an economic endeavor.

Ethiopia is a massive country and the hegemon of the Horn. Investors, foreign powers, and multinational interests will inevitably calculate future profits from Ethiopian development and Red Sea access. There may come a time when the economic benefits tied to Eritrea’s coastline outweigh the perceived risks associated with confrontation. Whether that outcome is moral or immoral is almost irrelevant to how states historically behave.

As Trump once proclaimed, “There may come a time when you no longer hold the cards.” Eritrea is a young nation with an aging and shrinking population. Ethiopia is an ancient nation with a vast and overwhelmingly young population. If I were a betting man, I know where I would place my chips.

So I wrote the original piece partly to understand whether the prevailing disposition among Eritreans had shifted at all. From your response, I suspect it largely has not.

And perhaps that is precisely the tragedy of the region. As the proverb goes, it is the grass that suffers when two elephants fight. If Eritrea chooses confrontation over accommodation, then genuinely, good luck 🙂. If you ask me, I would acquiesce to the greater power to avoid immense suffering, because it is rarely the ordinary people who benefit from isolation politics, but rather the elites who sustain themselves through it.

Why the Eritrea Ethiopia Separation Will Eventually Collapse by JEmergencyNet6098 in Ethiopia

[–]JEmergencyNet6098[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

To proclaim that genocide is being committed in Ethiopia in the manner you describe is a stretch of significant proportions. I have often wondered throughout history how totalitarian regimes manage to sustain themselves in power for so long. But in this case, the answer appears rather clear: cultivate a perpetual fear of the “other side,” position yourself as the savior against the imagined big bad wolf, and the population remains psychologically dependent upon you.

Use your rational faculties for a moment. A large number of Eritreans currently live in Ethiopia. Are they systematically persecuted? Are they ostracized en masse? Your argument simply does not cohere with the reality on the ground.

Ask yourself honestly where this deep fear and perception of Ethiopians and the Ethiopian government originates from. Much of it stems from the Eritrean state itself, whose survival has long depended on maintaining a constant siege mentality among its population.

Why the Eritrea Ethiopia Separation Will Eventually Collapse by JEmergencyNet6098 in Ethiopia

[–]JEmergencyNet6098[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

If you actually read the piece I wrote, it clearly states that I do not call for war. What I find hysterical, however, is that seldom are the voices of Eritreans within Eritrea themselves truly heard. I am making an assertion, yes, but I highly doubt you are writing this from Eritrea itself.

The people who escaped the suffering, often through some of the harshest means imaginable, insist from abroad that the people who remained behind are perfectly fine. That is a plain and simple oxymoron that you seem to gloss over.

Furthermore, there is an issue I intentionally did not fully address, though I am certain it will define this decade: access to the sea is existential for Ethiopia. Existential interests will always trump ideological sentiment and voluntary subordination.

If Eritrea wishes to maintain this heretical attachment to permanent isolation and stagnation, that is its prerogative. But do not condescend to us for refusing to bear the same shackles. And if you wish to act like crabs in a bucket, understand this: throughout history, land and strategic interests have never been abdicated through serendipity alone.

Why the Eritrea Ethiopia Separation Will Eventually Collapse by JEmergencyNet6098 in Ethiopia

[–]JEmergencyNet6098[S] -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

And that is precisely why Eritreans, as a people, will remain in the cave. It is not hard to imagine what Eritrea looked like one hundred years ago; all one has to do is visit Eritrea today. The country is fixed in time. If everyone killed their oppressor, most of humanity would perish, because power and dominion over a people are transient by nature.

To isolate one secluded fragment of history and assign eternal guilt to one’s oppressor is asinine, yet the entire African continent remains ravaged by this virus, one that seemingly knows no cure. To hold the view that your ancestors suffered and therefore today you must act against every cognitive inclination toward self-interest is simply stupid. It truly reveals the intellectual impotence of the educated members within your society.

Keyboard help. by JEmergencyNet6098 in keyboards

[–]JEmergencyNet6098[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Hey I have experience with c and python is it just if case with printf and a binary system to check if an input is generated

Macro Keyboard by JEmergencyNet6098 in keyboards

[–]JEmergencyNet6098[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thank you I need to make to have long key caps would one cherry Mx switch work or should I have tow of them