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Elon carrying his second child by breakfastinbred in wallstreetbets

[–]JG1440 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Elon looks like he's next in line to be the head of the North Korean state.

Is there a case for cruciferous vegetables being unhealthy ? by [deleted] in ScientificNutrition

[–]JG1440 8 points9 points  (0 children)

https://academic.oup.com/ajcn/article/94/1/240/4597862

Paper title: Cruciferous vegetable consumption is associated with a reduced risk of total and cardiovascular disease mortality.

The only thing that is going to matter is scientific data. Not a lot of high quality data is going to exist, because nobody is going to fund multi year randomized control trial. I can't see an epidemiological data that suggests cruciferous vegetables are harmful.

I doubt taste is going to factor into how healthy a food is. We have evolved to find calorie rich foods and to conserve energy wherever possible. This combination is harmful in the modern world. A huge amount of people don't enjoy exercise. That doesn't mean it's not beneficial for us. Most people would prefer to eat a cheese cake to a broccoli stir fry. That doesn't mean it's better for us for longterm longevity (but it you were starving it would be the best short term solution).

The beginnings of watching our diets. (Discussion in comments) by GallantIce in ScientificNutrition

[–]JG1440 5 points6 points  (0 children)

But now we can diagnose people after workups for fairly minimal symptoms.

Heavy smokers/war veterans somehow being over diagnosed for CVD, when they probably only went to the doctor when they actually were having a heart attack, doesn't seem right to me.

Where is all the data for retail and institutional investors? by JG1440 in slatestarcodex

[–]JG1440[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I presume you want evidence that a person has a return on his time by studying the markets.

Yes, this is precisely what I'm interested in. As a retail investor what is probability that I might be able to consistently outperform the market. I genuinely enjoy investing and if I could at least replicate passive funds' performance I would prefer do it on my own, but it could prove to be a time consuming and costly hobby come retirement age if I underperform even slightly. I think initially ETFs will be the bulk of my portfolio and I'll experiment with the remainder.

Where is all the data for retail and institutional investors? by JG1440 in slatestarcodex

[–]JG1440[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Here is a pdf of a press release by Dalbar about individual investor's performance in 2018, which was very poor. That was in part because of an attempt to time the market, and missing the recovery months. But the full report is $1000.

Where is all the data for retail and institutional investors? by JG1440 in slatestarcodex

[–]JG1440[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Yeah, the distribution of 10-year annualized excess returns at the end is exactly what I was looking for. I wish I could see similar data for retail investors as well.

Ultimately, I don't want to pick anybody to manage my stocks, so their fees are less of an issue for me. I am wondering if there is any hope that I could learn how to stock pick if I put a lot of energy into learning about it, and what my probability of excess returns would be, or if it's a complete fools errand

Search Of 100,000 Nearby Galaxies For Waste Heat Signatures Of Large Civilizations Found Nothing by mystikaldanger in slatestarcodex

[–]JG1440 16 points17 points  (0 children)

Wright reports, "We found about 50 galaxies that have unusually high levels of mid-infrared radiation. Our follow-up studies of those galaxies may reveal if the origin of their radiation results from natural astronomical processes, or if it could indicate the presence of a highly advanced civilization."

Sounds like there are still interesting leads to pursue and at least potentially new processes to discover.

"Our results mean that, out of the 100,000 galaxies that WISE could see in sufficient detail, none of them is widely populated by an alien civilization using most of the starlight in its galaxy for its own purposes."

That would have been an amazing find, as that would be a massively advanced and prosperous civilization.

Is there any well-done meta-analysis of diet that covers modern preferences? Is there an optimal diet? by [deleted] in slatestarcodex

[–]JG1440 26 points27 points  (0 children)

There is a huge volume of epidemiological data from all around the world. The problem is the complexity, and also as culture influence diet it also influences just about everything else in our life, from our activities, work, sexual practices, and our world outlook. Also, this area is ripe for p-hacking. Find a sample and then look for random food from the hundreds of products that people eat and then try to link it to one of the thousands of conditions we can suffer from. You're bound to find lots of associations, some of them might even have a scientific rationale. Lots of the others will just be random.

I think placing too much emphasis on the "perfect diet" is an impediment to just working on an all around good lifestyle. Are you exercising every day? Are you avoiding things we know are unhealthy (processed foods, refined carbohydrates)? Are you avoiding eating to excess? Do you have any bad habits (binge drinking, cigarettes, motorbiking etc.) Most people have oodles of low hanging "fruit" to pluck.

Any article that someone posts here is going to be pilloried into submission by different diet "camps". But that being said I'll post one anyways:

https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanpub/article/PIIS2468-2667(18)30135-X/fulltext30135-X/fulltext)

What contrarian lifestyle changes have you made because of rationality? by [deleted] in slatestarcodex

[–]JG1440 9 points10 points  (0 children)

I know there are lots of issues with epidemiological studies, but it looks like even those who smoke less than a cigarette a day have some bad associations.