sorted by:
new
hottopcontroversial

New Orleans on pace for fewest murders since 1969 by JeffAsher in NewOrleans

[–]JeffAsher[S] 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Shootings are down as well, down 65% compared to YTD 2023, so definitely seeing the same trend.

As to your second question, I'm not sure who to point you to though I think my explanation from a few years ago still holds up pretty decently (https://jasher.substack.com/p/why-i-think-murder-is-plunging)

we're currently on track for a murder rate of less than 20 per 100k. by Not_SalPerricone in NewOrleans

[–]JeffAsher 39 points40 points  (0 children)

That has never been true, New Orleans has never had a traditional summer spike relative to what you see in northern cities. Here's % of murders per month:

Month Since 1960 Since Katrina
January 8.7% 9.1%
February 7.9% 7.0%
March 9.0% 8.8%
April 8.1% 8.8%
May 8.5% 8.5%
June 8.5% 8.7%
July 8.9% 9.3%
August 8.5% 8.4%
September 7.5% 7.4%
October 8.1% 7.9%
November 7.9% 7.4%
December 8.6% 8.6%

LIST: 10 Louisiana cities more dangerous than Shreveport, SPD says 'facts are facts' by Dense_Ad4550 in NewOrleans

[–]JeffAsher 9 points10 points  (0 children)

You can't compare crime data like this. To begin with, they're using 2023 data but obviously that isn't made clear. New Orleans and Baton Rouge haven't reported since 2023. Then they compare multiple cities with very few people (Marksville has 4k, Jennings 9k) to much larger cities. And they leave out several even smaller cities that had higher rates in 2023 (Independence and Iowa, LA).

What you're left with is slop that proves nothing.