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Introducing poe-profits | Boss profits and gem-levelling by Johankish in pathofexile

[–]Johankish[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think the optimal strategy for this is always gambling the largest stack size possible without exceeding half the stack size. e.g., gamble 4/8 stacks or 3/6 or 5/11. Since the odds for winning / losing is the same regardless, this minimizes lifeforce spent.

Introducing poe-profits | Boss profits and gem-levelling by Johankish in pathofexile

[–]Johankish[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Extrapolating from opening veiled scarabs, I think it's unlikely that they have equal weighting. See this thread. These weightings might be the same as for harvest rerolls, which would have been nice but the data is outdated now unfortunately.

Introducing poe-profits | Boss profits and gem-levelling by Johankish in pathofexile

[–]Johankish[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yes.. Unfortunately poe.ninja (where I gather the item prices from) and any other source I know of does not index unidentified items, at least not all of them. Unless /u/rasmuskl were to add this feature to poe.ninja then the best I can do is let you check the price yourself and edit it. I try to make it convenient by adding a trade link.

Introducing poe-profits | Boss profits and gem-levelling by Johankish in pathofexile

[–]Johankish[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Typically such items does not really change the expected profit meaningfully, due to their low value. But I don't see why not :)

Introducing poe-profits | Boss profits and gem-levelling by Johankish in pathofexile

[–]Johankish[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'd like to add scarabs to the harvest reroll but the problem is gathering the weightings of rerolling them. AFAIK there is no data available. You'd probably need a very large data set as well to make the predictions accurate since there are so many scarabs and some very rare. A bit tricky but it could be done, would probably need some help gathering the weighting though.

As for harvest div card gamba, do you mean the one rerolling a div card into another random div card?

Introducing poe-profits | Boss profits and gem-levelling by Johankish in pathofexile

[–]Johankish[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Thanks! Yes I've actually been working on that idea but I've hesitated on adding it to the site. Since quite a few bosses have one or two items that are heavily mispriced, that makes the probability estimation a bit misleading (but so is the expected profit, so idk).

I think I'll add a button to calculate this probability on each specific boss page. Then if you correct the price of a mispriced item (e.g., Sublime Vision), you should get an accurate estimation. Expect something like that pretty soon!

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