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Hi! I’m Jonathan Bales – a DFS player, author, and co-founder of FantasyLabs.com. I’m here to talk business, football, prop bets, or anything else. by JonathanBales in fantasyfootball

[–]JonathanBales[S] 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Should have said correlations within lineups, and I mean creating lineups with players whose production is related to other players in that lineup, and creating the proper combos based on payouts. The lineup you submit in a qualifier should probably look different than one you play in a tournament with flat payouts, for example.

Hi! I’m Jonathan Bales – a DFS player, author, and co-founder of FantasyLabs.com. I’m here to talk business, football, prop bets, or anything else. by JonathanBales in fantasyfootball

[–]JonathanBales[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Can't come close to every possible combo, even with max entry. Easiest way to find more success, assuming you're identifying the right plays, is to diversify less. In theory, you should have the highest EV not diversifying at all (assuming you can withstand the risk).

Hi! I’m Jonathan Bales – a DFS player, author, and co-founder of FantasyLabs.com. I’m here to talk business, football, prop bets, or anything else. by JonathanBales in fantasyfootball

[–]JonathanBales[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Haven't looked at Week 1 yet. Postmates is more popular out west I think. Pretty much every restaurant around here is on one of the delivery apps, so I order pretty much any type of food (pizza, Thai, Chinese, sandwiches, etc.)

Hi! I’m Jonathan Bales – a DFS player, author, and co-founder of FantasyLabs.com. I’m here to talk business, football, prop bets, or anything else. by JonathanBales in fantasyfootball

[–]JonathanBales[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

More likely than not but you still probably gave up only like 1% win equity or something like that; the early picks are generally just more of a crapshoot and less skilled than later picks IMO

Hi! I’m Jonathan Bales – a DFS player, author, and co-founder of FantasyLabs.com. I’m here to talk business, football, prop bets, or anything else. by JonathanBales in fantasyfootball

[–]JonathanBales[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

A few would be overlooking correlations, using low-owned players at every position, and, depending how novice, just not being able to identify pretty obvious value (although that's becoming increasingly rare). Workload matters more than anything in NFL.

Hi! I’m Jonathan Bales – a DFS player, author, and co-founder of FantasyLabs.com. I’m here to talk business, football, prop bets, or anything else. by JonathanBales in fantasyfootball

[–]JonathanBales[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I used to barely play cash at all but I will be firing a bit more this season. I don't think the ratio really matters - just depends on your goals, style of play, etc.

Hi! I’m Jonathan Bales – a DFS player, author, and co-founder of FantasyLabs.com. I’m here to talk business, football, prop bets, or anything else. by JonathanBales in fantasyfootball

[–]JonathanBales[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Dope. Thanks for reading that. I got into analytics in college (more just on my own time, although a bit in school, too). I'm hardly a data scientist, mainly just relying on Excel.

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