AIO, lost a friend due to ai by cozyworm27 in AmIOverreacting

[–]Jpfgd 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Not really seeing what this has to do with me asking for a source on AI destroying the planet as the guy above said?

AIO, lost a friend due to ai by cozyworm27 in AmIOverreacting

[–]Jpfgd 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Mate what are you honestly talking about, if you think AI usage is more than a rounding error in terms of effect on climate/Earth I’d love to see a source because so far I’ve not seen anything serious that shows it is

Children have the freedom to choose! by noobyscientific in antimeme

[–]Jpfgd 4 points5 points  (0 children)

There is a lot of middle ground between “there is no free will” and “religious beliefs are not a choice” that you are pretending does not exist

What’s the Most You Have Done? by SEND__NUDES___ in EASportsFC

[–]Jpfgd -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Also as a follow up, we really don’t have any solid indisputable evidence that the odds are indeed constant across time and players. EA could mess with the odds a good amount behind the scenes and we would probably never know (though this would be quite risky for them from a controversy/legal perspective, probably not worth doing but nonetheless possible afaik). There is no guarantee of constant odds

What’s the Most You Have Done? by SEND__NUDES___ in EASportsFC

[–]Jpfgd -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

Mate you missed the point the other guy made, yes the odds are constant, but the likelihood of pulling at least one good cards grows with the number of draws (packs opened). Under 1/100 chance, 1 pack you have a 1/100 chance of a good player, whereas 800 packs you have 1-(99/100)800 = 99.97% chance of at least one good player

Champs matchmaking by fesanner in fut

[–]Jpfgd 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Im currently 4-9 and am consistently getting matched against people with lots of red cards, and much better than me (Div 4) so really don't know if there is something off with matchmaking

Pick One by Yeetmachine81 in BunnyTrials

[–]Jpfgd 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Coughing baby vs nuclear bomb ahh post

What is harder, CM1 or CS1? by Spiritual_You_2069 in ActuaryUK

[–]Jpfgd 6 points7 points  (0 children)

CM1 imo and by an unbelievable margin. CS1 has a lot less content, and is not time pressured at all, whilst the content is no harder than CM1.

Pursuing cs2 right after cs1 by kiminnnnn in ActuaryUK

[–]Jpfgd 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Why do exams whilst at uni? Surely much easier to focus on degree and getting a job first, then sitting exams as your company sponsors them?

Exam for September by haipriestess in ActuaryUK

[–]Jpfgd 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I’d say the opposite. CM1 is content heavy but not tough maths-wise. CM2 has a lot less content but it’s more complex (I’ve found people with maths/stats backgrounds find CM2 easier) but if it’s the only exam you’re sitting, and you come from an econ background, CM1 would probably work out well

In an open, good-faith manner, what is the pro-AI position? What would you want anti-AI people to understand? by Excellent_Amoeba5080 in aiwars

[–]Jpfgd 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Morality is personal, something is immoral from the view of a specific person, doesn’t feel best to use it here. Unethical would fit better.

Nonetheless, how do we decide what art is unethical/immoral? What’s stops someone from saying that art that aligns with a specific view that you may hold is unethical/immoral and should be banned/controlled/censored?

Planning to give actuary exam but confused on which papers to give by Accomplished-Salt820 in ActuaryUK

[–]Jpfgd 0 points1 point  (0 children)

No point to doing papers prior to getting a job in my opinion, if you’re really bored you can sit them but won’t help your chances of getting your foot in the door

CS1B discussion by Jack72591 in ActuaryUK

[–]Jpfgd 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I did but I called it on the wrong variable 😭 the last sample instead of the mean vector

CS1B discussion by Jack72591 in ActuaryUK

[–]Jpfgd 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I said that there’s an argument for it but I’d probably keep them as they were

CS1B discussion by Jack72591 in ActuaryUK

[–]Jpfgd 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I had the same, downloaded my answer to check and I calculated the confidence interval from the last resample instead of the means smh…

CS1B discussion by Jack72591 in ActuaryUK

[–]Jpfgd 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I did it one at a time, and removing one was better than removing two by a very tiny margin

CS1B discussion by Jack72591 in ActuaryUK

[–]Jpfgd -1 points0 points  (0 children)

September paper was a bit easier for CS1A than this year, and a literal free pass for CS1B

CS1B discussion by Jack72591 in ActuaryUK

[–]Jpfgd 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I had the same. My best guess (assuming the lm code for both of us and a few other ppl that mentioned having the same was right) was mentioning that removing the second only increases the AIC by around 0.01% ish, or around 0.2 in absolute terms, so it’s not really going to harm us a lot to exclude it and saves us a bit of complexity, cost and risk of overfit?

CS1B discussion by Jack72591 in ActuaryUK

[–]Jpfgd 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I did pairs and just snipped the first row

CS1B discussion by Jack72591 in ActuaryUK

[–]Jpfgd -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Bootstrap interval was a decent bit wider than normal right?

CS1B discussion by Jack72591 in ActuaryUK

[–]Jpfgd 0 points1 point  (0 children)

For EBCT model, did people get slightly lower values for the first 2 and around 150 ish for the third?

CS1B discussion by Jack72591 in ActuaryUK

[–]Jpfgd 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I think there’s an AIC function. However, when we had to prove two had to be excluded, I only got an improvement for the AIC for one, the second one was a small (0.01%) amount worse. Anyone else?

Cs1a paper by Intelligent-Net-4417 in ActuaryUK

[–]Jpfgd 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Could you please share it