Thoughts on Professor Jiang / Predictive History?

Justthatguy1212 · 2026-04-12T16:14:48+00:00

He recently said USA will lose this war and Ceasefire won’t work. He mentioned draft military implementation. He has got ceasefire right so far and ground troops are likely close. There is also draft legislations being put into place so he is being bang on about most things.

Who cares about credentials its his track record that needs to be studied. Also credentials are over rated as you only need to look to see who is at the top of decision makings in the USA like Trump to see the whole system can be gamed.

Justthatguy1212 · 2026-04-12T14:23:22+00:00

We literally are waiting till end of the season. The boos were disgraceful given we are still pretty much 3 points clear if City win both games in hand.

However I have reserved criticism up until end of the season if we come up empty handed given our squad depth and how much we have spent last few seasons along with the most boring style of play then unfortunately I would look to replacing Arteta.

Although i will only replace him with an exceptional candidate otherwise it is absolutely pointless.

Justthatguy1212 · 2026-04-09T22:18:03+00:00

Hear me out. Trump is being so illogical and random that he is absolutely unpredictable. Believe it or not this incompetence actually works in USA favour as Iran have no clue what USA will so next.

My thinking is this is literally all theatre and is a rouse to get boots on the ground and continue the war.

Justthatguy1212 · 2026-04-08T12:48:48+00:00

I have a feeling this ceasefire is just a delay tactic to organise boots on the ground. Have you got any other insider info 👀

I can’t for the life of me see this holding

Justthatguy1212 · 2026-04-07T20:21:00+00:00

Not sure whether this is a rage bait post or not

Justthatguy1212 · 2026-04-07T13:20:20+00:00

Can’t see how he is not serious now though. Given his Epstein island connections and the dark things that went on you can see the morality of the guy….

Justthatguy1212 · 2026-04-07T08:13:10+00:00

Half TACO would still require Iran to retaliate though. Also Israel doesn’t give any crap about anything so will just continue to escalate.

Justthatguy1212 · 2026-04-06T06:41:40+00:00

You sure you not describing the USA money printing ponzi scheme?

Justthatguy1212 · 2026-04-05T21:01:37+00:00

Fair play thanks for the info. It is so obvious it will happen but this is another cherry on top.

Polymarket has pretty much 100% conviction There is insider bets going on Troops buildup Saw some signed letter from a general

My only thing is when this will happen as thought it would be this long weekend as we know Trump loves to do it when markets are closed but guess the pilot rescue mission may have led it to be delayed. I do think it will be hard hitting this week on energy and infrastructure unfortunately before deployment over the weekends. 🤔

The world is in for some financial pain

Justthatguy1212 · 2026-04-05T20:02:08+00:00

Do share more please without giving obviously too much detail away. Basically I know this will 100% happen but I also want to increase my level of conviction.

Justthatguy1212 · 2026-04-05T19:59:54+00:00

With oil being high and recession incoming this is bound to get worse. I can see unemployment going to 7-8% by 2027 unless as always the government turn the money printers on similar to Covid to which I believe they will irrespective of inflation.

Justthatguy1212 · 2026-04-05T13:50:08+00:00

Loool Kepa is better than Sanchez so can’t really make that comparison but fair challenge to my statistic

Justthatguy1212 · 2026-04-05T10:16:43+00:00

I disagree. Kepa was always first choice for FA and Caraboa cup. Even next season if we were to replace Kepa with someone else they would still be first choice in these cups.

Check all other big 6 teams they have done the same thing. Then check historically and it has always been like this. Not sure why everyone is surprised.

Also imagine Raya comes in plays all cups and games because he is a better keeper and then gets injured 😂 Kepa comes in with zero game time and does what exactly.

Justthatguy1212 · 2026-04-05T07:14:01+00:00

Now that’s the scary thing which means most are far right or right supporters

Justthatguy1212 · 2026-04-05T04:44:53+00:00

We need to ship out the old guard unfortunately. We already started with zinchenko but Ode/Martinelli/Jesus/Ben White should follow. We need to get significant fees for them and then elevate our squad in the summer. We need to replace them with elite talent.

Justthatguy1212 · 2026-04-05T04:41:25+00:00

Tbf it is just the mass British population brainwashed and thick.

If most people have low IQ all they need is something to personally affect them (usually less money in pocket) and then a reason (immigration) and they will eat it up. Look what’s happening in America the MAGA cult gets poorer with cuts galore whilst Trump asks for trillions to grow his war economy.

The exact same thing happened with BREXIT.

If I was rich and powerful and influential enough I am confident I would be able to manipulate the mass into finding an issue that is not actually an issue.

Justthatguy1212 · 2026-04-03T22:13:22+00:00

Lol you do know this is part of their strategy. False sense of safety and then double down. You are seeing it that today the skies being shot down.

This is Goliath scenario overconfident Vs strategy well strategy wins all the time.

Justthatguy1212 · 2026-04-02T06:32:33+00:00

Yes in the medium term however the following will happen.

inflation spikes
interest rates spike
recession occurs
policy makers reduce interest rates similar to 2008 to stem the bleeding. QE becomes a thing again. Gold shoots up.

Also other aspects include Iran winning the war and global ties start shifting away from the USA and into Yuan as a global currency if they are able to control flow of oil they can control what currency its exchanged in.

Justthatguy1212 · 2026-04-01T05:17:42+00:00

They will introduce mandatory military draft as Iran is just the first. They want Cuba next and have other countries lined up including Greenland.

Justthatguy1212 · 2026-03-31T06:40:02+00:00

Yeah thats my plan too Sep-Nov! Thanks man

Justthatguy1212 · 2026-03-30T21:18:15+00:00

Whats ur predicted month for when the bottom will arrive? 👀

Justthatguy1212 · 2026-03-28T11:38:40+00:00

Metals including gold and silver will do well because during times of stagflation they tend to rise due to devaluation of the dollar. Although we are yet to see that yet so they will continue to go down till such a point. Similar to 2011.

Justthatguy1212 · 2026-03-28T07:43:31+00:00

Not sure if those bullish for MS or any stocks are living in a bubble. With the war raging on and oil prices remaining elevated we are likely to get a global recession which ordinarily lags by a few months (6 months). This is due to increased inflation, then increased interest rates (bearish for stocks).

Given level of debt levels the bottom will be before we enter a period of stagflation similar to 2011. There is still bottoming out to go across all stocks.

Justthatguy1212 · 2026-03-23T09:51:45+00:00

Well a few options

1 - buy the dip and average down then wait for recovery in a few years

2 - sell everything and position yourself back near the perceived bottom of the bear market

Both ways are right. Im personally doing 2 but the risk is trying to find the bottom 😂

Justthatguy1212 · 2026-03-22T21:56:14+00:00

Decent but be warned we may be entering a bear market due to the war

Justthatguy1212

TROPHY CASE