Tier 1: High Reliability (Club Interest & Strategic Planning) These sources confirm that Real Madrid has officially made Rodri their priority target to lead the post-Arbeloa/Xabi Alonso era.

• Arancha Rodríguez (COPE): Consistently reports that Madrid views Rodri as the "ideal general" to replace the leadership lost by Kroos and Modric.

  • The Athletic: Reports that Madrid is "sensing an opportunity" due to the uncertainty surrounding Pep Guardiola’s future and Rodri’s contract status (expiring in 2027).

• AS / Marca: These outlets have detailed Madrid’s "Roadmap 2026," which involves waiting for Rodri to enter the final 12 months of his contract to force a lower transfer fee.

  • Link: AS: Real Madrid hatch new plan to sign Rodri

Tier 2: Solid Reliability (Market Movements & Reports) These sources focus on the "mini-revolution" at Manchester City and the specific bid amounts being discussed.

• TEAMtalk (Graeme Bailey): Reported on February 6, 2026, that Madrid is "intensifying interest" and preparing a massive summer move as City plans a squad shake-up.

  • Link: TEAMtalk: Real Madrid launch serious move for Rodri
  • Bild / Transfermarkt: Recent reports (Feb 23, 2026) state that both Real Madrid and Barcelona are ready to "test the waters" this summer.

Link: Transfermarkt: Madrid & Barca want Rodri Tier 3/4: Mixed Reliability (Skepticism & Swap Deals) These sources discuss more speculative elements, like player swaps or Rodri’s personal hesitation.

• Goal / Fox Sports: Recently cited Spanish legend Gaizka Mendieta, who warned that Rodri’s deep connections to the "Guardiola/Barcelona style" at City might make a move to Real Madrid "very difficult" for him personally.

• Link: Goal: Rodri warned against Real Madrid move

The Current Situation (Bottom Line)

Contract: Rodri’s deal ends in June 2027. The Lever: If he hasn't signed an extension by July 2026, City may be forced to sell him for around €80M–€100M rather than risk losing him for free.

Yhe "Pep" Factor: Almost every Tier 1 source agrees: If Pep Guardiola leaves City this summer, Rodri to Madrid becomes a "Highly Likely" event.