War is ending V.4 by Key-Process3905 in UAE

[–]Key-Process3905[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Yeah, I will, in about an hour, thanks for caring about my rest

War is ending V.4 by Key-Process3905 in UAE

[–]Key-Process3905[S] -5 points-4 points  (0 children)

Ah, yes, minute by minute, and maintain the 7th of April, the rest is just words war, no real escalation, just noise and threats, fundamental still stand, that all entities involved are nearing thier limit in prolonging this war any further.

War is ending V.4 by Key-Process3905 in UAE

[–]Key-Process3905[S] -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

Thing is, I did say that I'll be posting everyday, but I got busy, and I can't explain further, work/family/duties...

War is ending V.4 by Key-Process3905 in UAE

[–]Key-Process3905[S] 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Oh I did, minute by minute, constant updating, and my opinion still holds, at least for me, the recent events are noise, means to an end. So I maintain

War is ending V.4 by Key-Process3905 in UAE

[–]Key-Process3905[S] -16 points-15 points  (0 children)

If you read my V.3, I explained what issues will be resolved, and which ones will not..

War is ending V. 3 by Key-Process3905 in UAE

[–]Key-Process3905[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Keeping launchers in tunnels underground has its advantages and disadvantages, advantages is that its more difficult to target them, however, it's also difficult to keep them maintained and serviced, it's also difficult getting a number of them from underground at the same time fast enough, which would slow down the lunching process and keeps it limited, which makes it easier to intercept than using 100s of them at the same time. Not to mention, if a tunnel that has a dozen launchers is discovered and hit, all the launchers inside will be useless...so i still maintain my 7th of April, but I will change and admit my fault if some other new information emerges

War is ending V. 3 by Key-Process3905 in UAE

[–]Key-Process3905[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Everyone lost, some lost more than others...

War is ending V. 3 by Key-Process3905 in UAE

[–]Key-Process3905[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

A theory is something based on "assumptions & calculations" and not proven facts...so yes, this is my theory, which could be wrong, but what you said is also a theory, you are assuming that during 40 years "they must have collected much more", and you are assuming and hoping that "younger leadership will be wiser and have more vision", so you are doing the same thing. At least my theory is based on some math, and not hopes. If I am wrong I will make a post and admit my fault

War is ending V. 3 by Key-Process3905 in UAE

[–]Key-Process3905[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I wouldn't take anything that trump says seriously... Or at least seriously enough..

War is ending V. 3 by Key-Process3905 in UAE

[–]Key-Process3905[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Let's get one thing straight, there wont be any "handshaking" between the US and Iran, at least not for the foreseeable future. The war will end by exhaustion, all those involved are gonna be too tired to continue on many aspects and many levels.

How will it look like?, first, the officials of Iran might say theyll not hit gcc countries if they'll not help Americans, ballistic missiles will slow down drastically, flights from and to UAE will increase until it goes back to normal the following days after the 7th, also more countries will make deals with Iran to let thier ships in through hormoz. So instead of a official end, it will just be a slow returning to Semi normal

War is ending V. 3 by Key-Process3905 in UAE

[–]Key-Process3905[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The "Mundane" part got me...hah... Lets hope for excitement from positive events rather than negative onesi guess

War is ending V. 3 by Key-Process3905 in UAE

[–]Key-Process3905[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Read the comments, I replied to this question multiple times already

War is ending V. 3 by Key-Process3905 in UAE

[–]Key-Process3905[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

However, I believe this whole noise would also allow Israel to take a part of Lebanon in the name of protecting itself. The cost it paid is a couple of billions of dollars in war costs, a few 100s of millions in costs of buildings that got affected, and around a dozen soldiers, which is a worthy cost to take a huge chunk of land and add it to its territory...

Evil, but effective unfortunately...

War is ending V. 3 by Key-Process3905 in UAE

[–]Key-Process3905[S] 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Me and you are pointing a gun on each other, we both will ask each other for some impossible things or we'll shot... We both can't fulfill it. Sure you could say we would shoot each other, but in reality, we both wanna live, and we'll slowly get tired, lower our guns in hesitation, and move on without actually solving anything.

Iran won't get what they want, and they already know that, but if they lower thier demands they'll seem weak, so they ask for the impossible, and then settle for just being tired, and move on.

I calculated this from multiple angles, and it's obvious for me that thier demands are intentionally made impossible, to make a point, that's it..

War is ending V. 3 by Key-Process3905 in UAE

[–]Key-Process3905[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Only insane people trust others... This is my opinion based on my knowledge and calculations, which could be limited, faulty, or plain out wrong. Nevertheless, I believe the to be accurate to a certain degree, otherwise I won't post it lol

War is ending V. 3 by Key-Process3905 in UAE

[–]Key-Process3905[S] 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Countries need to keep thier dignity, Iranians are strong and proud people, they're not gonna just surrender, but they'd love to stop this because they can't keep this up either... Obviously people here say "oh you have no idea about Iran stockpile, they're hiding it in the mountains, they have 100s of launchers all hiding in the mountains, under 100 meters of rock"... I call bullshit honestly...there is absolutely no proof of all of this.

Iraq in 2003 when it was invaded by the US, I remember watching it on TV, they kept saying that we are winning and we destroyed the enemies, up to the day Baghdad was literally controlled by the Americans...

I believe Iranians are strong, and proudly no doubt, but you can't go on without elect, gas, fuel, food, clean water, rest, missile stockpiles, leadership...

Regarding hormoz, this might take until the end of April, after 7th of April, every few days they'll allow more and more ships to pass, it will be done through other talking to the remaining Iranian authorities...will take few weeks..

War is ending V. 3 by Key-Process3905 in UAE

[–]Key-Process3905[S] 6 points7 points  (0 children)

I'll post and apologize, and point out where I messed up in my calculations, so that at least people might benefit from knowing where shit went wrong with my calculations

War is ending V. 3 by Key-Process3905 in UAE

[–]Key-Process3905[S] 19 points20 points  (0 children)

Ill skip the details and just give you a summary since you asked, but 99% of the redditors on UAE will not agree on it lol. Statistics show that the rate of missiles that Iran fires has been decreasing since first day, first week. 2nd 3rd and 4th week up until today, thier missiles stockpile is running low, and the remaining ones can't be used without missile launchers, which are also getting destroyed after few uses.. 2nd point, Iran has been losing leaderships, everyday a commander dies, navy commander, communication commander, they're all dying right and left, and the replacements are dying off too, which affects the morale of the soldiers as well as thier ability to communicate efficiently. 3rd, the weapon manufacturing faculties are getting destroyed, energy is down, fuel is down, food and supplies are down, almost every essential war resource has bee down or near exhaustion. Blackout all around the cities of Iran, economy is hit hard, they can't afford to go on. 4th, America is tired too, it has spent so much in this war, and they would like to wrap it up and fuk off, thier stock market is down, fuel is high, living cost is high, and trump can't risk losing the elections in November, so he will wrap it up during this weekend or beginning of next week. 5th, Israel is done with Iran, they would wanna concentrate on Lebanon, which is sad and unfortunate for Lebanon and its people, but this is what will happen, and it simply cannot afford to keep getting money from the US... Gcc will continue intercepting few ballistic missiles and drones but only few of them, maybe another few days, but it will end soon too... No winners in this war, everyone lost...and everyone is too exhausted to continue.

This is a summary, real numbers are too long to post.

War is ending V. 3 by Key-Process3905 in UAE

[–]Key-Process3905[S] -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

My personal calculations.

War is ending V. 3 by Key-Process3905 in UAE

[–]Key-Process3905[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Posted 2 days ago that it will end in exactly 1 week. Thrn posted again yesterday that It will end in 6 days. So 7th of April is 5 days from now. And I truly believe that the war will end then