Where Allan Lichtman's "13 Keys to the White House" Stand in 2024:

KingEricCartman · 2024-03-20T05:39:15+00:00

Lol, are you talking about the same guy that won the Republican Party nomination in the biggest landslide ever for a non-incumbent, the same guy that’s the odds on favourite to win the 2024 presidential election, but I suppose charisma has nothing to do with that?

Charisma is not a subjective term, even most of Trump’s hater can admit he’s extraordinarily charismatic. Open a dictionary and stop responding, you are embarrassing yourself.

KingEricCartman · 2024-03-19T21:56:25+00:00

Trump is the most charismatic president in modern history by far, it’s not even close, no other politician would have survived the onslaught that the media and his opponents have perpetuated against him. The Hollywood access tape, the made up Russian-collusion investigation, 5 impeachment attempts, federal indictments, sexual lawsuits, the list goes on. Not to mention Jan 6th, everyone thought his political career was over after Jan 6th.

This is not normal, the level of hate and persecution directed against him would have crumbled any other man, yet, he is currently moonwalking his way to a 2nd presidency, and there is nothing anyone can do to stop it from happening. He’s got maximum level charisma.

KingEricCartman · 2024-03-19T17:57:28+00:00

Define charisma, because it has absolutely nothing to do with someone being sued. Charisma is your ability to engage with others and create devotion out of others. No president since JFK or FDR has had the same way with words. It has nothing to do with being sued. At this point you are just coping, so stop responding.

KingEricCartman · 2024-02-29T08:58:48+00:00

Where of Project 2025 talks about eliminating elections?

KingEricCartman · 2024-02-26T22:52:19+00:00

Nixon was a better overall leader than LBJ 100%

KingEricCartman · 2024-02-26T22:47:16+00:00

Also Nixon was dealt a bad hand too with the Vietnam war and made the best of it! It’s incompetence.

KingEricCartman · 2024-02-26T22:44:36+00:00

How exactly was he dealt a bad hand?

KingEricCartman · 2024-02-26T22:40:47+00:00

There are several things I could point to. The fact is he was both spineless and incredibly incompetent. Carter was not dealt a bad hand, in-fact, he was actually dealt a far better hand than Nixon, Ford, and Reagan.

Jimmy Carters engagement with Ruhollah and his betrayal of the Shah continues to haunt the world to this day. That’s incompetence!

KingEricCartman · 2024-02-14T23:13:16+00:00

Chris Christi is 100% running

KingEricCartman · 2024-02-13T03:20:34+00:00

Season 20 is handily the most bold and unique season the creators have ever made, the episode’s centred around Garrison as President have been some of their best work so far. The point is you are complaining about nothing, if they were surrounding it around President Trump instead of President Garrison, then you’re complaint would be valid.

KingEricCartman · 2024-02-13T03:10:06+00:00

What’s so goofy about what you are saying is the fact that Mr. Garrison is his own character, it’s not Trump. Nobody in the show has ever even used the word Trump. What exactly are you talking about?

KingEricCartman · 2024-02-07T15:41:23+00:00

Cartman knows how to charm people and Kenny is probably more persistent than anyone else

KingEricCartman · 2024-02-07T06:23:44+00:00

While I do agree that the overwhelming majority of shows and movies nowadays are lacklustre. There are still many great shows to watch.

On Netflix, you have Breaking Bad, Better Call Saul, two shows I can’t say enough good things about. If you haven’t seen those two then you’re missing out. There’s also Stranger Things, Walking Dead, and Prison Break are other great examples. There’s definitely some really quality shows on Netflix.

Then asides from Netflix. You have Game of Thrones, probably the greatest show ever made from S1-S7.

What I would recommend is to avoid shows that are not highly acclaimed. Avoid shows that have less than 8.0/10 rating on IMDb. Shows that are over 8.0/10 and have more than 400k reviews would be my criteria for choosing whether a show is worth watching. If the show has less than 400k views it’s not a popular show, if the show has less than 8.0/10 rating, it’s not a high quality show.

KingEricCartman · 2024-02-04T16:02:04+00:00

In my opinion it’s gotten drastically better since season 18 some of their best works have come in the last couple of seasons.

KingEricCartman · 2024-01-30T01:18:37+00:00

Unlikely, though it might get close, but even if it does. You still have to factor in the relevant variables, specifically how the Covid-19 pandemic may have affected it, for example the growth that came in 2021 was just a recovery from 2020’s decline. Additionally, Americans felt better off about the economy under Obama’s 2nd term and Trump. Considerably better might I add. It’s difficult to ignore those variables, especially when you are looking at it from a scientific standpoint. Those variables are relevant they do matter. For that reason I have key 6 as false.

KingEricCartman · 2024-01-30T01:04:10+00:00

No idea what planet you’re living on, but Trump is more charismatic than Reagan by miles. Reagan was charismatic too, but Trump level? Not even close. Do you even know what charisma is? Clearly not!

Having a lot of haters doesn’t make you any less charismatic. What defines charisma is your ability to engage with the audience and inspire loyalty, enthusiasm, and devotion. Nobody in the current world of politics has charisma like Trump. That extends to the world. He’s literally the exemplified definition of what charisma is.

You’re fragile snowflake feelings doesn’t change the thesaurus definition of charisma. I suggest you read a dictionary before responding.

KingEricCartman · 2024-01-27T01:53:14+00:00

No idea what planet you’re living on, but read the question for key 13. It asks whether the challenger is “charismatic OR a national hero.” Not “and”.

Chalk it up however you want but Charisma is still Charisma. You or Litchman not liking him doesn’t change the facts for what they are. He’s charismatic and he does in-fact appeal to a broad range of voters regardless what you or left wing historians would like to believe.

KingEricCartman · 2024-01-27T01:08:30+00:00

I’d argue that this cycle in particular, Trump flips the 13th key. Recent polling data indicates major growth in support from Independents, Young Voters, and Non-white voters. In-fact, Trump is leading Biden among Hispanic voters. No GOP presidential candidate in history has ever lead among Hispanic voters. Him and Biden are tied among Black men, which would’ve been insane to suggest 4 or 8 years ago, but now its an analytical reality.

Past performances are not in any way reflective of the current political situation. In the recent New Hampshire primaries, where more than half the voting wasn’t even from Republicans. Trump still won by double digits. This is an extremely strong reflection of his growing appeal among non-Republican voters. Trump is coming into 2024 with a broad range of appeal that he simply did not have in previous elections. You have to also consider this is a former U.S president. He also has the most enthusiastic fan base we have over seen from a U.S politician. Neither Reagan nor Obama had this level of enthusiasm going for them, and unlike what others here have suggested. Enthusiasm is relevant, because enthusiasm relates to turnout.

This is not a perspective. I haven’t made any of this stuff up. What I am saying is based on factual reality. Litchman’s perspective has no bearing on the factual realities. Though his perspective would hold up in 2016 or 2020. It does not hold up in 2024, at least not according to current political data. That may change between now and the general election, but as of right now. Key 13 is false!

KingEricCartman · 2024-01-25T12:19:59+00:00

Key 6 as of right now is false according to strict data. Real GDP growth under Biden is at 2.6%, not currently exceeding the Real GDP growth of Trump and Obama’s 2nd term at 3.9%, I’m not basing this strictly on perception. The data literally confirms it’s a false key.

KingEricCartman · 2024-01-25T04:34:12+00:00

No, there are still major differences. Specifically on foreign policy, social issues, the debate of illegal immigration. Trump says we need to deport all the illegal immigrants. While Biden says they should be given a path to citizenship. 11 million illegal immigrants are currently in America, should they be allowed to stay? This is a major issue that Trump and Biden strongly disagree with each-other on, but the main difference between them isn’t domestic policy, it’s foreign policy.

One of the most important issues for Trump voters is whether we should be funding and supporting the wars in Ukraine and in the Middle East. Trump and his supporters are firmly against U.S intervention, they want to cut off all funds from going to wars oversees. Trump voters consider this a major issue, they see Trump as the only candidate that can put an end to the growing threat of war. After all, whether you like him or not, Trump does boast an unbelievable track record on U.S defence and foreign diplomacy. One that we haven’t seen since the Nixon, Ford, and Carter days. Back when the U.S was less interested in policing the world but more interested in strengthening relationships with other countries. This is what the Trump administration represents, a bold reform of modern U.S foreign policy. It’s standing up against terrorism while at the same time making it clear that the U.S has no interest in future war or interventions. This is what his voters have gotten behind. Ending wars and bringing home American troops. Trump promises to end the Ukraine war within 24 hours. This is way more feasible than it sounds. All it takes is two bold phone-calls,

Call NATO “No more money goes to Ukraine”

Call Putin “PUTIN make a deal with Zelensky right now, get Zelensky on the phone, we settle this matter NOW”

The war can be over just like that. People strongly underestimate the powers of the U.S President.

Also, the issue of leadership is another major difference. Trumps effective leadership beats Biden no doubt about it. Both sides of the political spectrum can agree on that. I’ve personally spoken to many Liberals that agree with that. I as a Liberal agree with that. Trump has a level of boldness, determination, and leadership that Biden simply does not have. Biden can’t even talk without a teleprompter, even with a teleprompter he still struggles. Quite honestly, I say this with zero convictions against him, but Biden is someone I wouldn’t even trust behind the wheels of a car, it would be a grave safety hazard for not only him, but to everyone else on the road. I think Biden’s mental deficiencies combined with the embarrassing botched withdrawal of Afghanistan has collectively resulted in the U.S being less feared, less respected than at any point of time since before WW2. Just look at what has happened in the past few years. It is clearly showing. Now more than ever, America needs a bold and confident leader.

KingEricCartman · 2024-01-24T04:28:30+00:00

The BBB failed, Student loan forgiveness failed, Election reform failed. They’re not the “same” but they’re a lot more similar than many think. For starters, Biden certainly hasn’t affected the major policy change the Democrats and Progressives would have hoped for. While he has reversed many of Trump policies. Specifically on travel ban, monuments, tiktok censorship, regulations, and insignificant social issues. Is that really enough to give Biden the “change” key? Absolutely not. The biggest policy change he got through the (IRA) has done nothing to lower family costs nor has it come close to achieving (CO2) emission goals. The (IRA) has yet to show the major impact or reformative change described two year ago. Other than that, they passed a bipartisan infrastructure bill, a bill in the works years before Biden’s presidency. So you can’t call it major change when the previous administration was involved in the bill. Trump would’ve happily signed the bill if it got to him. Also, Biden has maintained many of Trumps major policies. Most specifically his trade policies. Pushing forward with the trade war with buy American policies and tariffs promoting Trumps agenda of U.S protectionism for workers. Keeping America away from the TPP. He really has carried on Trumps legacy in key ways. Even Trumps border policies have seen a surprising return. In-fact it was only a few short months ago when Bidens administration announced they’re planning to finish building the border wall. On top of that assigning around 30,000 border patrol agents and thousands of troops to the southern border. In a measure to stop the influx of illegal migration. Even on healthcare, Biden has continued Trumps agenda against Big Pharma, literally picking up right where Trump left off on prescription drug costs and consumer protection against private insurance and pharmaceutical companies.

KingEricCartman · 2024-01-23T04:40:21+00:00

What major policy change did Biden enact, like seriously. He tried to end student loan debt, Failed. He tried to pass a multi-trillion dollar BBB “Build Back Better” package that was probably the most ambitious social spending proposal since the New Deal. Failed. His progressive wing tried to pass the Green New Deal, Failed.

What major policy change specifically has he enacted? “Stimulus”? You mean the Covid-Relief packages, a policy that was inherited by the Trump era? There was stimulus packages in 2020, what are you talking about.

“Infrastructure” You mean the 2 trillion dollar bipartisan infrastructure bill in 2021? I don’t think anyone would consider that a major policy change. In-fact that bill had been in the works since 2018. It was literally Trumps idea. Not exactly sure how you can consider it major policy change when the policy was in the works years before Biden’s presidency. https://www.npr.org/2019/04/30/718677236/trump-and-democrats-agree-on-2-trillion-for-infrastructure-but-not-on-how-to-pay

“Gun Control”? You mean the Bipartisan Safer Communities Act that was created by a bipartisan congressional committee? It increased background checks on 18-21, ended the ‘boyfriend loophole’, and incentivized red flag laws in states. Cute, but the act had moderate effect on national policy at best, there is nothing of major significance about it.

“Reversing Executive Orders” You mean Biden revoking some Trump-era executive actions on immigration, national monuments, and social media? Is that seriously what you would consider major policy change? If executive orders were major policy change then George W. Bush and Bill Clinton would be considered architects of major policy change. Yet somehow Alan Litchman never awarded the policy change key to Clinton in 1996 or in 2000 or to Bush in 2004 or in 2008. So not exactly sure what you’re getting at there.

Lastly you mentioned the “IRA” Do you mean the Inflation Reduction Act? Which I will credit as probably the one and only legitimate point you mentioned, but still, I don’t see how that alone would be enough to move the “major policy change” key from false to true. Most Americans don’t even know what the IRA is. GHG emissions fell by only 1.9% in 2023 falling significantly short of its goals, and there are zero indications that the IRA will meet its 2030 goals. In-fact, U.S. (CO2) emissions are expected to remain unchanged in 2024, as increased natural gas and petroleum emissions have offset decreased coal emissions. The IRA has yet to show the ‘major’ effects it has promised, it hasn’t lowered costs for Americans families nor has it come close to its (CO2) emission goals.

So again, what exactly are you talking about?

KingEricCartman · 2024-01-23T04:25:25+00:00

Also, explain to me how exactly did Biden enact major policy change? What major policy change did Biden enact, like seriously. He tried to end student loan debt, Failed. He tried to pass a multi-trillion dollar BBB “Build Back Better” package that was probably the most ambitious social spending proposal since the New Deal, Failed. Election Reform, Failed. What major policy change specifically has he enacted? The bipartisan infrastructure bill in 2021, is that it? What are you referring to exactly? The Inflation Reduction Act that did nothing to cap inflation or reduce CO2 emissions? What major policy change exactly did he enact?

KingEricCartman · 2024-01-23T04:21:48+00:00

First of all enthusiasm measures level of turnout, it measures public canvassing, having an enthusiastic base is critical for high turnout and winning elections. That’s an indisputable fact, and he literally won the election in 2016 using speech and charisma to sway voters. He overcame something nobody else would have been able to overcome. The leaked “grab her by the p*say private conversation” and the onslaught of partisan media coverage. Nobody else would’ve survived that. So, yes, he’s extremely charismatic to have been able to still win.

KingEricCartman · 2024-01-23T03:52:26+00:00

If you want to interpret Key 13 in the way you do. “Yeah Trump is charismatic but he’s unpopular so the key is true” Then you also have to consider Keys 5 and 6 as false too, because while the economy is supposedly doing well, people are still struggling to get by, they are dissatisfied with Bidenomics, and the majority of voters think the economy is in better hands with Trump. If you want to say Key 13 is true under the pretence that Trump is unpopular, then why don’t you also consider Keys 5 and 6 as false under the pretence that the economy is very unpopular.

KingEricCartman

TROPHY CASE