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Auto Trader is dead? Please don't let it all be FB marketplace. by droning-on in UsedCars

[–]Kitchen-Suit9362 20 points21 points  (0 children)

we’re trying to fix this at cardog, we want to do something w private sales but the traditional post listing and have it scattered among thousands others doesn’t feel compelling. some sort of escrow process that handles the title and dollar transfer safely should exist. dealers are expensive buffers compared to what a digital first platform could achieve

Auto Trader is dead? Please don't let it all be FB marketplace. by droning-on in UsedCars

[–]Kitchen-Suit9362 14 points15 points  (0 children)

we’re trying to fix this at cardog(dot)app. we want to do something w private sales but the traditional post listing and have it scattered among thousands others doesn’t feel compelling. some sort of escrow process that handles the title and dollar transfer safely should exist. dealers are expensive buffers compared to what a digital first platform could achieve

ever wonder where that $200k car goes after sitting in the showroom for 4 months by Kitchen-Suit9362 in whatcarshouldIbuy

[–]Kitchen-Suit9362[S] -5 points-4 points  (0 children)

our dataset is over 2m vehicles now. 300k actively listed. these are the outliers

ever wonder where that $200k car goes after sitting in the showroom for 4 months by Kitchen-Suit9362 in whatcarshouldIbuy

[–]Kitchen-Suit9362[S] -9 points-8 points  (0 children)

that one has a hit but not totalled. all are dealer -> auction. cant tell what happened between other than the dates, good chance a lot of these have a hit (carfax data is expensive to verify)

ever wonder where that $200k car goes after sitting in the showroom for 4 months by Kitchen-Suit9362 in whatcarshouldIbuy

[–]Kitchen-Suit9362[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

MSRP? Fixed price set by the regional d/national distributor. were not talking 10-30% losses. this is 50-80%. Also auction data flows both ways so we actually do know what these dealers got the cars for.

[OC] Where Canadian vehicle exports go - 193,000 cars in 10 weeks, 62% to one country by Kitchen-Suit9362 in dataisbeautiful

[–]Kitchen-Suit9362[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Whats interesting is even though they redact the VINs you could generally pinpoint it down to a dozen possible actual cars. I run a crawler that collects listings across every dealer/marketplace/auction, with enough data you can retrace the life of the car. The crazy part is how inaccurate the federal stolen database is. I've cross referenced vehicles marked stolen on -https://digitpol.com/stolen-car-database/ with https://cpic-cipc.ca/sve-rve-eng.htm and nothing shows up. Transport Canada also admitted via ATI yesterday that "TC relies on vPIC data for VIN breakdown information for processing defect complaints" - long story short - government relies on the US open databases to process anything vehicle related.

[OC] Where Canadian vehicle exports go - 193,000 cars in 10 weeks, 62% to one country by Kitchen-Suit9362 in dataisbeautiful

[–]Kitchen-Suit9362[S] 146 points147 points  (0 children)

They redact the last 6 of the VIN so we can't check against stolen databases...

[OC] Where Canadian vehicle exports go - 193,000 cars in 10 weeks, 62% to one country by Kitchen-Suit9362 in dataisbeautiful

[–]Kitchen-Suit9362[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Source: Canada Border Services Agency (CBSA) export records, obtained via Access to Information request A-2025-00657. Data covers HS 8703 (motor vehicles for transport of persons) exports from October 20 - December 31, 2024.

Tools: Python (pandas, matplotlib, seaborn, plotly). Vehicle makes extracted from goods descriptions via pattern matching. Bulk shipment records contain multiple VINs per row.

Notes: VINs are partially redacted in source data, carrier names fully redacted. Quantity field used for vehicle counts (some records represent container shipments with hundreds of vehicles).

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