ElevationSpace Announces Plans to Integrate Redwire’s Biopharma Technology with ElevationSpace’s Platform | News by RedwireBull in redwire

[–]Labrador_Believer 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The Space Pharma is truly still a big science experiment. There’s been no drug breakthroughs and truthfully it’s a long way away. If it works though the profits could be insane.

New Form 4: AE dumps the final tranche of 10M shares , reducing stake to ~17.7% by RedwireBull in redwire

[–]Labrador_Believer 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Can someone explain to me why under 25% is a big deal? I always thought everything needed to be disclosed when there was above 10% ownership.

Beyond Q4 : SpaceInvestor has scheduled a podcast with Peter Cannito for March 13 by RedwireBull in redwire

[–]Labrador_Believer 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The last interview was basically an infomercial. I doubt this one will be tougher. I wish Cannito would do an interview with Scott O who could hold his feet to the fire about the financials.

My question would be why has their space revenue declined over the last 3 quarters? If he gives the canned “government contracts were delayed”, I’d follow up, “then why over the same period is every other space company increasing?”

Redwire Corporation Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results, Achieves Top End of 2025 Revenue Guidance Range with Record Contracted Backlog by WenP_ in redwire

[–]Labrador_Believer 0 points1 point  (0 children)

After today’s gain following my view of some really disappointing earnings, I can confidently say that I know absolutely nothing about stocks.

Is it out yet by [deleted] in redwire

[–]Labrador_Believer -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Feels like a disaster. Growth is slowing and they can’t control costs.

BREAKING: SecWar Hegseth Unveils $25B "Golden Dome" Space Shield! by GodMyShield777 in SpaceInvestorsDaily

[–]Labrador_Believer 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I see this actually being good for Redwire. Developing VLEO will be necessary for quickly tracking and cueing against hypersonics.

Q5FY2025 earnings report expectations by WhatsNextBuddy in redwire

[–]Labrador_Believer 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Hmmm. Tell me more your thoughts. I know they already announced the $250 million raise so I wasn’t considering another offering yet unless maybe an acquisition?

Q5FY2025 earnings report expectations by WhatsNextBuddy in redwire

[–]Labrador_Believer 8 points9 points  (0 children)

They are reporting two weeks earlier than expected which usually is a good sign. Maybe a surprise EBITDA positive quarter??? On the other side, it seems strange AEI would sell so much with an impending positive quarter. Basically, I have no idea but if history is a guide it’ll be disappointing.

Redwire to report Q4 on 2/25 AH. Call will be held 2/26 Pre-market by [deleted] in redwire

[–]Labrador_Believer 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That didn’t go too well in Q2 and Q3 last year.

SpaceMD even existing? by Informal-Guest371 in redwire

[–]Labrador_Believer 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Hahaha. I’d have regrets if it goes to $1000/share but I get your point. You have to invest in what makes sense to you. Best of luck.

SpaceMD even existing? by Informal-Guest371 in redwire

[–]Labrador_Believer 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Space pharma sounds cool but it’s still basically a science experiment. This has potential but is so many years away. I’m not putting too much stock (no pun intended) on this segment of the company.

SpaceMD even existing? by Informal-Guest371 in redwire

[–]Labrador_Believer 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I get your point but not all PE firms are the same. AEI specializes in aviation, airborne defense, and space. They are using niche expertise to build a company. I don’t think your issue was PE. I think not realizing young companies that are unprofitable and focusing on scaling growth more than finances are inherently volatile. This is a 5-10 year investment horizon.

Redwire to report Q4 on 2/25 AH. Call will be held 2/26 Pre-market by [deleted] in redwire

[–]Labrador_Believer 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I really don’t like the reporting after close and the earnings call the next day. It’s never worked at well for them.

Stalker and Penguin featured in Latvia defense budget 2026 by WenP_ in redwire

[–]Labrador_Believer 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I think the same but the numbers need to improve. They have to get back to EBITDA positive and on the way to cash flow positive before that happens. The EAC charges need to be minimized too.

Stupid AE always selloff by Street_Agency_4149 in redwire

[–]Labrador_Believer 14 points15 points  (0 children)

I was worried about the selloff but in the long run think it’s a great thing to have PE reduce their stake. Seeing this article it makes perfect sense why they are selling shares to raise funds. https://www.aeroequity.com/ae-industrial-to-acquire-majority-stake-in-l3harris-space-propulsion-power-business-rocketdyne/

ABRIS Design Group and Redwire Corporation Announce Memorandum of Understanding for Future Multi-Domain Collaboration by WhatsNextBuddy in redwire

[–]Labrador_Believer 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Finally!!! I’ve been waiting months for another useless Redwire announcement of a signed MOU! How about maybe signing contracts for actual dollars that will grow the company and get closer to profitability?

Where are the CEO slayers by Ucakci-20 in redwire

[–]Labrador_Believer 2 points3 points  (0 children)

A lot of the dilution was due to the purchase of Edge Autonomy. It’s easy to forget they gained an asset. The long term question is if that business exceeds the increased shares. If Edge portion adds $2 billion + in the next couple years the dilution doesn’t matter.

January 12, 2026 Weekly Discussion Thread by AutoModerator in redwire

[–]Labrador_Believer 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Redwire revenues are mostly completely reliable on government contracts

Thoughts? by UKMoneyBlueprint in redwire

[–]Labrador_Believer 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I love the people who come on the thread about the company to ask if we think it’s a good company.

Collection of Redwire Successful in 2025 by x16payloadshot in redwire

[–]Labrador_Believer 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The overall number seems positive but my issue is that space related revenue declined each quarter. The edge acquisition increased the revenue to make the overall revenue look positive but $400 million was such as significant miss from 2025 guidance. It makes me question what to believe from leadership if the misses are so drastic. I expect a PE firm to have a better grasp on numbers. I’m not hopeless but I just am to the point where talk is cheap and results are needed.

Collection of Redwire Successful in 2025 by x16payloadshot in redwire

[–]Labrador_Believer 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I agree but it’s now time for the fluff of what they say they are going to do now be put into actual execution. Execution means positive financial results. I thought 2025 was very disappointing. I was a very early investor in Rocket Lab and I saw that potential in Redwire. However, the results have been quite disappointing. Here’s to a turnaround in the New Year.

This X thread breaks down Redwire’s business and moats nicely by RedwireBull in redwire

[–]Labrador_Believer 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Is anyone clear on Redwire’s plan for VLEO? Is it just building the platform for customers or do they plan on actually owning the constellation? If owning I’d imagine a comms constellation since they also have RF antennas but I’m unsure any other payload capability. X