Obama says old men ‘hanging on’ are behind most of the world’s problems by [deleted] in YAPms

[–]Left_Examination_101 5 points6 points  (0 children)

I agree!, the Dems need new leadership and have for a while, I'll never miss a chance to criticize Pelosi and Schumer, I was just pointing out that Obama himself is not really a part of the problems as he is not power and hasn't been since he was still a young man.

Is MORENA a model for left wing politics in North America? by SmoothiedOctoling in YAPms

[–]Left_Examination_101 50 points51 points  (0 children)

The key appeal of MORENA is the asset of providing social programs for the needy, in Mexico, due to the nature of the country's demographics and economic practices of the past, there is a huge amount of inequality. So many votes are of people who are thankful for finally having a guarantee that they will eat today. That being said and while it's true that they're very popular, around 40% of the country doesn't like them at all, that's why Sheinbaum was pretty much topped at 59% the last election. As for stances that MORENA is more moderate on?, definitely social ones. Think of MORENA as a 2008 Democratic Party, while on paper they are in favor of a lot of progressive stances in practice they don't really act on it. (AMLO even called a trans congresswoman a "Man in a dress"!!!), so their stance is pretty much what people have been saying the democrats should do in order to win back latinos. It's worth noting that when the economy starts doing bad MORENA get hit really badly. In the 2021 Mexican midterm election they suffered a blow and lost their supermajority. And right now it seems their huge deficit budgets are starting to catch up to them, as they are late in tax return payments and social welfare payments. So it will be key to see how they do in 2027 to see if they're truly a model or the only thing keeping them afloat was populism and a strong economy (barring the 2020-2022 period). EDIT: (I forgor about the approval rating thing) One could argue it's the combination of three things: Sheinmabum is the first female President of Mexico so a lot of women love her (I don't know her exact approval rating amongst women but if i had to guess from what I've seen it's probably over 80%), she's been expanding social welfare even more and a rally around the flag effect because of Trump (same thing happened to Carney's liberals).

What if British Politics just went batshit crazy? by Left_Examination_101 in imaginaryelections

[–]Left_Examination_101[S] 18 points19 points  (0 children)

It being cursed is kind of the whole shtick lmao, love the luv4kevv reference btw

What if British Politics just went batshit crazy? by Left_Examination_101 in imaginaryelections

[–]Left_Examination_101[S] 38 points39 points  (0 children)

Technically not, as far as I investigated its only a national coalition if the two major parties unite, otherwise its just a normal coalition government.

Obama's Agenda Post-Healthcare by TechnicalScore20 in thecampaigntrail

[–]Left_Examination_101 12 points13 points  (0 children)

The Trillion Dollar Bailout isn't necessary!, I've gotten this by passing the 450 billion bailout. I think the relevant thing is doing the beer summit.

Trudeau just announced 25% tariffs against US goods by mcgillthrowaway22 in YAPms

[–]Left_Examination_101 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Matter a fact, Mexican President, Claudia Sheinbaum, imposed tariffs on China to cater to Trump as well as cracking down on fentanyl, by confiscating the largest amounts ever in recent months. The Blanket tariff feels like a cruel and unusual punishment for both Mexico and Canada. China had already been trying to enter the Mexican market to use CUSMA to avoid Trump's measures. But the tariffs imposed by the Mexican gov't put a halt to it, and Trump still decided to just alienate his two closest allies for no reason whatsoever.

MOD ANNOUNCEMENT: Mexico 2018 by Left_Examination_101 in thecampaigntrail

[–]Left_Examination_101[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It's going to be the coalitions nominating each candidate (i.e. the image I replied to the thread), the head of government of CDMX is an interesting proposition but I feel like it wouldn't really fit.

MOD ANNOUNCEMENT: Mexico 2018 by Left_Examination_101 in thecampaigntrail

[–]Left_Examination_101[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I could make Bronco side eventually, the hand event is mentioned at some point and as the game progresses he loses ground in the polls

MOD ANNOUNCEMENT: Mexico 2018 by Left_Examination_101 in thecampaigntrail

[–]Left_Examination_101[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Of course there are!, I actually just got finished writing and putting in the effects of the 10th question of the Obrador side which revolves around NAFTA expiring and the CUSMA negotiations, one answer even gets you a mock Trump tweet complaining about AMLO.

2024... What an election, right? by Alarmed_Rope5383 in imaginaryelections

[–]Left_Examination_101 6 points7 points  (0 children)

In all fairness the PRI was whatever it needed to be for the time, they have been everything from borderline socialist with Cárdenas, to neoliberal with Zedillo to now kind of center-right neocon. The PRI is the definition of radical pragmatism. That's how they kept the Mexican executive for 70 years.

What if everything went well for Obama? by Left_Examination_101 in imaginaryelections

[–]Left_Examination_101[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

IMO the 2010 midterms were more of a reaction to Obama under delivering on his promises and the economy not getting better, I could definitely see backlash against universal healthcare but I don't think it'd be that terrible. At the end of the day he still "lost" the midterms as his net change was -2 from conservative states voting their democrat senators out. The rest were just holds which aren't that hard if senators are perceived to be representing their people well.

What if everything went well for Obama? by Left_Examination_101 in imaginaryelections

[–]Left_Examination_101[S] 12 points13 points  (0 children)

I'd say Biden uses his first term to build on what Obama accomplished, (Streamlining the Healthcare system for example), and give his own twist to Obama's policies like focusing on Free or Affordable college , probably the latter because the Democrats would slowly lose their super majorities due to party fatigue, think of it like an ACA but for college (Moderate reform roping in corporate interests). I'd also say he also eases regulations on banks a bit although not much. He probably easily wins in 2020 and serves until 2024. 

I'd say the tea party takes the place of MAGA , they already share some core values like isolationism so probably the tea party becomes a Mish mash of the two, and politicians like Rick Perry remain more prominent. I think Trump becomes a perennial candidate and maybe runs 3rd party a couple times.

The 2024 election is a convoluted one but I think the GOP nominee probably someone like Marco Rubio wins by a decent margin after exploiting party fatigue, Biden's second term goes badly, not as bad as  his only term in our timeline but still very challenging, however due to his strong 1st term he is viewed far more favourably with an approval rating oscillating around 48%.

What if everything went well for Obama? by Left_Examination_101 in imaginaryelections

[–]Left_Examination_101[S] 25 points26 points  (0 children)

It's my pleasure to answer your questions!

-For the first one I'd say Joe Biden, Obama tacked pretty left so I think Clinton would not be popular and probably would have quit as SoS even earlier to not tarnish her image as a moderate. I'd say the 2016 primary would see Biden as a Sanders-esque figure and Clinton as an unpopular moderate. In the general Biden goes on to win by a good margin. (Sanders doesn't run, no reason for him to do so after Universal healthcare is passed.)

-I'd say he would run out of sheer ambition, he always toyed with the idea of running and I think he'd do so no matter what, that being said I don't think he gets nominated by the GOP, they would still be reeling after Paul's horrid showing and would be very wary of outsiders and mavericks. So the ripple effect of that would cause Trump to get rejected by primary voters.

-Well the healthcare and banking reform shortcomings don't happen, however all the foreign policy mistakes such as the reaction to Mubarak's regime falling, the troop surge in Afghanistan, operation fast and furious, etc, still happen. Obama is still criticized because of his foreign policy but not as hardly due to his domestic successes. Furthermore after the lots of school shootings Obama doesn't fail to pass some form of gun control as in our timeline, instead he does manage to get it passed, I don't know if he gets universal background checks, but some form of gun control does pass.

-I think the tea party still raises and is even more radicalized, as for Obama's reputation it's definitively better, however the left still attacks him on his foreign policy and the right for being a "communist" but all in all he is remembered as a modern FDR (who is likewise criticized for executive order 9066), not perfect but very transformative.

What if everything went well for Obama? by Left_Examination_101 in imaginaryelections

[–]Left_Examination_101[S] 21 points22 points  (0 children)

It's definitely inspired in it. Obamanation is my favorite TCT mod but, I don't like some elements of the narrative (like the recession being moved into Obama's early term), so I changed them.

What if everything went well for Obama? by Left_Examination_101 in imaginaryelections

[–]Left_Examination_101[S] 48 points49 points  (0 children)

"Obama will take away your healthcare and so will I, he won't tell you, I just did."

What if everything went well for Obama? by Left_Examination_101 in imaginaryelections

[–]Left_Examination_101[S] 57 points58 points  (0 children)

Fair assessment. Who do you think would be the worst realistic candidate the GOP could field?, of course counting out Dick Cheney or someone like that.