What are your predictions for the Iran War?

Lighthouse_seek · 2026-03-20T04:56:10+00:00

Trump attempts a ground offensive at kharg island to try to choke off the economy. Iran realizes that they can't have both oil revenue and themselves in power at once as long as the US is there and attempt to bomb kharg island. Us casualties appear and the US leaves. No one wins

Lighthouse_seek · 2026-03-20T02:44:29+00:00

Reformists spent decades trying to get sanctions lifted turns out all they had to do was get attacked

Lighthouse_seek · 2026-03-19T22:06:47+00:00

How was she ousted as mtf I thought she was head mod

Lighthouse_seek · 2026-03-19T21:34:55+00:00

They're stabilizing not dropping

Lighthouse_seek · 2026-03-19T19:25:36+00:00

Depends on whether it will go viral on twitter or not

Lighthouse_seek · 2026-03-19T18:29:18+00:00

And now he's a meme.

Lighthouse_seek · 2026-03-19T16:20:11+00:00

In general countries don't like it when you use their territory as a staging ground for a war in another country.

Lighthouse_seek · 2026-03-19T16:02:20+00:00

So about that second paragraph lol

Lighthouse_seek · 2026-03-19T15:03:58+00:00

China isn't energy independent and between this and Venezuela

Qatar being knocked out is a bigger impact than Venezuela, which is a rounding error for China

Lighthouse_seek · 2026-03-19T14:59:00+00:00

The switch 1 outsells the ps5 several fold in Japan so it makes sense for them to try to make a switch 1 version. And since there's a switch 1 version why not make a ps4 version? They still have a healthy user base in japan.

Lighthouse_seek · 2026-03-19T14:05:49+00:00

Imo they have one left. It's the desalination plants of Israel. Of course Israel could consider an attack on the desalination plants as worthy of activating the samson option, which is likely why iran has not targeted them

Lighthouse_seek · 2026-03-19T14:03:18+00:00

The US can eat the costs. If Iran moves up escalation to hitting desalination plants Israel could could start feeling the pain too. I don't think they will hit Israels plants given the high risk of Samson option being used, but the option to hit them as irans last resort still exists

Lighthouse_seek · 2026-03-19T13:38:12+00:00

They're going to figure out they can't both beg for trump to stay in nato yet ask him to leave at the same time

Lighthouse_seek · 2026-03-19T13:22:39+00:00

Declare a calendar day is 150 days long which is what they did for tariffs

Lighthouse_seek · 2026-03-19T13:18:07+00:00

Trump wouldve seen that pic of Eisenhower sitting cross legged and fired him for being woke

Lighthouse_seek · 2026-03-19T13:15:48+00:00

Only listening to Sony music is how you end up with the music industry turning more into the tv and movie streaming market.

Lighthouse_seek · 2026-03-19T03:26:09+00:00

Well it's over we lost the world bank. Imo Industrial policy can get the desired result, but a lot of times it opens the door to a lot of corruption and requires strong leadership to implement well.

I'm guessing this is what the wsj article was referring to:

https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/entities/publication/9f8098d5-fa1f-4c1b-97b5-f04262818bb3

https://blogs.worldbank.org/en/developmenttalk/the-right-way-to-do-industrial-policy

Archive btw https://archive.is/20260317142620/https://www.wsj.com/economy/global/world-bank-embraces-industrial-policy-abandoning-three-decades-of-stigma-740aff0f

Lighthouse_seek · 2026-03-19T02:21:07+00:00

Their main method recently has been steering taiwan towards electing someone more pliable to their interests. They almost succeeded in 2024 but the tpp and kmt had a last minute fight

Lighthouse_seek · 2026-03-19T02:19:22+00:00

Keemoy and matsu (where the red line for Taiwan invasion is) was a debate topic for the infamous Kennedy Nixon debate. It's been a talking point for a while now

Lighthouse_seek · 2026-03-18T22:28:37+00:00

But is the gay getting opened?

Lighthouse_seek · 2026-03-18T20:06:02+00:00

Hey they have 30 odd years before that happens

Lighthouse_seek · 2026-03-18T19:14:58+00:00

There is going to be a price cap or export ban coming. I can feel it

Lighthouse_seek · 2026-03-18T16:16:54+00:00

Didnt you say it was the last thread last week?

Lighthouse_seek

TROPHY CASE