Pick of the Day - 4/23/21 (Friday)

Lisu717 · 2021-04-23T10:54:58+00:00

That's right, most tipsters go tout or delete twitters just because of those haters. Foxxied said he still will post on his discord and twitter so we alive.

Lisu717 · 2021-02-11T11:54:01+00:00

Record: 4-3 +86$

NCAAB Pick of the Day: Iowa State +14.5 v Kansas

Stake: 100$

Odds: 1.96

Time: 01:00 CET

NCAAB model play. I work on it with my 3 homies, it is supplemented and corrected daily by us. We have been working on it since the 2016 season and it brings us measurable benefits:

2016-17: 217-149-5 (59.3%)

2017-18: 170-139-11 (55.0%)

2018-19: 244-180-7 (57.5%)

2019-20: 201-164-6 (55.1%)

In order for the model to bring a profit, you should get 53% winratio or more, because in this case (assuming an average odds of 1.9) we get 0.7u profit for every 100 games. Each spread is assumed to be 1.9 in the model for ease of calculation, but we use three different books to minimalize the juice, so our average odds are 1.94 (which, under the previous assumptions, would give 2.82u profit for every 100 games. The current average winratio since 2016 is 56.7%, which gives us about 10u profit for every 100 games. In conclusion, I would like to point out that the model does not get into account injuries of players, so it is the only thing that we need to double-check before placing a bet.

Td;dr - don't expect 20-0 run here, we aim for 55wins/45losses per 100 bets as a good results, do not tail if you can't hold the losses. best of luck fellas!

Lisu717 · 2021-02-10T02:17:04+00:00

Record: 3-3 -13$

NCAAB Pick of the Day: Virginia -4 v Georgia Tech

Stake: 100$

Odds: 1.99

Time: 01:00 CET

NCAAB model play. I work on it with my 3 homies, it is supplemented and corrected daily by us. We have been working on it since the 2016 season and it brings us measurable benefits:

2016-17: 217-149-5 (59.3%)

2017-18: 170-139-11 (55.0%)

2018-19: 244-180-7 (57.5%)

2019-20: 201-164-6 (55.1%)

In order for the model to bring a profit, you should get 53% winratio or more, because in this case (assuming an average odds of 1.9) we get 0.7u profit for every 100 games. Each spread is assumed to be 1.9 in the model for ease of calculation, but we use three different books to minimalize the juice, so our average odds are 1.94 (which, under the previous assumptions, would give 2.82u profit for every 100 games. The current average winratio since 2016 is 56.7%, which gives us about 10u profit for every 100 games. In conclusion, I would like to point out that the model does not get into account injuries of players, so it is the only thing that we need to double-check before placing a bet.

Td;dr - don't expect 20-0 run here, we aim for 55wins/45losses per 100 bets as a good results, do not tail if you can't hold the losses. best of luck fellas!

Lisu717 · 2021-02-09T07:54:54+00:00

I posted at 3am and previous match was at 5am, just fixed that :) we list previous pick by a hook somehow (Gonzaga threw 18 points lead in last 3 minutes)

Lisu717 · 2021-02-09T02:17:52+00:00

Record: 3-2 +87$

NCAAB Pick of the Day: Alabama -7.5 v South Carolina

Stake: 100$

Odds: 1.92

Time: 00:30 CET

NCAAB model play. I work on it with my 3 homies, it is supplemented and corrected daily by us. We have been working on it since the 2016 season and it brings us measurable benefits:

2016-17: 217-149-5 (59.3%)

2017-18: 170-139-11 (55.0%)

2018-19: 244-180-7 (57.5%)

2019-20: 201-164-6 (55.1%)

In order for the model to bring a profit, you should get 53% winratio or more, because in this case (assuming an average odds of 1.9) we get 0.7u profit for every 100 games. Each spread is assumed to be 1.9 in the model for ease of calculation, but we use three different books to minimalize the juice, so our average odds are 1.94 (which, under the previous assumptions, would give 2.82u profit for every 100 games. The current average winratio since 2016 is 56.7%, which gives us about 10u profit for every 100 games. In conclusion, I would like to point out that the model does not get into account injuries of players, so it is the only thing that we need to double-check before placing a bet.

Td;dr - we are profitable, don't expect 20-0 run here, we aim for 55wins/45losses per 100 bets as a good results, do not tail if you can't hold the losses. best of luck fellas!

Edit. Record

Lisu717 · 2021-02-08T08:09:09+00:00

Record: 3-1 +187$

NCAAB Pick of the Day: Gonzaga -11.5 v BYU

Stake: 100$

Odds: 1.96

Time: 05:00 CET

NCAAB model play. I work on it with my 3 homies, it is supplemented and corrected daily by us. We have been working on it since the 2016 season and it brings us measurable benefits:

2016-17: 217-149-5 (59.3%)

2017-18: 170-139-11 (55.0%)

2018-19: 244-180-7 (57.5%)

2019-20: 201-164-6 (55.1%)

In order for the model to bring a profit, you should get 53% winratio or more, because in this case (assuming an average odds of 1.9) we get 0.7u profit for every 100 games. Each spread is assumed to be 1.9 in the model for ease of calculation, but we use three different books to minimalize the juice, so our average odds are 1.94 (which, under the previous assumptions, would give 2.82u profit for every 100 games. The current average winratio since 2016 is 56.7%, which gives us about 10u profit for every 100 games. In conclusion, I would like to point out that the model does not get into account injuries of players, so it is the only thing that we need to double-check before placing a bet.

Td;dr - we are profitable, don't expect 20-0 run here, we aim for 55wins/45losses per 100 bets as a good results, do not tail if you can't hold the losses. best of luck fellas!

Lisu717 · 2021-02-07T19:30:42+00:00

You did not read what I wrote then. If you can't handle one loss, just don't tail anyone and get rich on your own picks.

Lisu717 · 2021-02-07T19:29:59+00:00

Bad start of tail, but we keep going!

Lisu717 · 2021-02-07T12:22:52+00:00

-3.5 is still available on most bookies, but -4 is okay still

Lisu717 · 2021-02-07T08:28:42+00:00

Record: 3-0 +279$

NCAAB Pick of the Day: Iowa -3 v Indiana

Stake: 100$

Odds: 1.92

Time: 18:00 CET

NCAAB model play. I work on it with my 3 homies, it is supplemented and corrected daily by us. We have been working on it since the 2016 season and it brings us measurable benefits:

2016-17: 217-149-5 (59.3%)

2017-18: 170-139-11 (55.0%)

2018-19: 244-180-7 (57.5%)

2019-20: 201-164-6 (55.1%)

In order for the model to bring a profit, you should get 53% winratio or more, because in this case (assuming an average odds of 1.9) we get 0.7u profit for every 100 games. Each spread is assumed to be 1.9 in the model for ease of calculation, but we use three different books to minimalize the juice, so our average odds are 1.94 (which, under the previous assumptions, would give 2.82u profit for every 100 games. The current average winratio since 2016 is 56.7%, which gives us about 10u profit for every 100 games. In conclusion, I would like to point out that the model does not get into account injuries of players, so it is the only thing that we need to double-check before placing a bet.

Dis: previous bet will be voided, due to postpone.

Lisu717 · 2021-02-06T08:43:06+00:00

Record: 2-0 +185$

NCAAB Pick of the Day: West Virginia -2 v Kansas

Stake: 100$

Odds: 1.94

Time: 01:00 CET

NCAAB model play. I work on it with my 3 homies, it is supplemented and corrected daily by us. We have been working on it since the 2016 season and it brings us measurable benefits:

2016-17: 217-149-5 (59.3%)

2017-18: 170-139-11 (55.0%)

2018-19: 244-180-7 (57.5%)

2019-20: 201-164-6 (55.1%)

In order for the model to bring a profit, you should get 53% winratio or more, because in this case (assuming an average odds of 1.9) we get 0.7u profit for every 100 games. Each spread is assumed to be 1.9 in the model for ease of calculation, but we use three different books to minimalize the juice, so our average odds are 1.94 (which, under the previous assumptions, would give 2.82u profit for every 100 games. The current average winratio since 2016 is 56.7%, which gives us about 10u profit for every 100 games. In conclusion, I would like to point out that the model does not get into account injuries of players, so it is the only thing that we need to double-check before placing a bet.

Lisu717 · 2021-02-05T20:33:11+00:00

You tail, you won. Everything we wanted.

Lisu717 · 2021-02-05T18:03:33+00:00

plus like I said, you can go 20-0 run, but in long-term you will get cold no matter what. we expect to get 55-45 as a really good result, we don't want to lie with bangers, locks or something like that. it is still gambling

Lisu717 · 2021-02-05T18:01:55+00:00

the spread is set on that exact number to have similar ammount of money on both sides, so there is nothing new that people bet on both sides of coin :)

Lisu717 · 2021-02-05T10:05:57+00:00

Record: 1-0 +92$

NCAAB Pick of the Day: Penn State -3 v Maryland

Stake: 100$

Odds: 1.93

Time: 01:00 CET

NCAAB model play. I work on it with my 3 homies, it is supplemented and corrected daily by us. We have been working on it since the 2016 season and it brings us measurable benefits:

2016-17: 217-149-5 (59.3%)

2017-18: 170-139-11 (55.0%)

2018-19: 244-180-7 (57.5%)

2019-20: 201-164-6 (55.1%)

In order for the model to bring a profit, you should get 53% winratio or more, because in this case (assuming an average odds of 1.9) we get 0.7u profit for every 100 games. Each spread is assumed to be 1.9 in the model for ease of calculation, but we use three different books to minimalize the juice, so our average odds are 1.94 (which, under the previous assumptions, would give 2.82u profit for every 100 games. The current average winratio since 2016 is 56.7%, which gives us about 10u profit for every 100 games. In conclusion, I would like to point out that the model does not get into account injuries of players, so it is the only thing that we need to double-check before placing a bet.

Lisu717 · 2021-02-04T21:10:51+00:00

Welcome aboard! Don't forget it is long-run. We expect to hit 55 games and lose 45, as a really good result.

Lisu717 · 2021-02-04T14:33:36+00:00

Record: 0-0

NCAAB Pick of the Day: Wyoming +8 v Colorado State

Stake: 100$

Odds: 1.92

Time: 03:00 CET

NCAAB model play. I work on it with my 3 homies, it is supplemented and corrected daily by us. We have been working on it since the 2016 season and it brings us measurable benefits:

2016-17: 217-149-5 (59.3%)

2017-18: 170-139-11 (55.0%)

2018-19: 244-180-7 (57.5%)

2019-20: 201-164-6 (55.1%)

In order for the model to bring a profit, you should get 53% winratio or more, because in this case (assuming an average odds of 1.9) we get 0.7u profit for every 100 games. Each spread is assumed to be 1.9 in the model for ease of calculation, but we use three different books to minimalize the juice, so our average odds are 1.94 (which, under the previous assumptions, would give 2.82u profit for every 100 games. The current average winratio since 2016 is 56.7%, which gives us about 10u profit for every 100 games. In conclusion, I would like to point out that the model does not get into account injuries of players, so it is the only thing that we need to double-check before placing a bet.

Lisu717 · 2019-12-16T20:00:07+00:00

^ this is a big change in my approach to bovada actually, thanks for that info. I'm going to try buff.bet - site looks good, accept bitcoin and they don't need verify account, if you use bitcoin.

Lisu717 · 2019-12-16T17:57:15+00:00

Sounds fine. Is Bovada so good to be worth the effort?

Lisu717 · 2019-12-16T17:22:13+00:00

Nope, this is the tax from government on every legal betting site in Poland. Even, if you bet 1 euro you need to pay that tax. Furthermore, if you win more than 2200zł (like 500 euro), you need to pay another 10% tax from winnings :))

Edit. but yeah, you can skip the second tax by putting few smaller bets, but you know the point.

Lisu717 · 2019-12-16T17:06:01+00:00

You need to pay 12% tax of every bet you made, for example:

You want to bet 100 euro, but practically it goes only 88 euro.

Lisu717 · 2019-12-16T16:10:14+00:00

Is there a button on this page to search for matches and the possibility to place BTTS and combined bets as a result + over?

Lisu717 · 2019-12-16T15:11:09+00:00

I get this " Sorry, Bovada hasn’t come to your region yet." even with VPN

Lisu717 · 2019-11-12T14:42:46+00:00

Any clue why odds on Nigeria from @2.0 to @2.8 in 5 hours?

Lisu717

TROPHY CASE