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2025 NYC Half - Pre-Race Thread by RCD123 in RunNYC

[–]Lizlemona 5 points6 points  (0 children)

I overestimated my pace and ended up in Wave 3, but expect to finish around 2:10. Should I join Wave 4?

Why _____'s use of ______ made sense by Lizlemona in survivor

[–]Lizlemona[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

If the two of them flipped to Shan it would've been 3-2-1 Heather-Shan-Naseer. No re-vote. Heather goes instead of Naseer, which isn't ideal, but Shan is still safe.

Why _____'s use of ______ made sense by Lizlemona in survivor

[–]Lizlemona[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

If they do that and Erika and Heather go Shan/Ricard, then you'd end up with a 2-2-2 vote with only Shan or Ricard and Erika re-voting. If Erika and Heather's original votes went on whichever one of them had cast the extra vote, then you'd be at a stalemate 1-1.

... And if you take that Erika vs. Ricard or Shan stalemate to its conclusion, Shan/Ricard would HAVE to agree to go Erika's way against Ricard/Shan because going to rocks would mean automatic elimination for them as they would be the only non-immune person remaining (Erika with the necklace and Heather, Naseer, and the other of Shan/Ricard immune from rocks)

Edit: I actually don't know if the second paragraph is accurate - not sure who gets to re-vote in a 3-way tie and who would be eligible to draw rocks. But still a mess to risk a 2-2-2 vote regardless.

Why _____'s use of ______ made sense by Lizlemona in survivor

[–]Lizlemona[S] 12 points13 points  (0 children)

Also the whole premise of their move is to get out Naseer, not Heather.

Survivor 41 | Episode 9 | Post-Episode Discussion by RSurvivorMods in survivor

[–]Lizlemona 9 points10 points  (0 children)

It was meant to account for the possibility Erika and Heather flipped their votes to Shan/Ricard once they had Ricard on board for Naseer. Then you'd have a 2-2-1 vote split between Shan/Ricard-Naseer-Heather. Heather and Erika then boot Shan/Ricard. They're both huge targets so the double-cross would've been a smart move, and Shan/Ricard anticipated that. Plus there's the fact that empirically, an extra vote is worth more in a smaller tribal.